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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

Posted on 11/1/26 at 9:46 am to
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
17018 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 9:46 am to
quote:

Dunn and Bradstreet indicates that Shell Yabucoa employed 125 people. Really not a significant site.


It was an 80,000 BPD refinery built by Sunoil to import paraffinic crude for base fuels and base oil production, with slack wax coming from dewaxing base oil. Shell Chemical purchased it to refine reduced Brent crude (Brent is gassy like Bakken and can vapor lock pumps operating at capacity) primarily to ship naphtha to Norco and idled the base oil processing units. The process units received a thorough maintenance to zero hours status. CO2 was recovered from the hydrogen reformer and sold to mostly to the pharma plants, which WERE numerous on the island. Shell Oil managed sales of fuels on the island.

Our proposal to buy the refinery for $17 million, and relocate it to Libya was accepted. Texas contractor, Bay Ltd, was going to dismantle, refurbish, and re-erect it via its ownership of a Cairo, Egypt based contractor jointly owned with Saudi Arabia. Buckeye Terminals had previously purchased the tank farm, docks and land. Our sale was to be to Libya via a Maltese company owned by a Tunisian and a Belgian. Their offices, near Cannes, were used to start the "Arab Spring" which actually was a blood feud between the ruler of Tunisa and the family of the Tunisian partner.

So, I do have more of a clue than you do. In fact, I hired and fired similar to your experience.

Qaddafi was overthrown and thus no sale and purchase wasn't consummated. I spent 16-20 hrs per day working on this for 5 months. I worked with engineering firms, retired Shell employees who knew the refinery inside and out, the contractor, and supplier for needed outside battery limits equipment sourcing such as converting saltwater to boiler feed water, boilers, power generation and waste treatment. Bay was to provide an entire new tank farm. Profit would have been the better part of 9 figures.


Posted by bigjoe1
Member since Jan 2024
2178 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 10:04 am to
quote:

European aerospace company Destinus says it has completed 1,750 Ruta B1 cruise missiles, with monthly production now close to 300 units. The company says the system has moved from prototype production to full serial manufacturing. Destinus also produces the T150 turbojet engine, navigation system, airframe, guidance and avionics in-house, giving it control over most of the missile’s core production chain.


Is Ukraine getting these missiles?
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 11:07 am to
quote:

Is Ukraine getting these missiles?
Yes. All the testing and trials were done in Ukraine also. Cruise missiles, especially small ones like this Ruta, are far better at avoiding Russian AD than the Liutyis.

With production at 'close to' 300 missiles per month, Ukraine is getting the majority, if not all production right now. Kyiv has certainly been sourcing many jet turbines from this company as well.

It's possible that some of the attacks the Russians have named as Storm Shadows were in reality Rutas.
quote:

Wreckage of a cruise missile was posted online, on 24 July 2026, by Russian sources. The wreckage appears to be a [Ruta] Block 1 missile, on the “missile’s tail section” matching its “known design characteristics”. The tail section was intact only because the warhead had exploded. Location and date of the wreckage is unknown. There is also video of the missile flying towards an unknown target.

The range limitations could be the tell, as Storm Shadows have a 550km range. The Storm Shadows have three times the payload as well, so would be used for larger targets. But they are far more expensive and source-limited. 300 a month from the Dutch, who remember MH-17 very well, is exactly what Kyiv needs.

Evidence Of Ukraine Using Dutch Ruta Block 1 Cruise Missiles Emerges
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
17642 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 11:45 am to
quote:

We already import diesel from Canada while overall net exporter of diesel far more than the amount Trump is to have released to the world.


I don’t fully follow how trumps deal with Putin for diesel is more to do with releasing diesel to other countries since each country has their own sanctions against Russia and would make their own deals if they wanted to.

Posted by Trevaylin
south texas
Member since Feb 2019
11915 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 2:24 pm to
I donne know dun and Bradstreet sez 125 employees and you offered 17 million for the facility. Pretty small potatoes. Did your 17 million include the land and RCRA clean up cost or just the junk removal?
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 10:37 pm to
Yesterday's attack data available now.
quote:

Drones hit the AVT-5 and AVT-6 units at the Lukoil refinery in Kstovo, Nizhny Novgorod region.


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Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 10:41 pm to
These aircraft were being flown by a Russian military acrobatic team.

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This post was edited on 11/2/26 at 3:05 am
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 10:44 pm to
That Russian offensive though... really killing it.

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Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 10:50 pm to
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quote:

Striking 10% of Russian refining capacity in just 3 days after a two-week pause demonstrates Ukraine’s deliberate targeting competency, and operational preparation ability to rapidly execute coordinated strikes.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 10:55 pm to
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 10:59 pm to
quote:

Terekh, 34, said the company had found workarounds that allowed it to finish ?strike missions without using a satellite link.

"We have built with this in mind. Fire Point systems are designed to finish a ?mission without a satellite link,"
she said, discussing the recent SpaceX restrictions.

