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May CPI inflation rises to 2.4%, below expectations of 2.5%.
Posted on 6/11/25 at 7:56 am
Posted on 6/11/25 at 7:56 am
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If tweet fails to load, click here. We wont see a rate cut anytime soon, SDV
5
Posted on 6/11/25 at 7:59 am to stout
Why would they cut when inflation is dropping and Too Late embarrassed himself about Tariffs
Oh and when the BLS revisions drop that jobs report next month
Too Late Jerome
Sept isnt anytime soon?
Oh and when the BLS revisions drop that jobs report next month
Too Late Jerome
quote:
We wont see a rate cut anytime soon, SDV
Sept isnt anytime soon?
This post was edited on 6/11/25 at 8:00 am
Posted on 6/11/25 at 8:04 am to stout
Short version: prices continue to moderate as rates are kept stable and "muh tarrifz" still has yet to materialize.
Unless producers start hammering price (unlikely), we should continue to see a drop in price growth but also the continued slow drop in employment.
Unless producers start hammering price (unlikely), we should continue to see a drop in price growth but also the continued slow drop in employment.
Posted on 6/11/25 at 8:08 am to SDVTiger
quote:just to be clear... inflation did not drop, it increased. Just not as much as expected.
Why would they cut when inflation is dropping and Too Late embarrassed himself about Tariffs
IMHO, it proves Powell was correct last meeting.
[and we'll limit it to just that one meeting, because yes- he's been consistent in the past. Consistently wrong]
Posted on 6/11/25 at 8:10 am to I20goon
quote:
just to be clear... inflation did not drop, it increased. Just not as much as expected.
IMHO, it proves Powell was correct last meeting.
If Powell had cut earlier this year the small rise in inflation would be worse than it is. He was correct. We aren't out of the woods yet and now the BBB is about to create more money out of thin air.
Posted on 6/11/25 at 8:12 am to I20goon
quote:
just to be clear... inflation did not drop, it increased. Just not as much as expected.
It did drop. Did you see the replacement numbers from last year. It was basically zero. So to have this report show its "cooling" means we are at or below too lates target
And when i say cut rates i dont mean to zero. But what else does the Fed need to cut? Or are they playing politics.
Posted on 6/11/25 at 8:19 am to SDVTiger
Posted on 6/11/25 at 8:20 am to stout
The US has to refinance $9.2 trillion on bonds before this year is over. That's one of the big reasons Trump has been requesting rate cuts. Not sure, but I think 1/2 0f 1% on that 9.2 equals $46 billion in interest payments. US total debt is a little over $36 trillion. 1/2 of 1% interest on that equals about $180 billion.
Posted on 6/11/25 at 8:22 am to Victor R Franko
quote:
The US has to refinance $9.2 trillion on bonds before this year is over. That's one of the big reasons Trump has been requesting rate cuts. Not sure, but I think 1/2 0f 1% on that 9.2 equals $46 billion in interest payments. US total debt is a little over $36 trillion. 1/2 of 1% interest on that equals about $180 billion.
There is no guarantee that a Federal Reserve rate cut will bring the 10-year yield down.
Posted on 6/11/25 at 8:26 am to stout
Per CNBC 
Posted on 6/11/25 at 8:48 am to Victor R Franko
quote:
The US has to refinance $9.2 trillion on bonds before this year is over. That's one of the big reasons Trump has been requesting rate cuts. Not sure, but I think 1/2 0f 1% on that 9.2 equals $46 billion in interest payments. US total debt is a little over $36 trillion. 1/2 of 1% interest on that equals about $180 billion.
Bond yields are far more of a function of auction tails than EFFR. Tails have averaged slightly higher since COVID and are likely to continue a slow increase as Congress continues to create $1.5T+ deficits (which will likely grow to $2T+ within the next 5 years). I mean, I get the desire to cut servicing costs, but we're pretty much at the point now where we're trying to bail water out of a sinking ship by choosing a bucket with only slightly smaller holes.
Posted on 6/11/25 at 9:11 am to I20goon
quote:
just to be clear... inflation did not drop, it increased.
Most likely due to spring/summer gasoline blending requirements combined with more travelers. Fuel is always a little more expensive this time of year.
Posted on 6/11/25 at 9:25 am to stout
Rates and inflation are inversely related. We need to keep them where they are at. They are still historically low.
Posted on 6/11/25 at 9:27 am to stout
I’ve been saying that early summer was when the price increases were coming. I shared supplier emails telling everyone so. companies had to burn through inventories and the tariffs would lag. We’re getting to the point where the tariffed products will begin to hit the both the consumer and businesses.
companies had to burn through inventories and the tariffs would lag. We’re getting to the point where the tariffed products will begin to hit the both the consumer and businesses.Posted on 6/11/25 at 9:29 am to Figgy
quote:
I shared supplier emails telling everyone so. companies had to burn through inventories and the tariffs would lag.
We might see the old stagflation occur again.
Posted on 6/11/25 at 9:49 am to stout
"See, we don't need a rate cut!" --board idiots
Posted on 6/11/25 at 9:50 am to jrobic4
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