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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted on 9/6/25 at 5:57 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 9/6/25 at 5:57 am to Coeur du Tigre
Lot of Russian companies are based in Cyprus, legally. The owner might live elsewhere in the world such as Switzerland. A lot of ex-pat money has fled from Russia to Krgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan and SE Asia. My guess China too. The Chinese already own a fair amount east of Lake Baikal.
1
Posted on 9/6/25 at 7:20 am to Tigris
quote:
It's still completely in the power of the west to defeat Russia. If that doesn't happen there is only one person to blame.
So you're suggesting western troops in Ukraine? That's the only way it's "completely" in the power of the west
Posted on 9/6/25 at 8:01 am to CitizenK
quote:
Lot of Russian companies are based in Cyprus, legally. The owner might live elsewhere in the world such as Switzerland. A lot of ex-pat money has fled from Russia to Krgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan and SE Asia. My guess China too. The Chinese already own a fair amount east of Lake Baikal.
This is correct but won't help the Russian ex-pats against legally issued Ru tax liens. The Ru Ministry of Finance will have records of money transfers out of Russia in the past, plus taxes paid in the non-Russian jurisdictions for purposes of the double-taxation provisions prior to their suspension by Moscow. This gives them all they need to hit said ex-pats with large demands.
If the ex-pats have no money nor property still in Russia AND permanent residence in a non-Russian country (other than Georgia, China, North Korea or Belarus), they won't lose anything immediately except their ability to visit Russia. But any property remaining in Russia will be seized.
Plus, depending on the size of the non-Russian holdings, even if there is no property held in Russia, arrest warrants can be issued by the Ru MoF and these will cause legal headaches and big expenses for the ex-pats at minimum. They would have to fight this in the local courts at non-minor expense and of course, if the Ru MoF pushes hard enough with legal evidence, the tax court of residence will see the ex-pat as a tax absconder. This could also cause the ex-pat big trouble with keeping their legal residency, something they will pay anything to avoid and something the local authorities will know and charge for accordingly.
It all depends on how much money the ex-pat has outside of Russia for lawyers. Under any circumstances, it will be very expensive.
Posted on 9/6/25 at 8:29 am to Coeur du Tigre
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Former military leader of the Donbas Russian separatists, Igor Girkin-Strelkov, has published another letter from prison:
“The current format of the ‘special military operation’ (SVO) has exhausted itself and no longer makes it possible to achieve a military-political victory over so-called ‘Ukraine.’ This is indirectly confirmed by Moscow’s desire to reach an agreement on ‘future borders.’
The refusal to hold onto the territories of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia, which according to the Constitution belong to the Russian Federation, is clear proof that the Kremlin cannot resolve the issue decisively on the battlefield in our favor. Tactical successes achieved at the cost of enormous sacrifices at the front cannot serve as confirmation of our overall success.”
“Most likely, Moscow harbors illusions that Kyiv will be forced to cede the remaining territory of Donbas. But the problem is as follows: a) Kyiv will not make any concessions until its army is defeated. b) The current format of the SVO and the present state of our armed forces do not allow Ukraine’s army to be defeated.”
“Therefore, we face a dilemma — either prepare for capitulation or change the format of the SVO and begin a total war to destroy so-called ‘Ukraine.’”
“In the current situation, the Kremlin is merely stalling for time in the hope that something might work out, or until our ‘Chinese comrades’ dictate how to proceed.”
“I am convinced that without a personnel revolution we cannot win this war, even if we change the format of the SVO, because the people who have ruined everything over the past three and a half years will be even less capable of achieving anything if a total war begins.”
“Leaving everything as it is now is doomed to catastrophe.”
An accurate and honest view, a rarity in today's Russia. We all know what he means with the "personnel revolution" phrase. Even with his FSB protection, he's really pushing it here.
Posted on 9/6/25 at 8:37 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 9/6/25 at 10:47 am to cypher
Posted on 9/6/25 at 1:34 pm to cypher
More detail on the last week's announced Power of Siberia 2 pipedream as well as a review of the barrel the Russians are bent over on energy pricing now -
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Russian Energy Minister Sergey Tsivilev (husband of Putin's cousin Anna Tsivileva) clarified the situation regarding the Power of Siberia-2 gas pipeline at the Eastern Economic Forum, which was supposedly the main outcome of Putin's visit to China.
According to Tsivilev, the "legally binding memorandum" mentioned by the head of Gazprom only covers the pipeline route and the volume of gas to be supplied.
The financing of the project, however, will be discussed only next year. China has remained silent regarding this project. The lack of specifics led to Gazprom's shares falling on the Russian stock exchange.
However, Russians have already signed an agreement to increase gas flows via the existing Power of Siberia-1 pipeline - from 38 to 44 billion cubic meters per year.
This news was surprising, as the combined production capacity of the two fields feeding Power of Siberia-1 currently stands at only 42 billion cubic meters per year.
Of this, 38 billion go to exports, while the rest supplies energy to Far East, Irkutsk region, and Yakutia.
