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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

Posted on 11/2/26 at 8:45 am to
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/2/26 at 8:45 am to
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This post was edited on 11/2/26 at 10:20 am
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/2/26 at 8:54 am to
All and more than you need to know about Belgium's resistance to using the principal of the Russian Euroclear investment funds.
quote:

Belgium’s opposition to using frozen Russian assets to finance Ukraine is increasingly indefensible. Brussels has offered to mutualise the financial risks, but Belgium has failed to specify what guarantees it actually needs. The problem is political, not legal. A thread 1/

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quote:

Belgium’s concerns fall into two categories: legal risks, notably court-ordered damages against Euroclear, and broader hybrid threats from Russia. The former are identifiable and can be insured against. The latter are inherently difficult to quantify 2/
quote:

The most concrete disagreement concerned arbitration awards against Euroclear. Belgium wanted EU guarantees to kick in as soon as damages were awarded, potentially by an arbitration tribunal in Dubai, Hong Kong or elsewhere. Other governments and the Commission considered this unreasonable
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Why? Because an arbitration award does not automatically translate into a financial loss. It might never be enforced. Governments frequently ignore such awards. The Commission therefore proposed that guarantees should kick in only when assets were actually confiscated and a financial cost incurred. Belgium refused to accept this distinction
quote:

The broader point is that Belgium’s position has become impossible to justify. The EU has offered to share identifiable financial risks. Belgium has demanded sweeping guarantees without defining their scope, triggers or costs. That is not a serious basis for negotiation

In other words, Belgium is being classic Belgium.
quote:

There is a reason that Douglas Adams (Hitch Hikers Guide to the Universe) made Belgium the worst swear word in the Universe.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/2/26 at 9:22 am to
That was not a drone...
quote:

Ukrainian strikes hit two telecom facilities in Russian-occupied Luhansk overnight: the Lugacom backbone operator and the Luhansk Telephone Company. Their infrastructure supports mobile, internet and data services used by Russian occupation forces. This marks the fifth recorded hit on occupation communications since October 21.

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Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/2/26 at 9:42 am to
quote:

The meat grinder awaits.
quote:

Estonia’s Internal Security Service (KaPo) deported Russian national Leonid Karabeshkin and imposed a Schengen entry ban on him. KaPo said he maintains extensive links to Russian intelligence and is “linked to influence networks such as CIRP, RuBaltic and Regnum,” plus sanctioned individuals

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Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/2/26 at 9:53 am to
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
6189 posts
Posted on 11/2/26 at 11:42 am to
The strikes targeted a school used for humanitarian purposes – people were receiving humanitarian aid there. After the first aerial bomb strike, there was a double-tap strike with nine more bombs, specifically targeting the shelter where people were taking cover. Tragically, 18 people have already been reported killed. My condolences to their families and loved ones. Five people have been injured. A rescue operation is underway at the site, and the search for people continues. It is extremely difficult. Military forces, first responders, and special services are involved.

The Russians could not have been unaware that every week, local residents who had remained in Komyshuvakha received humanitarian aid at that very location. And this is further proof that Russia wants no de-escalation and no real justice. After the humanitarian operation in Oleshky, there was a moment when the next steps could have shown that progress toward peace was possible. With these killings, Russia is sending an entirely opposite signal: Russia is counting on more killings. There must be a response to this – a response from the world. A strong and tough response. A response to Russia. And support for Ukraine. We must protect lives. Thank you to everyone who is helping!
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Posted by ned nederlander
Member since Dec 2012
6388 posts
Posted on 11/2/26 at 11:48 am to
quote:

US negotiators believe gas revenue gives Putin an incentive to agree to an energy truce. The White House proposed Russia put the European gas money into escrow so it isn't used for the war.


The logic of giving concessions to Putin to incentive concessions back from Putin would seem to rely on the memory of a goldfish.

