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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted on 1/15/26 at 10:14 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 1/15/26 at 10:14 am to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
Putin is worried about losing Haishenwai back to the Chinese, whose ethnic population now exceeds ethnic russians in the city and territory.
Well Vlad, look on the bright side. At least there will be a bunch of good Chinese restaurants open now.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 1/15/26 at 10:14 am to doubleb
quote:
That isn’t what’s happening.
It’s the dead of winter
Posted on 1/15/26 at 10:44 am to texag7
quote:
It’s the dead of winter
I agree
You don’t have to link that. We know.
Posted on 1/15/26 at 10:48 am to doubleb
ISW has appropriately, but ominously, begun mapping the control of terrain in Ukraine’s Donetsk Fortress Belt.
The fortress city Kostyantynivka remains on the razor’s edge with Russia advancing on both flanks with little apparent resistance.

The fortress city Kostyantynivka remains on the razor’s edge with Russia advancing on both flanks with little apparent resistance.

Posted on 1/15/26 at 11:00 am to T1gerNate
From ISW:
Nothing burger.
quote:
RUSSIA & UKRAINE UKRAINE RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 14, 2026 JANUARY 14, 2026 Toplines Russian advances slowed in late December 2025 and early January 2026, likely due to less advantageous winter weather conditions and the end of efforts to meet arbitrary deadlines at the end of the year.
quote:
Neither Russian nor Ukrainian forces made confirmed advances on January 14.
Nothing burger.
Posted on 1/15/26 at 11:10 am to doubleb
quote:
Some in this thread have alluded to imminent breakthroughs
Like who?
quote:
Some have indicated the trends are for Russia to keep advancing at a higher level. That isn’t what’s happening.
It's winter, advances slow down every winter.
I would imagine the pace will be higher compared to other winter seasons, but we will see. They are also fighting in more dense areas, so the pace will naturally be slower whether it's winter or not (but the gains more notable).
quote:
Agreeing to stopping their attacks and letting Russia alone. That is a compromise, right?
You seen many peace deals where they don't agree to stop fighting? I haven't
Posted on 1/15/26 at 11:14 am to texag7
quote:
It’s the dead of winter
I think of this quote
"Most leftist discourse is them pretending to not understand things, thus making discourse impossible"
Posted on 1/15/26 at 11:47 am to doubleb
quote:
Neither Russian nor Ukrainian forces made confirmed advances on January 14.
ISW is a pro-Ukraine advocacy group. So they say things like no “confirmed advances” while reporting a Russian “infiltration event” on 1/14 on the map I posted. That way, Russia isn’t “advancing.” But it is. That’s why you shouldnt trust the narratives ISW puts out, but you can somewhat trust their maps because they can’t totally destroy their credibility by lying on the maps and embarrassingly having to backtrack.
Posted on 1/15/26 at 12:01 pm to T1gerNate
Posted on 1/15/26 at 12:15 pm to VolSquatch
quote:
Like who?
Nate
quote:
It's winter, advances slow down every winter.
You are the trend guy. The trend is a slow down, right?
quote:
You seen many peace deals where they don't agree to stop fighting? I haven't
No, but I haven’t seen many peace deals that we quit fighting and there are no other provisions.
Posted on 1/15/26 at 12:18 pm to T1gerNate
quote:
ISW is a pro-Ukraine advocacy group. So they say things like no “confirmed advances” while reporting a Russian “infiltration event” on 1/14 on the map I posted. That way, Russia isn’t “advancing.” But it is. That’s why you shouldnt trust the narratives ISW puts out, but you can somewhat trust their maps because they can’t totally destroy their credibility by lying on the maps and embarrassingly having to backtrack
I didn’t know that, we can only use ISW as a source when it suits your agenda.
And I wouldn’t call an infiltration event as advancing, but that’s me.
Posted on 1/15/26 at 12:19 pm to doubleb
quote:
You are the trend guy. The trend is a slow down, right?
So you think my previous posts were correct, good to know.
A couple of months of mud and cold don't change a broader trend, no.
quote:
we
Interesting wording
Posted on 1/15/26 at 12:20 pm to doubleb
quote:
I didn’t know that, we can only use ISW as a source when it suits your agenda.
"Everyone who doesn't see the world exactly as I do has an agenda"
Posted on 1/15/26 at 12:25 pm to VolSquatch
I would say the accuracy of ISW reports hover around 10%
Posted on 1/15/26 at 12:36 pm to doubleb
quote:
I wouldn’t call an infiltration event as advancing
What about an “infiltration event” where they never leave? See, e.g. Hulyaipole.
Posted on 1/15/26 at 12:36 pm to VolSquatch
quote:
"Everyone who doesn't see the world exactly as I do has an agenda"
His agenda is to prove Russia is about to make a decisive breakthrough. He uses ISW to do that and provides his own analysis.
On the other hand your agenda is to b Ed the wingman and seek to engage in banter with pro Ukraine posters. You repeatedly do that.
Why?
Posted on 1/15/26 at 12:38 pm to VolSquatch
quote:
So you think my previous posts were correct, good to know.
They were, the trend was Russia had slightly increased their movements. It was well documented.
Posted on 1/15/26 at 12:41 pm to doubleb
quote:
His agenda is to prove Russia is about to make a decisive breakthrough.
I literally just like maps and find them interesting. It’s not my fault the Russians are the ones moving the lines. My only agenda is the truth, which I understand is oftentimes heavily obscured by the fog of war. I literally post ISW and Rybar maps. I truly do not give two shits who “wins.” I find the whole thing interesting which is why I post.
I do find boomer Ukraine cheerleaders obnoxious which is why some of my posts may feel borderline trolling but I’m not “anti Ukraine.” I am just pro maps and pro truth. So that is my “agenda.” You can go back to your usual retard poasting now.
Posted on 1/15/26 at 12:47 pm to doubleb
quote:
His agenda is to prove Russia is about to make a decisive breakthrough.
I have said, and continue to believe, that Russia will take the Donbas militarily. I believe that is what IS GOING to happen. That is not what I WANT to happen. I simply do not give a shite either way about the territorial integrity of the 1992 border of Ukraine. Not my war. Not yours either. Just find it interesting and enjoy the intellectual exercise of studying it. That is my “agenda.”
Posted on 1/15/26 at 1:08 pm to T1gerNate
quote:
What about an “infiltration event” where they never leave? See, e.g. Hulyaipole.
Certainly an infiltration event can eventually lead to an advance, but we know that every infiltration event doesn’t result in an advance.
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