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Started By
Message
Latest Rasmussen Poll: Biden 50/Trump 45
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:14 pm
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:14 pm
They had Biden up 12 points a week ago. The electorate does not swing 7 points each week, this is crazy. Pollsters are missing response bias were supporters of a candidate don't respond as much during negative news cycle for their candidate (Trump getting COVID for example).
In any event, I think Trump can squeak by with 270 EV's even if Biden wins the popular vote by 4-5%. So Trump definitely has a puncher's chance at this point.
In any event, I think Trump can squeak by with 270 EV's even if Biden wins the popular vote by 4-5%. So Trump definitely has a puncher's chance at this point.
14
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:15 pm to GeneralLee
"Polls tightening."
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:15 pm to GeneralLee
quote:
They had Biden up 12 points a week ago
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:15 pm to GumboPot
quote:
"Polls tightening."
it's in the script
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:16 pm to GumboPot
Trump: +10
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:16 pm to GeneralLee
Rasmussen is weird cause the group they poll cycles through leaning towards Trump haters and leaning towards people who like Trump. We’re working our way back towards the group that is more Trump favorable. You can see the cycle in their polling data if you follow it regularly.
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:16 pm to GeneralLee
quote:
Trump definitely has a puncher's chance
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:16 pm to TrueTiger
quote:
it's in the script
Absolutely.
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:18 pm to GeneralLee
quote:
In any event, I think Trump can squeak by with 270 EV's even if Biden wins the popular vote by 4-5%. So Trump definitely has a puncher's chance at this point.
You keep repeating the "it's gonna be a close one" mantra. I'm telling you, Trump will have a minimum of 302 EV's, and likely 312-320
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:20 pm to BugAC
quote:
You keep repeating the "it's gonna be a close one" mantra. I'm telling you, Trump will have a minimum of 302 EV's, and likely 312-320
Even 300-320 EV's is still a close race, where probably 100-200K votes cast differently in a few states would lead to a different victor.
People forget that 2016 would have been a Trump loss if 80k votes were different in PA/MI/WI. Dems will not be asleep at the wheel in WI and MI like they were last time. I just don't see Trump sweeping the upper Rustbelt again.
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:21 pm to GeneralLee
I'm voting for Trump no matter what because the alternative is 95% against everything I believe in. It will be a true tragedy to American capitalism and fairness if Biden/Harris wins this election.
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:21 pm to GeneralLee
This is what happens when you make 50,000 calls to poll 1000 people willing to participate for the entire nation.
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:22 pm to The Boat
Totally agree “The Boat”. It’s clear they cycle through call lists
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:24 pm to GeneralLee
People forget that 2016 would have been a Trump loss if 80k votes were different in PA/MI/WI.
But that was with candidate Trump with no political accomplishments...
But that was with candidate Trump with no political accomplishments...
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:25 pm to GeneralLee
Everything same as 2016 so far
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:27 pm to GeneralLee
Rasmussen leans right with a huge grain of salt. I wouldn’t worry about them too much.
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:29 pm to GeneralLee
I thought it was
biden 107
Trump 0
biden 107
Trump 0
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:29 pm to BugAC
quote:
You keep repeating the "it's gonna be a close one" mantra. I'm telling you, Trump will have a minimum of 302 EV's, and likely 312-320
So he’d potentially be two states away from losing?
That’s very close
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:31 pm to Bulldogblitz
I believe this is all setting up to show Trump winning on election night and then over the next days/weeks more votes be found and demand to be counted until Biden wins
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:31 pm to GeneralLee
When he takes NY, HI and Cali this place is gonna implode
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