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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted on 3/18/26 at 8:37 pm to Chromdome35
Posted on 3/18/26 at 8:37 pm to Chromdome35
quote:
I know most of you follow the war closer than the average man on the street. When's the last time you heard about Russian artillery being a factor on the battlefield? FPV drone warfare has negated that advantage. It's negated that advantage by exceeding the range of artillery. That is why medium range systems like HIMARS, ATACMS, etc... are more important now, because they outrange the FPV's.
Tubes wear out and wear out faster with bad shells Many of the artillery tubes were already OLD and likely no preservatives such as cosmoline while being stored outside. Many of the FPV kills of armored vehicles were after being disabled by mines.
0
Posted on 3/18/26 at 8:48 pm to VolSquatch
quote:
How much of an impact do you think Russia's support is actually having on Iran like now? Seems to be close to zero at this point
They have shared strategies on getting Shaheds around air defense by sending them on loop de loop paths, which they learned to do in Ukraine, so Iran is striking targets in surrounding countries... Iran also seems to know how to overwhelm the Iron Dome and land missiles in Israel, now, but I think they've been testing that slowly for quite a while.
Do we know what's being supplied via the Caspian Sea, or through the -Stans?
Posted on 3/19/26 at 3:01 am to ned nederlander
quote:
If we really all a few hundred missiles away from a complete Ukrainian victory and the collapse of Putin . . . we really did waste a lot of time and money. I think your forecast is a touch rosy for the boys in blue and yellow.
It wasn't a waste of time and money as both were needed to knock down Russia to the state they're in now - a military and government that are very close to losing everything.
The destruction of the military and the supporting industrial capacity couldn't have happened in less time. Unless they had the needed support of the US, specifically the Tomahawk missiles.
Remember, the Ukrainians were learning all the new tech as they went along. What worked, what didn't, what was possible. It was the Russians that wasted all their time and money because their heads were stuck in the past, when they had won their war against Germany and people still feared their army.
With the rate the world is changing now, that was bound to fail, they just needed the time it took to burn through all their manpower and stored armaments. They got some tech and supporting components from Iran and China and some manpower from North Korea, but it wasn't enough and they still have been unable to adjust to the new Ukrainian weapon systems and production capacity.
Posted on 3/19/26 at 3:25 am to bigjoe1
quote:
I've read Putin started arresting members of his family and the family of top aids and was holding them hostage.
I can't find anything that confirms this and it doesn't conform to the practices of private security forces in Russia anyway. Private (wealthy) individuals without private armies, yes. Threats to their families are used to ensure compliance with their arrests. But not organized forces like Wagner. They have the organizational power to defend their families and to attack the families of arresting officers. It is, after all, a mafia.
No, Prigozhin was pissed off at the choking of support for Wagner and the purposeful destruction inflicted on them at Bakhmut, but he was still loyal to Putin and wanted to demonstrate his loyalty by calling off the march.
So he trusted Putin to respond equally. That's called denial and in a place like Russia, it gets people killed faster than anything. Prigozhin needed a little less Chamberlain and a bunch more Catherine di Medici - "Trust no one."
Posted on 3/19/26 at 3:35 am to ned nederlander
quote:
have tanks seen their last war? Has drone warfare rendered them largely obsolete?
Yes and yes. Drone warfare has made anything that's moves more slowly than the drone obsolete. They have greater firepower and accuracy than tanks, greater range and accuracy than artillery and require minimal manpower, training or equipment.
Ukraine has learned this and is acting accordingly. So has Iran.
Posted on 3/19/26 at 3:40 am to Lee B
quote:
How much of an impact do you think Russia's support is actually having on Iran like now? Seems to be close to zero at this point
1.) Iran required satellite targeting data in order to hit the US radar installations in the PG;
2.) Iran has no satellites.
Posted on 3/19/26 at 5:40 am to Coeur du Tigre
Ukrainian drones having taken out most of the relevant AD systems in Crimea over the last eight months, anything of military value there is existing on borrowed time. This goes for the entire Region of Krasnodar Krai to the east of Kerch, an area rich in petroleum-related targets.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 3/19/26 at 7:42 am to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
1.) Iran required satellite targeting data in order to hit the US radar installations in the PG;
For stationary targets Google Earth should be sufficient. Ryan McBeth has talked about how little use Russia's very few satellites can actually help.
Posted on 3/19/26 at 10:07 am to CitizenK
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. A psychiatric hospital in Russia.
That sounds like a hell that I cannot imagine. I would be hoping for a rooftop discharge. Posted on 3/19/26 at 11:57 am to CitizenK
quote:
1.) Iran required satellite targeting data in order to hit the US radar installations in the PG;
For stationary targets Google Earth should be sufficient. Ryan McBeth has talked about how little use Russia's very few satellites can actually help.
Yes, not needed for stationary targets but for the drones themselves. Long range drones need satellites for the drone's real time triangulation positioning as well as determining altitude. US GPS and Russian GLONASS also employ the super accurate atomic clocks needed to correct vectors after loss of signal breaks due to weather or smoke disruption.
