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Started By
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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted on 6/2/26 at 2:53 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 6/2/26 at 2:53 am to Coeur du Tigre
1
Posted on 6/2/26 at 2:58 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 6/2/26 at 3:16 am to Coeur du Tigre
Rosenberg with another video with astute observations about a confused and panicked Moscow press.
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If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 6/2/26 at 3:39 am to Coeur du Tigre
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This is wild... Russia seems to be threatening a *commercial* satellite that provides imaging services to Ukraine:
- starting about two weeks ago, Russia started maneuvering five (!) of their classified satellites to the same orbital inclination as the ICEYE satellite
- these burns were big, on the order of 100 m/s, clearly using chemical propulsion given the speed of the burns — very expensive and deliberate maneuvers
- as of last Friday, all five Russian satellites are now co-planar, at ~97.8° inclination, with three of ICEYE's satellites, and aligned in other orbital elements (e.g. RAAN) that make it clear they're specifically targeting this set
- I am a little skeptical that Russia is specifically targeting -X36 — there are two other satellites at the same inclination/RAAN (-X37 and -X38) — but the Russian sats are now all within striking distance of -X36, which is why people are concerned about it specifically; the closest cross-track distance is an estimated 500 meters (!!), all while the satellites are orbit 550 kilometers above Earth
- Russia has unleashed a cyberattack on a commercial satellite before (Viasat), and it is official Russian policy that commercially-owned infrastructure that aids in military efforts "may be legitimate target[s] for a retaliatory strike.”
- there's speculation that this could be a precursor to an RPO mission (meaning: physically grabbing the satellite or some other kind of non-kinetic attack like blinding/jamming)
Worth tracking closely. And unfortunately more evidence that space is militarizing, fast.
Posted on 6/2/26 at 5:27 am to Coeur du Tigre
This is a really useful and detailed read on the single biggest development in the conflict's last six months: Ukraine's increasing strikes in the mid-range. (Written by Jacob Janovsky, who now maintains the Oryx lists)
LINK
LINK
Posted on 6/2/26 at 6:53 am to cypher
Russian strike on Kyiv: 6 killed and 64 injured, including children and power engineers – photos, video
Iryna Balachuk — 2 June, 12:13
Ukrainska Pravda
Iryna Balachuk — 2 June, 12:13
Ukrainska Pravda
Posted on 6/2/26 at 6:53 am to cypher
duplicate
This post was edited on 6/2/26 at 8:21 am
Posted on 6/2/26 at 6:56 am to cypher
Death toll from Russian strike on Dnipro rises to 11 as bodies of woman and child recovered from rubble
Iryna Balachuk — 2 June, 13:04
Source: Oleksandr Hanzha, Head of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration
Quote: "There are now 11 fatalities... Two of them are children. Rescue workers recovered the bodies of a woman and an eight-year-old boy from the ruins of a four-storey building in Dnipro damaged by the enemy."
Details: Another 37 people were injured. Twenty-two of them remain in hospital.
Ukrainska Pravda
UPDATE:
Death toll from Russian missile strike on Dnipro rises to 16 as rescue operation ends
Search and rescue operations have been completed in a residential neighborhood of Dnipro hit by Russian missiles overnight. The attack killed 16 people and injured 42 others.
Ukrinform
Iryna Balachuk — 2 June, 13:04
Source: Oleksandr Hanzha, Head of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration
Quote: "There are now 11 fatalities... Two of them are children. Rescue workers recovered the bodies of a woman and an eight-year-old boy from the ruins of a four-storey building in Dnipro damaged by the enemy."
Details: Another 37 people were injured. Twenty-two of them remain in hospital.
Ukrainska Pravda
UPDATE:
Death toll from Russian missile strike on Dnipro rises to 16 as rescue operation ends
Search and rescue operations have been completed in a residential neighborhood of Dnipro hit by Russian missiles overnight. The attack killed 16 people and injured 42 others.
Ukrinform
This post was edited on 6/2/26 at 11:25 am
Posted on 6/2/26 at 9:21 am to cypher
While Russia ratchets up the terror bombings things along the front aren’t going well for them. Russian gains have been minimal and their losses have been greater than their gains.