"Navigation that works without any external signal is a priority." She declined to give details of the ?workarounds but made clear that having full access to the SpaceX systems over Russia would be a significantly boost.

"We found a way to technologically overcome this challenge, ?but this only covers probably 15 to 20% of what we could do if the Starlink was working (over Russia)," she said in an interview during a visit to London this month.


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LINK

Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 11:48 pm to
Samara Oblast.
quote:

Ukraine struck the Samara Linear Production and Dispatch Station near Prosvet in Russia’s Samara region, with a large column of smoke rising over the area afterward. Operated by Transneft, the facility is one of Europe’s largest oil transport and storage hubs, with extensive tank capacity, pumping infrastructure and a role in moving crude toward refineries, the Druzhba pipeline and export terminals. The site has been targeted repeatedly.


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This post was edited on 11/2/26 at 3:12 am
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/2/26 at 3:09 am to
quote:

At least 28 Russian facilities were hit by Ukrainian long-range strikes between October 18 and November 1, excluding occupied Ukrainian territories. The recorded targets included 10 chemical-industry sites, 7 oil-sector facilities and 4 defense-industry sites, along with data centers, logistics hubs, a military airfield, substations and other infrastructure.

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Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
17018 posts
Posted on 11/2/26 at 5:19 am to
quote:


I donne know dun and Bradstreet sez 125 employees and you offered 17 million for the facility. Pretty small potatoes. Did your 17 million include the land and RCRA clean up cost or just the junk removal?


Can you read? The land, tank farm and docks had already been purchased. The refinery had to be moved for the new terminal, better than scrap carbon steel in a depressed market. Not a lot of junk there. Why do profitable chemical companies buy plants which have been shutdown? Why do they also consider and often relocate entire processes. Like Westlake which is highly successful do? Less lead time for delivery means sooner ROI. Natural gas processing companies buy previously used plants all of the time, especially amine units. UCC bought used equipment a LOT.

FWIW the cost to demolish and scrap was a cost to Shell. Scrap credit was not enough to cover demolition cost. Cost for all new on the other end would have over $1 billion.

You still don't know shite about oil, midstream, and refining.
This post was edited on 11/2/26 at 5:25 am
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
17018 posts
Posted on 11/2/26 at 5:36 am to
quote:

"Navigation that works without any external signal is a priority." She declined to give details of the ?workarounds but made clear that having full access to the SpaceX systems over Russia would be a significantly boost.


Cruise missiles have been doing this for decades
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
17018 posts
Posted on 11/2/26 at 6:23 am to
quote:

I don’t fully follow how trumps deal with Putin for diesel is more to do with releasing diesel to other countries since each country has their own sanctions against Russia and would make their own deals if they wanted to.


European countries have been importing it all along. The sanctions were originally their sanctions. Europe was also importing refined products from China made from Iranian and Russian oil. China cut off exports when supply of drastically discounted crude from Iran was cut off. South Korea and Japan relied on crude oil coming through Hormuz. They were even exempt from US sanctions on Iran. Shiploads of base oil came even came to the US exported from UAE, but was actually re-exported Iranian refinery production.

Asphalt (the bottoms from a refinery vacuum unit not asphalt concrete on roads) along with base oil and its finished products lubricants, were labeled as coming from UAE but were actually from Iran, just relabeld.
This post was edited on 11/2/26 at 6:26 am
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
6189 posts
Posted on 11/2/26 at 6:53 am to
summary of WSJ article


Urgent Intel
@urgentintel
·
10h
WSJ: US PUSHING TO RESTORE RUSSIAN GAS SALES TO EUROPE — VIA UKRAINE

WSJ exclusive: the US is backing a quick restart of Russian natural-gas sales to Europe through pipelines running across Ukraine, as part of talks on an energy ceasefire before winter.

Envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff broached the idea during trips to Moscow and Kyiv in September.

The plan: sell Russian gas through a US intermediary to get around European sanctions. People in the talks say it could be lucrative for American investors.

US negotiators believe gas revenue gives Putin an incentive to agree to an energy truce. The White House proposed Russia put the European gas money into escrow so it isn't used for the war.

European capitals are resisting. The EU has legislated a phase-out of all Russian gas purchases by the end of 2027.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
17018 posts
Posted on 11/2/26 at 7:21 am to
quote:

US PUSHING TO RESTORE RUSSIAN GAS SALES TO EUROPE


Ukraine was paid handsomely for this to happen. There was an impasse on renewing the contract.

FTR, using all of the Brotherhood system, Nordstream was not needed with an expansion from the Austrian hub. Part of the system was shut in 2014
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8901 posts
Posted on 11/2/26 at 7:31 am to
quote:

Cruise missiles have been doing this for decades


I'm sure Ukraine will invent another super weapon soon
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
17018 posts
Posted on 11/2/26 at 7:55 am to
quote:

I'm sure Ukraine will invent another super weapon soon


Necessity is the mother of invention. Both sides have innovated the last 4 1/2 years
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