And believing you can make money non-fungible is deliberately naïve.
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
6189 posts
Posted on 11/2/26 at 3:50 pm to
Zelenskyy's defence tech adviser announces protective "dome" over Kyiv that interferes with Shahed radio communications – photos

Tetyana Oliynyk — 2 November, 19:24



Serhii "Flash" Beskrestnov, an adviser to the Ukrainian president on defence technologies, has said a protective "dome" has been created over Kyiv that disrupts the radio communications used by Shahed drones.

Source: Beskrestnov on Facebook

Details: Beskrestnov explained that Russian drone operators use mesh radio communications to control Shahed loitering munitions remotely, so a protective dome had to be established over Kyiv to interfere with these signals.

Quote: "The task was large-scale and ambitious: a huge amount of work had to be completed across the entire city in just a few weeks.

All the major manufacturers of electronic warfare equipment were involved in the process, working around the clock to produce and install the equipment. The General Staff, the Ministry of Defence, the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the National Security and Defence Council, the President's Office and other units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine worked on the operation. The president supervised the operation throughout."

Quote: "We are talking about many hundreds of locations across the city for antennas and equipment. This operation has forced the enemy to pause, upgrade their Shaheds and look for other solutions."

Ukrainska Pravda
Posted by goatmilker
With Chinese expect nationalism
Member since Feb 2009
78902 posts
Posted on 11/2/26 at 6:20 pm to
I will say this. Whomever it is. Stealing/taking the money of a top three power on the planet should be done with the greatest care. Keyboard warriors need not respond lol
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/3/26 at 1:19 am to
quote:

Stealing/taking the money of a top three power on the planet should be done with the greatest care. Keyboard warriors need not respond lol
Russia's GDP is 11th in the world, between Spain and Brazil. That also puts it below the GDP of each of California and Texas.

What's worse is that it has the structure of a Third World extractive economy as over 80% is derived from oil and gas exports. Very little is developed, diversified economic production. As this war is showing in spades.

The Belgians just want someone else to take the blame for these funds going to Kyiv. The EU is on record for splitting this risk, so the Kremlin won't be able to target any one country or office.

Watch for a 'power play', 'forcing' Brussels to give up possession, even though they 'fight like hell' to keep it. In spite of the drama, the pre-ordained result will however be the same - the money will be confiscated.

When it happens, De Wever will conveniently be out of the country. Way out, like in Japan.


.




She's right you know.

This post was edited on 11/3/26 at 3:31 am
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/3/26 at 1:26 am to
quote:

Ukrainian Armed Forces attacked the Yaroslavl Oil Refinery. "Slavneft-YANOS" in Yaroslavl is among the top five largest oil refineries in the Russian Federation. Its capacity is approximately 15 million tons of oil per year.

The facility produces gasoline, diesel, aviation fuel, and other petroleum products, supplying, among others, the Moscow region, airports, and Russian military-industrial complex facilities.
quote:

YANOS was mostly offline after the 25 August attack. It was just recently restarted, with Ukraine waiting for Slavneft to waste the money, parts, and resources to repair the refinery in vain.
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The attack on Yaroslavl is still underway. Russian radar reports put the number of drones pushing toward the city’s oil refinery at up to 150. The pressure on Moscow’s defences is immense as the raid continues.
quote:

Yaroslavl Oil Refinery - there it is. Russia's refinery capacity has almost certainly gone net negative again. Expect to see fuel shortages in the next 5 to 10 days. The distribution will be different, as regions in the Far East and remote parts of Siberia got their fuel supply for the winter.


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This post was edited on 11/3/26 at 1:33 am
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/3/26 at 1:35 am to
quote:

Yandex has a new way to hide Russian military sites: replace them with a computer-generated forest.

In Omsk Oblast, the Tribuna communications hub of Russia’s 33rd Strategic Rocket Forces Missile Army appears on Google Maps. On Yandex, the same site is covered by dense, eerily identical trees.

The trick is familiar. We previously found a missile position near Kronstadt replaced with drawn-on forest in Yandex imagery. Moscow has moved beyond blurring sensitive sites. But the fake woodland still gives the game away.