All this can be done theoretically with terraine mapping, but this is rare in a cheap drone and of limited use in open desert areas as well.
Posted on 3/19/26 at 1:36 pm to WeeWee
Seems Russia lost the war when they allowed North Korea into their patriotic necessity.
Posted on 3/19/26 at 1:56 pm to Coeur du Tigre
If Crimea has no air defense, why is the Kerch bridge still standing?
Posted on 3/19/26 at 3:46 pm to Athanatos
quote:
If Crimea has no air defense, why is the Kerch bridge still standing?
That's a good question. If the strategy is to take out air defense systems with long range drones and then follow that with the missiles, then why not Kerch? The only thing that makes sense is that it is not a priority target. Destroying it now doesn't enhance the war effort. Those drones and missiles can be used to better effect elsewhere. Just a guess.
Posted on 3/19/26 at 3:47 pm to Athanatos
I have wondered this as well, the only thing I can think is to prevent some kind of humanitarian disaster that would be caused by cutting off Crimea from the mainland.
Posted on 3/19/26 at 4:10 pm to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
If the strategy is to take out air defense systems with long range drones and then follow that with the missiles, then why not Kerch? The only thing that makes sense is that it is not a priority target. Destroying it now doesn't enhance the war effort.
Early on destroying the Kerch bridge seemed to be at or near the top of Ukraine’s priorities. I assume it is still a pretty important supply choke point? And if not, I still think it would be a very useful symbolic blow Ukraine would want to deliver if they could.
Posted on 3/19/26 at 4:18 pm to Athanatos
There is a new railroad across southern Ukraine thus the need for supplies via Crimea has drastically diminished.
Posted on 3/19/26 at 4:45 pm to ned nederlander
from 2024...
Satellite shows Russians launching railway bypassing Crimean Bridge
Available satellite images show that the Russian occupiers have completed the construction and are gradually putting into operation a newly built railway branch between the settlements of Burne and Malovodne in the temporarily occupied part of Donetsk region. This branch is up to 80 kilometers long, and its launch allows the Russians to establish a railway connection between Taganrog and temporarily occupied Mariupol, essentially bypassing the "Crimean Bridge" to ensure the logistics of the Russian army in southern Ukraine.
Defense Express
Though not critical for logistics, it is still symbolic and will be struck, in my opinion , with domestically produced weapons. Ukes may use it for field testing the FP-9.
Satellite shows Russians launching railway bypassing Crimean Bridge
Available satellite images show that the Russian occupiers have completed the construction and are gradually putting into operation a newly built railway branch between the settlements of Burne and Malovodne in the temporarily occupied part of Donetsk region. This branch is up to 80 kilometers long, and its launch allows the Russians to establish a railway connection between Taganrog and temporarily occupied Mariupol, essentially bypassing the "Crimean Bridge" to ensure the logistics of the Russian army in southern Ukraine.
Defense Express
Though not critical for logistics, it is still symbolic and will be struck, in my opinion , with domestically produced weapons. Ukes may use it for field testing the FP-9.
Posted on 3/19/26 at 4:55 pm to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
quote:
have tanks seen their last war? Has drone warfare rendered them largely obsolete?
Yes and yes. Drone warfare has made anything that's moves more slowly than the drone obsolete. They have greater firepower and accuracy than tanks, greater range and accuracy than artillery and require minimal manpower, training or equipment.
Ukraine has learned this and is acting accordingly. So has Iran.
The future of war is all drones, robots and AI.
That should scare the living shite out of all humanity.
Posted on 3/19/26 at 5:54 pm to Lee B
quote:
The future of war is all drones, robots and AI.
That should scare the living shite out of all humanity.
Drones robots and AI don’t seem scarier than nuclear bombs, hydrogen bombs, etc. The world generally has less capacity to destroy itself today than it did 50 years ago.
What should scare the living shite out of all humanity is a collapse of a general world peace enforced by the American world order and America’s network of alliances. Let’s hope NATO doesn’t collapse.
Posted on 3/19/26 at 7:10 pm to ned nederlander
I have been a fan of NATO for my entire life; however, I have begun to question its viability going forward. The Europeans for the most part have let their militaries atrophy because they knew we would come to their rescue. I mean, Britian barely has a navy today,
Russia isn't going to attack anyone else anytime soon and isn't really a threat to Europe anymore.
I saw a video on X yesterday with the PM of a European country saying something to the effect of the US can GTFO of their bases.
Without coming across as a troll, what other benefits does the US get from NATO today and next week other than basing rights?
Russia isn't going to attack anyone else anytime soon and isn't really a threat to Europe anymore.
I saw a video on X yesterday with the PM of a European country saying something to the effect of the US can GTFO of their bases.
Without coming across as a troll, what other benefits does the US get from NATO today and next week other than basing rights?
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