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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

Posted on 2/4/26 at 9:30 am to
Posted by No Colors
Sandbar
Member since Sep 2010
13312 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 9:30 am to
quote:

We are witnessing the beginning of the end of Ukraine’s defense of the Donbas.

When should we expect the Donbas to fall?
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8164 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 9:57 am to
Will Russia capture more than 1% of Ukraine in 2026?
Posted by Leopold
Columbia
Member since Sep 2013
2298 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 10:13 am to
quote:


We can see from the Russian advance in the Slavyansk direction what a critical loss the fall of Siversk was to Ukraine


Can you explain to me how, after about two months of fighting, losing this town is important? Outside of simply taking the land, which I get is worth something, how was this a 'critical loss?'
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
41304 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 10:14 am to
quote:

When should we expect the Donbas to fall?


What’s your timeline for Ukraine recapturing it?
Posted by Leopold
Columbia
Member since Sep 2013
2298 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 10:15 am to
quote:

So it seems that my theory that Putin has a video or pictures or whatever of a black tranny pissing on Trump while he calls her 'daddy' is looking more and more realistic.


The "Steele Dossier" has been debunked as totally made up for Hillary campaign


Posted by Leopold
Columbia
Member since Sep 2013
2298 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 10:16 am to
quote:

When should we expect the Donbas to fall?


What’s your timeline for Ukraine recapturing it?


The 22nd century.....
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3945 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 10:35 am to
quote:

In 1980 the USSR had a GDP that was 14x that of China. Today China has a GDP that is 10x that of Russia.

There are only two ways this ends for Russia. Very best case is as a client state of China feeding them raw materials for break even prices. And sending some of their surplus women to marry Chinese men.

The other option is actual collapse and being broken up into regional ethnic territories.

But if there was ever a moment when Europe and the US could have partnered with Russia to act as a buffer against China and N Korea....those days are long gone.

I have no idea if that was even possible. Or whose fault it was that it didnt happen. But this idea that we could end up in some sort of alliance with Russia to "save Europe from themselves" or some other such nonsense is a delusion.

We are gonna have to use our relationships with S Korea, Vietnam, Japan, Australia, the Philippines, etc to contain China. And use our traditional post WW2 NATO and EU alliances to contain Russia.

The idea of changing that alignment into some sort of new world order was never realistic. And these current conflicts spell that out more than ever.


Thank you.

Again, a Russian ex-pat on Youtube said "I want people to really understand this: Putin didn't create Russia, Russia created Putin!"

That's not saying Russian people are irredeemably awful... I know some fantastic people who are Russians (some unfortunately stuck there, now).

But the system and the Society is screwy... it has been the same way, no matter who called the shots there, for pretty much all of its history. As we've discussed, that's an inheritance of the Mongol occupation that shaped the way the Elites view and treat the population.

As far as China... well, unfortunately, the US is bringing a gun to a Chess Match. China is not trying to militarily dominate the West. It's trying to outsmart it and technologically dominate the planet.

First up, fossil fuels are a weakness for China, so they're going to remove it from their needs.

When they figured out that their demographic problems would mean a collapsing workforce, they went into overdrive on automation and "dark factories" have bloomed. I also - in all honesty - expect them to start human cloning in the next decade... or at least lab-produced humans, using that robot with a uterus they keep hyping in the press.

China will be a dystopian state out of a Sci Fi novel.

And what are we doing? Turning away the international students who excel at Science and Math who've always come here and kept us on top, and creating a retracting population in an economy that requires constant consumer growth... and rejecting Science... clinging to fossil fuels that keep us vulnerable...

China is going full-steam into the future. We are regressing.
This post was edited on 2/4/26 at 10:47 am
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3945 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 10:45 am to
quote:

quote:
And sending some of their surplus women to marry Chinese men.


There are lots of Chinese men who moved to Russia east of the Urals. Entire oblasts have direct trade relations with China in the same region. This is NOT new and started before 2014


Yes, like before history... because borders are imaginary human constructs and the "Russians" in the Eastern part of the continent are descended from the same people that the "Chinese" are descended from... as are Eskimos and Native Americans



Any ethnic differences among human populations are the result of becoming isolated and, what amounts to, inbreeding within limited populations over long periods, emphasizing certain traits that were advantageous to those environments.
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3945 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 10:52 am to
quote:

quote:
We are witnessing the beginning of the end of Ukraine’s defense of the Donbas.