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Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/3/26 at 1:39 am to
Where is radio money? The continuing saga of Russian corruption (pardon the redundancy) winning the war for Ukraine.
quote:

Russia has spent tens of billions of rubles on secure military radios. Yet its soldiers in Ukraine are still going into the field with cheap Chinese sets. That includes analogue radios Ukrainian forces can readily intercept.

Russian Ministry of Defence footage from 16 to 30 October 2026 exposes the state of Russian tactical communications. The radios visible on soldiers in those official videos are mostly TYT digital handhelds, nicknamed “tuts” by Russian troops, alongside cheaper Baofeng analogue sets known as “bafiks.”

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Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/3/26 at 3:03 am to
Lots to consider with the change in the PM's office in Belgium and ECB President Christine Legarde leaving her position early as well.
quote:

So there are three separate political tests. An ECB successor less opposed to the mechanism. A French president willing to back it. A Belgian government that will no longer block it. The first two could give Germany enough weight to challenge Belgium’s position even without a change in Brussels. A more receptive Belgian coalition would make that fight easier.

The European Commission is searching for additional financing for Ukraine in the years ahead. Frozen Kremlin assets are bound to remain in that discussion. Their full use would not be a gift from Europe to Ukraine. It would put the financial burden of Russia’s war on the Russian state instead of leaving Ukraine and its partners to carry it while Moscow’s assets sit protected.
quote:

Christine Lagarde is due to leave the European Central Bank on 7 February. That is nine months before her term ends in October 2027. Her successor will therefore be chosen before France’s presidential election on 18 April.

When you do it affects the outcome. Emmanuel Macron can take part in the choice while he is still president. If Lagarde had served her full term, a new French president would have had that seat at the table instead. That could have been Marine Le Pen or Jean-Luc Melenchon. Le Pen has already criticised the early departure for depriving her of influence over the appointment.

The next ECB president may still prove less friendly to Ukraine. The ECB has warned against fully using frozen Russian assets, citing financial and legal risks. Lagarde briefly appeared open to a possible mechanism. Then the bank returned to a critical position after Paris backed a fallback approach and further risk analysis. Changing its president could change the argument in the room. By itself, that leaves the question open.

Berlin has been considering Klaas Knot, the former Dutch central bank governor; Pablo Hernandez de Cos, the former Spanish central bank governor; and Bundesbank chief Joachim Nagel. Friedrich Merz has held personal talks with Knot and Hernandez de Cos. A candidate backed by Germany could be less hostile to using the assets. But that position has to be won in the appointment process, not assumed from a passport.
quote:

Edouard Philippe has called for greater help to Ukraine, including through the use [of Russian funds]. Raphael Glucksmann also supports the idea. A victory by either could give Berlin the French partner it lacked when Paris chose caution over the asset plan.

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Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/3/26 at 3:06 am to
Coincidentally... more changes in Serbia.

quote:

After Vucic’s election defeat, Serbia’s central bank revoked Alta Banka’s licence. Its owner, Vucic ally Davor Macura, reportedly took $383 million in cash from the vault. He twice tried to flee to Moscow.

The bank welcomed Russians in Serbia. It opened accounts with little proof of funds and accepted ruble transfers. Now its customers cannot access their money.

It recalls accounts of Yanukovych’s 2014 escape from Ukraine. An empty vault. And $1.5 billion in cash allegedly carried away. Same destination, familiar instincts.

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Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/3/26 at 3:12 am to
Re last night's attack on the Slavneft-YANOS in Yaroslavl -

quote:

We record the damage to the primary oil refining unit - ELOU-AVT-4 and the tank farm behind it.

The neighboring ELOU-AVT-3 was also damaged.

Several fire centers are the work of flares in emergency pressure relief mode. Another source of fire has not yet been identified and will be clarified during the day as new footage from the Russians appears.

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Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/3/26 at 3:16 am to
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/3/26 at 3:19 am to
Russian drone port hit. Looks like substantial damage.

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Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
6105 posts
Posted on 11/3/26 at 3:24 am to
Posted by WeeWee
Member since Aug 2012
46437 posts
Posted on 11/3/26 at 6:55 am to
Russia has become mordor.
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