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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

Posted on 7/31/25 at 9:29 am to
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5747 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 9:29 am to
Anton Gerashchenko
@Gerashchenko_en
·
21m
Russia killed 6-year-old Matvii Marchenko, a young karateka from the Sen-Bin karate club, in Kyiv today.

Matvii was the youngest son in the family. His older brothers, Mykhailo, 8, and Lev, 12, also take karate classes.

According to Matvii's coach, Matvii boy had been training for a year and a half, and despite his young age, he was very focused and serious about training.

"Matvii was a very good and well-behaved child. As strange as it may sound, one day he came to me and said: 'Ihor Anatoliiovych, I want to beat everyone and surpass my brother Lev in medals,' " his coach recalls.

One more piece of Ukrainian future destroyed by Russia.

Deepest condolences to Matvii's family.


Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42771 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 9:41 am to
I doubt either side is bringing in enough personnel to replace their losses. There is plenty of information to indicate that’s the case.

One thing in Ukrsibs’s favor is that generally speaking it takes fewer people to defend than attack.

Of course in Russia’s favor we know that have more people to draw upon.

So we look to the battlefield to ascertain what is going on. Ukrsine is holding on, but there are cracks here and there. Russia gradually takes advantage of those cracks, but they can not make any really big gains.

How long csn this last? Many say no more than 6-12 months, but others go longer than that. Few have been correct so far.

This post was edited on 7/31/25 at 10:29 am
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42771 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 9:41 am to
quote:

Guess who is paying for that?


Russia
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16148 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 10:04 am to
Deathonomics
Posted by LARancher1991
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2015
2321 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 10:37 am to
Yea majority of them have been conscripts but their professional army units have suffered a lot of casualties as well
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8441 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 10:51 am to
quote:

Yea majority of them have been conscripts but their professional army units have suffered a lot of casualties as well



Well technically they cant send conscripts to the front lines. So by official government counts they have used any conscripts at the front yet.

BUT what they are doing is conscripting people and then tricking them if not outright forcing them into signing contracts as front line soldiers right after basic training completes. So they "aren't using conscripts" technically even though they are relying on them in practicality.

Still, at least personnel wise you would rather be in Russia's position right now. They at least aren't outright conscripting people to go to the front (even if they are doing shady shite its hard to know exactly how widespread those practices are), and the average age of their troops is still lower than Ukraine's.
Posted by LARancher1991
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2015
2321 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 10:54 am to
Yea true and I guess another benefit the Russians have is that at least according to the latest troop positions if you are sent to the front you have a higher chance to be sent to a unit that has some professional soldiers in it. Unlike Ukraine were you might just be sent to a place with a bunch of guys that have only themselves been there a couple of days and have no real military training.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16148 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

Yea true and I guess another benefit the Russians have is that at least according to the latest troop positions if you are sent to the front you have a higher chance to be sent to a unit that has some professional soldiers in it. Unlike Ukraine were you might just be sent to a place with a bunch of guys that have only themselves been there a couple of days and have no real military training.


It's literally the opposite. There are very few professional Russian soldiers remaining from 2022 in the entire nation. Meat wave after meat wave starting at Popasna enroute to take Bakhmut. Their initial wide scale invasion units were chopped up as they traveled along river roads by Ukrainians on high ground, then as they retreated. This isn't even counting the 40 mile long convoy on the only highway through a wide marsh which Ukrainian artillery already had zeroed in.

Russia has been filling its army with soldiers from poor isolated parts of the nation, such as Tuva, where widows get huge compensations after death in battle. The the equivalent of over $100,000 payment where $5,000 is a annual wage is quite attractive to the black widows.
Posted by LARancher1991
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2015
2321 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 1:21 pm to
Maybe so but I find it hard to believe Russia is sending poorly trained and equipped soldiers to guard, motorized rifle, and VDV regiments. And if they are these regiments are most likely still composed of personnel from before the invasion. Storm Z and units like that yea I can see those being mostly cannon fodder.
Posted by AU86
Member since Aug 2009
26257 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

There are very few professional Russian soldiers remaining from 2022 in the entire nation.


Yet they continue to advance. They continue to hold the initiative.

What is the game plan when these tarrifs/sanctions by Trump fail?

I don't believe he will follow through with 100% sanctions on China, India or Brazil. You know why? Trump knows they won't work.

Even if he did, does anyone really believe this.will cause China or India to cry uncle?

The leftist lunatic that runs Brazil is already pissed at Trump.
This post was edited on 7/31/25 at 1:31 pm
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4645 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 1:29 pm to
quote:


Guess who is paying for that?


Russia






From Russian With Love - Vlad "Remains a Master Strategist" -

$20 Billion Russian money

Plus €35 Billion Russian money

Plus $50 Billion Russian money.

And that's just last year.

