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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

Posted on 12/31/25 at 4:25 am to
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
3306 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 4:25 am to
Repo loans in name only. Regional and commercial banks are being forced to buy them under old existing repo rules. But they are not being repurchased by the Central Bank, as a normal repo loan is intended. This is pulling liquidity out of the system, 2.5T rubles in just 5 months, the opposite result and purpose of (real) repo agreements.

This is simply theft as there is no possiblity of repaying 4.7 trillion rubles.

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"You're going to need a bigger graph..."




Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
7778 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 5:35 am to
quote:

Not a good metric, because the side that's advancing will recover the dead much more easily than the side that's retreating


I know, the point was that you can find all kinds of absurd data points to spin a narrative if you wanted to (like he is doing)
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
3306 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 5:49 am to
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quote:

REPO usage shows the stress clearly. Trillions of rubles are borrowed week after week by the banks with no unwind. Banks aren’t smoothing short-term shocks anymore. They are refinancing theirs and the economy's survival on a rolling basis.
quote:

It’s a circular closed loop that works on paper for a while, but concentrates all risk inside the system.
quote:

This is why deposits are leaking and cash withdrawal are on the rise. This isn’t panic yet. It’s a slow, persistent loss of confidence in the system as people keep less money in banks and more on hand.




quote:

This is likely why the Ministry of Finance quietly changed OFZ [Ru gov't. bonds] targets. It is no longer “how many bonds placed,” but “how much cash raised.” Pricing and future debt no longer matters, all that matters is cash today.


1st Quarter 2025 - "Planned amount OFZ placement"




1st Quarter 2026 - "Indicative proceeds from OFZ placement"



quote:

Conclusion: Russia’s economy is alive but fragile. The buffers [energy exports, National Wealth Fund, foreign investment] from 2022 are gone. Trust, liquidity, and confidence are now holding together a fragile system teetering on the brink. In this state, one major shock wouldn’t be absorbed, it would push it off the edge.


Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
14010 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 6:07 am to
quote:

The acronym ELOU-AVT-12 refers to an installation of electric desalination and dehydration of oil, atmospheric and vacuum distillation. The processing unit was commissioned in 2013 with the capacity of 12 million tons/year for oil about 88 million US barrels


It's a desalter, crude unit and vacuum unit, all in one which is how a refinery is normally set up. Not some special new technology. It's at least WWII era/ The desalter is to lessen corrosion in downstream process equipment thus lowering maintenance issues.

This post was edited on 12/31/25 at 6:20 am
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5342 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 7:10 am to
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5342 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 7:48 am to
Russia publishes fake drone flight map days after claim of "attack on Putin residence"

Alona Mazurenko — 31 December, 11:46

Two days after claiming that Ukrainian UAVs had attempted to attack one of Kremlin leader Vladimir Putin's residences, Russia's Defence Ministry has published a fake map showing the alleged route of the Ukrainian drones. The Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine has outlined facts indicating that the Russian claims are not credible.

Source: Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine; map published by Russia's Defence Ministry

Details: The Russian map purports to show the flight path of the Ukrainian drones that allegedly attempted to attack Putin's residence.

The Russians claim that they destroyed 50 drones in Bryansk and Smolensk oblasts, while insisting that the UAVs were heading towards Putin's residence.

The Russians also claim that another 41 drones were destroyed in Novgorod Oblast.

Putin's residence is in Russia's northwestern Novgorod Oblast, 20 km from the town of Valdai, near the village of Dolgiye Borody.

Ukraine's Foreign Intelligence Service believes Russia is conducting an information operation aimed at derailing agreements between the presidents of Ukraine and the US.

The Ukrainian intelligence service has noted that a number of facts indicate that the story about an attack on Putin's residence is fake:

local residents in Novgorod Oblast did not report a drone attack or any consequences of an attack at any time on 29 December;
there is no factual evidence (wreckage, photos, videos) of downed UAVs, and the Kremlin has been unable to present any for almost a day since its information operation began;
Russia's Defence Ministry has twice amended its reports to match the Kremlin's narratives, initially reporting 18 UAVs from Ukraine's defence forces and later increasing the number to 23.