Economists had assumed that Gazprom would need to purchase gas from other companies - Rosneft, Surgutneftegaz, and INK.
However, at the Eastern Economic Forum in Vladivostok, Putin stated that the region faces a gas deficit and ordered the start of a transition to coal as a new energy source.
In other words, the increase in gas exports to China will primarily come at the expense of Russian domestic consumers.
What is really happening in Russia's energy market:
Russia has lost the ability to dictate oil trade terms in the Asian market. Key parameters - volumes, discounts, and payment currency - are now determined by buyers, primarily India and China, who exploit Moscow's near-total lack of alternative markets.
US and EU sanctions against the Russian oil sector, including tanker fleet restrictions and secondary sanctions on Indian and Chinese entities, objectively complicate logistics and raise freight costs. However, this is a problem only for the seller - buyers are not willing to account for these circumstances or offer support.
India and China are simultaneously pushing for higher discounts, citing sanctions risks and logistical costs. This strategy allows them to purchase raw materials at prices significantly below market rates, reducing Russia's foreign currency earnings.
Payments in yuan and, especially, in rupees effectively tie Russian companies to the Indian and Chinese markets, limiting their ability to use the proceeds. This creates long-term financial dependence and reduces the flexibility of Russia's foreign economic policy.
Despite their official rhetoric about "partnerships," India and China act purely pragmatically, treating Russia as a temporary source of cheap raw materials. Their approach does not imply mutual concessions beyond direct benefits for the buyer.
Posted on 9/6/25 at 1:54 pm to Tigris
quote:
It's still completely in the power of the west to defeat Russia. If that doesn't happen there is only one person to blame.
Here’s the kicker…nobody cares what happens.
Posted on 9/6/25 at 2:11 pm to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
The speed and firepower is not up to Bayou Lafourche standard, but will do against Russians.
They need attack boats with turbine engines from MTT in Franklin.
Posted on 9/6/25 at 2:14 pm to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
An accurate and honest view, a rarity in today's Russia.
Unfortunately, his vision is carpet bombing or nuclear annihilation.
Posted on 9/6/25 at 2:44 pm to Coeur du Tigre
It may be hard to imagine but control of the air over southern Kherson and Crimea are within reach for Ukraine.
quote:
The fact is that the Ukrainian AF is already flying TB-2 [Bayraktars] over occupied Kherson... they are not stealthy and don't have electronic countermeasures. If we see them flying over Crimea without losses then we could soon see manned aircraft. Right now the russians still have some aircraft in Crimea, and the Rostov aircraft patrols are not that far away.
quote:
What we may see is low flying aircraft hitting the west of Crimea soon from the Black Sea. There is a mountain range in Crimea that would protect them from radars. if the ADA was cleared out to the west of the higher elevation Russia would not see the incoming aircraft.
quote:
This aligns with the recent shaping operations there. Win Crimea, win the war.
Posted on 9/6/25 at 4:27 pm to texag7
quote:If you don’t care what happens then you look really, really dumb to be posting in a thread about what’s happening.
Here’s the kicker…nobody cares what happens.
Posted on 9/6/25 at 5:11 pm to LSURussian
quote:
If you don’t care what happens then you look really, really dumb to be posting in a thread about what’s happening.
But they don’t want us posting so they keep trolling.
Posted on 9/6/25 at 6:03 pm to doubleb
This thread is severly lacking War Updates! I go away on a secret assignment to Moscow for a few months and you guys can't even hold down the fort? This thread has more post about Oil than actual War Updates! Unbelievable 
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If tweet fails to load, click here. Posted on 9/6/25 at 6:19 pm to John Barron
Posted on 9/6/25 at 7:15 pm to John Barron
quote:
This thread is severly lacking War Updates! I go away on a secret assignment to Moscow for a few months and you guys can't even hold down the fort?
You didn’t miss anything trust me.
Posted on 9/6/25 at 8:00 pm to texag7
Ayden? That SoCal boy is laughable.
I bet he is crying about the Venezuelan boat being blown out of the water as a fan boy for anything anti American
I bet he is crying about the Venezuelan boat being blown out of the water as a fan boy for anything anti American
Posted on 9/6/25 at 8:00 pm to texag7
I see that. No actual War Updates. Just the same 5 posters posting their personal fan fiction stories and CitizenK telling bedtime stories about a friend from 20 years ago giving him the inside scoop on how the Power of Siberia 2 pipeline is going to actually lose money 
Posted on 9/6/25 at 8:03 pm to texag7
quote:
You didn’t miss anything trust
Huh??
What about all the breakthroughs.
The Russian spring offense.
The imminent encirclement of Pokrovsk.
Vol in a drunken stupor.
Posted on 9/6/25 at 8:21 pm to doubleb
I see no one mentioned about Ukraine being so desperate for Manpower they are actually throwing Pregnant Women on the frontline. This story was posted in the New York Times. The NAFO trolls are awfully quiet
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