Posted by LARancher1991
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2015
2321 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 1:32 pm to
I think people forget how big the Russian military was before the war with an active force of around 1 million troops and a reserve of around 2 million. Even if the highest casualty rates are real which is around 1 million since the start of the war that still leaves around 2 million pre war personnel in the military
Posted by AU86
Member since Aug 2009
26257 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 1:32 pm to
Are you saying that the US hasn't been giving financial aid to run Ukraine's government, pay pensions or pay soldier salaries?

With all of that Russian money why do we need to send a dime over there?

Why has the new Ukrainian PM stated that she will be approaching the IMF and the US for loans to cover the next two years?

Why hasn't Ukraine started reimbursing us?

Cope and his propaganda. You are the Ukrainian JB.

This post was edited on 7/31/25 at 1:47 pm
Posted by GeauxBurrow312
Member since Nov 2024
6273 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

By May, fewer than 500 had signed up. They were offering a $24000 sign up bonus and an almost $3000 per month salary


Basically, fight 1 year, get 8 years worth of median pay + other benefits

Ukraine is fricked if they can’t get recruits with that enticement
Posted by AU86
Member since Aug 2009
26257 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 1:45 pm to
quote:

Ukraine is fricked if they can’t get recruits with that enticement


Why should they when all they have to do is run to Germany or Poland and draw welfare benefits?

Germany has stated that there are 150,000 Ukrainian military aged men there sitting on their arse drawing welfare.

If the truth was known we are probably reimbursing Germany and Poland for that.
This post was edited on 7/31/25 at 1:49 pm
Posted by GeauxBurrow312
Member since Nov 2024
6273 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 1:47 pm to
quote:

"At this stage, they are still children, big children," he added as the new recruits learned tactical medicine at a training site.


quote:

While they still have multiple weeks of training left before deploying, their first experience of simulated artillery and drone attacks came as a shock to some. "It's like TikTok and real life: there is a big difference. In the video, it looks so cool, so easy, but in reality it's not," said Zakhariy Shatko, a 24-year-old who joined the scheme together with his friend Broshkov


quote:

For 18-year-old Yuriy Bobryshev - the first person to join the programme - the motivation to fight was personal. After escaping the Russian occupation of Volnovakha in the Donetsk region at the age of 15, he is haunted by memories of the violence as well as by the loss of his brother, who was killed there. "I saw too many bodies," Bobryshev said. "As soon as I left, I wanted to go fight."



The Slava Ukraini bros will happily sacrifice every last Ukrainian teen/young adult to punish Vlad
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4645 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 1:47 pm to
Speaking of tariffs not working -

quote:

India Tells Oil Refiners to Draw Up Plans for Non-Russian Crude

A major buyer of Russian oil, India is now finding itself blindsided by a more aggressive approach to the Kremlin from both Washington and Brussels.

quote:

India told its oil refiners to come up with plans for buying non-Russian crude, a scenario that would have far-reaching consequences for the global oil market if it ultimately meant reduced dealings with Moscow.

The government has asked state-owned processors to prepare an outline of where alternate barrels can be sourced and at what volume if Russian flows get stopped, people familiar with the matter said, asking not to be named due to the sensitivity of the matter. One of the people said that the instruction amounted to scenario planning in case Russian crude were to become unavailable.
quote:

The processors, who have become heavily dependent on cut-price Russian energy over the past few years, were already grappling with a proposed European Union ban on their exports of diesel made from Russian oil. With Washington now taking a harder line against the Kremlin too, the race to identify alternative sources of crude is gathering pace.
quote:

“Finding a replacement of Russian crude on the global market would be difficult, given the large volumes, faster-than-expected declines in OPEC spare capacity, and differences in crude qualities,” Goldman Sachs Group Inc. analysts including Yulia Grigsby said in a note.


Gee, you almost feel sorry for them. The Gulf suppliers are fixin to eat. These Indian refiners have been a pain for decades now and have bypaased everyone for the cheap Urals. So there will be little mercy and no credit.

By the way, Reliance is 49% owned by Rosneft, headed by none other than Igor Sechin. Yes, that Igor Sechin. Modi is now learning that the worst decision to make is no decision.

Bloomberg

Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5747 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 1:49 pm to
Posted by AU86
Member since Aug 2009
26257 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 1:51 pm to
Right. And you are still waiting on those Taurus missiles also aren't you?

Cope you can shite in one.hand and wish in the other. See which one fills up first.

Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4645 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

Are you saying that the US hasn't been giving financial aid to run Ukraine's government, pay pensions or pay soldier salaries?


No, I'm saying Russia has.

quote:

With all of that Russian money why do we need to send a dime over there?


We don't. Don't thank me, thank Putin.

quote:

Why has the new Ukrainian PM stated that she will be approaching the IMF and the US for loans to cover the next two years?


Because it will be more Russian money and Russia can't say no.

quote:

Why hasn't Ukraine started reimbursing us?


Because any repayment made, as doubtful as that may be, will be made with - wait for it - Russian money.

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