When should we expect the Donbas to fall?


Mid-2023!
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3945 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 10:53 am to
quote:

quote:
When should we expect the Donbas to fall?


What’s your timeline for Ukraine recapturing it?



When Russia's forces collapse there and leave.
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3945 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 11:06 am to
quote:

The "Steele Dossier" has been debunked as totally made up for Hillary campaign.


It was created for Republicans opposing Trump in the primary... but when they had no reason to finish paying for it, it was sold to the Clinton campaign,

It is simply a collection of "intelligence," and that is always taken with grains of salt, because there is always misinformation in anything from foreign sources.

I'm still waiting for the revelations from "Hunter's Laptop," invoked like verified fact on this site daily, but nothing proven or even on the laptop itself from what I've seen (and I look whenever it's mentioned).
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42606 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 11:19 am to
quote:

What’s your timeline for Ukraine recapturing it?


Five years.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42606 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 11:22 am to
quote:

Mid-2023!


You were optimistic. I thought it would fall by spring of 2022.

The fact that we are watching it fall block by block four years later is stunning.
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5645 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 11:52 am to
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3945 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 11:57 am to
quote:

Russia is at best a regional player like Turkey or Poland or Ukraine. It's days of being a global player are long gone. Ukraine just exposed how fall it has fallen on the world stage.



The U.S. and China are now the two big dogs... India is a wannabe but is probably too screwy to ever pull it together...

and the E.U. might unify enough to emulate the U.S.

U.S./E.U. and NATO-like coalitions of States are the superpowers of the future... but human behavior gets in the way (we can't even get along among ourselves here...).

Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3945 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 12:00 pm to
It will be interesting to see if Japan can pull together Asia and the Pacific (other than China and North Korea) like it wants to... not that I don't understand any of those countries not trusting Japan based on history...
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
41304 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 12:30 pm to
Ukraine first Ryan Routh has been sentenced to life in prison

Posted by Leopold
Columbia
Member since Sep 2013
2298 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

It was created for Republicans opposing Trump in the primary... but when they had no reason to finish paying for it, it was sold to the Clinton campaign,


Ya'll have completely missed the point.

To take a note from George Carlin, there isn't going to be some sort of signed contract.

They've got a relationship that goes back decades.
They finance each other's plans.
They socialize to the point of going to illicit parties with kidnapped underage girls.
They parrot each other talking points.
They back each other's lies
They now back each other's takeovers of countries, including both an invasion and supposedly democratic elections.
Now they are attempting to canonize it with this farce of a 'Board of Peace.'

The damned Steele Dossier is literally right in front of our eyes.
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5645 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 1:29 pm to
at least we still have the KI...

Kyiv bureau among those axed by Jeff Bezos' Washington Post, hundreds of journalists laid off

February 4, 2026 9:05 pm

The Washington Post, which has been owned by American oligarch Jeff Bezos since 2013, has shuttered its Kyiv bureau amid the harshest winter since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion, multiple staffers reported Feb. 4.

The local staff are expected to continue "in some capacity," according to a person familiar with the matter.

A number of other international desks were also axed in what one bureau chief called a move with "hard-to-understand logic."

"I was just laid off by The Washington Post in the middle of a warzone. I have no words. I'm devastated," Ukraine correspondent Lizzie Johnson wrote on X, formerly known as Twitter.

Ukraine bureau chief Siobhán O’Grady called the job "the honor of my life" as she mourned the decision.

The layoffs hit more than 300 journalists. Executive editor Matt Murray told staff that The Washington Post would narrow its focus to national politics, business, and health, according to the New York Times.

The Kyiv Independent
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3945 posts
Posted on 2/4/26 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

Ya'll have completely missed the point.

To take a note from George Carlin, there isn't going to be some sort of signed contract.

They've got a relationship that goes back decades.
They finance each other's plans.
They socialize to the point of going to illicit parties with kidnapped underage girls.
They parrot each other talking points.
They back each other's lies
They now back each other's takeovers of countries, including both an invasion and supposedly democratic elections.
Now they are attempting to canonize it with this farce of a 'Board of Peace.'

The damned Steele Dossier is literally right in front of our eyes.


Certainly no argument from me... I was just clarifying the "it was made up for the Clinton campaign" is not factual... it was commisioned by people working for other Republican candidates in the primary who wanted to stop Trump.
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