ISW report
quote:
Key Takeaways
Ukrainian forces have largely halted the Russian Spring-Summer 2026 offensive so far, and Russian forces in May 2026 have gained a presence in only a fraction of the territory they did in May 2025.
Other sources with different methodologies are also recording a slow Russian rate of advance in May 2026. Russia’s declining gains appear to be unrelated to the seasonal weather shifts that traditionally hinder advances but is likely the result of more comprehensive battlefield shifts in 2026.
Russian President Vladimir Putin is reportedly resisting pressure to reduce defense spending and end his war against Ukraine despite increased warnings from economic officials about the unsustainable strain his war effort is putting on the Russian economy.
Putin’s unwillingness to cut defense spending and scale down his war effort suggests that Putin believes that he will be able to win the war in the near to medium term and that the Russian economy is able to hold on until then.
Ukrainian forces advanced in the Pokrovsk direction. Russian forces launched 265 long-range drones at Ukraine overnight.
ISW report
Posted on 6/2/26 at 9:38 am to Chromdome35
quote:
It is going to be an interesting summer. Can Ukraine force Russia to the negotiating table?
Time will tell.
With the current Russian and Ukrainian regimes? IDK that is going to be a tough ask because I do not see either side moving much. However, Putin's mouthpiece did just say this. It is likely meaningless BS from the Kremlin but it is a change.
This post was edited on 6/2/26 at 10:32 am
Posted on 6/2/26 at 1:08 pm to GOP_Tiger
quote:
This is a really useful and detailed read on the single biggest development in the conflict's last six months: Ukraine's increasing strikes in the mid-range. (Written by Jacob Janovsky, who now maintains the Oryx lists)
Yes, that's a good read. Thanks. For statistical compilation and the limited analysis that can be drawn from it, I also follow Oko Gora and Clement Molin.
Posted on 6/2/26 at 1:16 pm to Coeur du Tigre
Easily avoidable. Why in the world would these exceedingly long range aircraft land within drone range? Are they taking off with half-full tanks?
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If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 6/2/26 at 1:23 pm to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 6/2/26 at 3:58 pm to Coeur du Tigre
Just got off the phone with the an old friend, international grain trader. It looks like weather in Russia might have a massive grain failure there this year. Farmers and traders everywhere actually need this because no one is making any money in the global trade right now.
Posted on 6/2/26 at 10:36 pm to CitizenK
quote:
Just got off the phone with the an old friend, international grain trader. It looks like weather in Russia might have a massive grain failure there this year. Farmers and traders everywhere actually need this because no one is making any money in the global trade right now.
Seems likely that fuel shortages, fertilizer shortages and even labor shortages are contributing factors.
In the Soviet era, food shortages from the collectivized state farms happen a few times resulting in famine.
Posted on 6/3/26 at 1:46 am to Auburn1968
quote:
Ukrainian drones attacked the St. Petersburg oil terminal hours before the city opened its international economic forum. Local residents reported explosions, thick smoke over the port and dozens of drones flying across the city, while Russian forces used helicopters in attempts to intercept them.
All those AfD prostitutes from Germany are getting a full view of reality for a change.
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This post was edited on 6/3/26 at 7:43 am
Posted on 6/3/26 at 1:48 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 6/3/26 at 1:51 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 6/3/26 at 4:04 am to Coeur du Tigre
Bavovna of the Week©.
More video from St. Petersburg coming out. Will these attacks continue all week, preventing the Russian prostitutes (literal as well as figurative) from getting any sleep? What about the airports? Once the speeches on cultural friendship end, how will these assholes get home?
More video from St. Petersburg coming out. Will these attacks continue all week, preventing the Russian prostitutes (literal as well as figurative) from getting any sleep? What about the airports? Once the speeches on cultural friendship end, how will these assholes get home?
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The Saint Petersburg International Economic Forum of 2026 (SPIEF 2026) in Russia has started with a very fiery keynote speech by the Ukrainian surprise guests.
This post was edited on 6/3/26 at 4:08 am
Posted on 6/3/26 at 4:13 am to Coeur du Tigre
And while they were in the neighborhood...
quote:
Particularly notable is that the strike was carried out using guided strike drones controlled in real time 900 km from Ukraine.
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