Ukrainska Pravda
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
14010 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 7:53 am to
If Ukraine did target Putin's residence, he fled like the midget biotch coward he actually is.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
7778 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 8:04 am to
quote:

If Ukraine did target Putin's residence, he fled like the midget biotch coward he actually is.


So you would just stand in your living room as someone was drone striking your house like the captain on the Titanic going down with the ship?

I get it, "Putin bad, we no like Putin". But some of the takes like this are just absurd
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
14010 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 8:09 am to
quote:

So you would just stand in your living room as someone was drone striking your house like the captain on the Titanic going down with the ship?


It would not be the first time for Putin to flee instead of going into a bunker.

Drones are bunker buster bombs or missiles.. Any basement would be sufficient. Sheesh.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
41883 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 8:34 am to
quote:

I get it, "Putin bad, we no like Putin". But some of the takes like this are just absurd


I know you are still recovering from last night’s embarrassing showing by Tennessee. I know how you feel, we were embarrassed all year too.

Nobody cares, Russia is pulling a scam. That’s what they do. There was no reason for Putin to hide, run, or duck for cover unless he was a Tenn fan.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
7778 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 9:19 am to
quote:

I know you are still recovering from last night’s embarrassing showing by Tennessee. I know how you feel, we were embarrassed all year too.


Tennessee fans are generally pretty realistic about what we are at this point, unlike LSU fans who keep grasping for something to hold on to as they continue their slide down from their program's peak.

quote:

Nobody cares, Russia is pulling a scam. That’s what they do. There was no reason for Putin to hide, run, or duck for cover unless he was a Tenn fan.


The post I replied to said it in the sense of if Ukraine actually had attacked, which I doubt.
Posted by Trevaylin
south texas
Member since Feb 2019
9748 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 9:27 am to
the sputnik tracking maps for the 91 drones are a piece of data. Ukraine needs to do more than just holler fake in the rebuttal. Russia is also pointing the finger at the euro rats for managing the raid. Glad to see the cia may have opted out of this one
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5342 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 9:32 am to
didn't even bother to send out fake text alerts...


Valdai Residents Report No Signs of Claimed Ukrainian Drone Attack on Putin Residence

Residents of the town of Valdai in Russia’s Novgorod region said they neither heard nor saw signs of a large-scale drone attack overnight on Monday despite official claims that nearly 100 Ukrainian drones targeted President Vladimir Putin’s residence there.

Fourteen residents told the independent outlet Mozhem Obyasnit that they received no text alerts warning of a drone threat and did not hear any buzzing sounds or explosions characteristic of a drone attack.

“There was no noise that night, no explosions, nothing,” one resident was quoted as saying. “If something like that had happened, the whole town would have been talking about it.”

Putin’s Valdai residence, known as Dolgiye Borody, lies northeast of the town and is separated from it by Lake Valdai.

Residents told Mozhem Obyasnit that they usually know when the Russian president visits his residence due to the heavy helicopter traffic accompanying his arrival.

Moscow Times
This post was edited on 12/31/25 at 9:35 am
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
7778 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 9:46 am to
quote:

Ukraine needs to do more than just holler fake in the rebuttal.


Maybe, but where are any photos of debris or any kind of proof from the Russian side?

I don't trust either of them, but I trust Russia less.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
41883 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 10:07 am to
quote:

. Ukraine needs to do more than just holler fake in the rebuttal


No they don’t.

What they should do is target a prominent military target, blow it up, and tell the would if they had really gone after Putin that would have been the result.

Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
41883 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 10:08 am to
quote:

Maybe, but where are any photos of debris or any kind of proof from the Russian side?


Just wait, damage photos are easy to get. We will see that soon.
This post was edited on 12/31/25 at 1:53 pm
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5342 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 10:20 am to
Posted by Trevaylin
south texas
Member since Feb 2019
9748 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 11:08 am to
Think maybe the Z is just disposing of expensive to maintain drone inventory prior to surrender
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
7778 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 12:46 pm to
quote:


Just wait, damage photos are east to get. We will see that soon.


That's why it's so blatant though. It's like they aren't even trying if they can't even throw out some drone parts somewhere and take a picture of it
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
7778 posts
Posted on 12/31/25 at 12:50 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 12/31/25 at 1:37 pm
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