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re: Just saw it is now a coin flip in the betting markets for Talarico vs Paxton

Posted on 9/2/26 at 8:47 am to
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
83722 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 8:47 am to
I can hardly believe that Cornyn is such a butthurt POS that he is willing to put his state and country in the hands of the DSA by not fully backing Paxton. Completely selfish crybaby Cornyn is.
Posted by DeBoar
Member since Jan 2024
5040 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 8:50 am to
quote:

The point in me bringing it up in the first place is markets are the best tool we have for predictions.


[url=LINK ] [/url]
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481667 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 8:53 am to
The saddest part about this race is Talarico is a shitty candidate. If Paxton was fighting for his life against a Beto type who had this young, Kennedy-esque DEM appeal, it would be one thing, but Paxton's opponent is as big of a layup as you could manufacture and he's still in a dead heat.
This post was edited on 9/2/26 at 8:53 am
Posted by RohanGonzales
Pronoun: Whatever
Member since Apr 2024
12726 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 8:54 am to
hahahahahahahahahaha

Talafricko was ahead 3 points in the betting markets a few weeks ago and that was presented as him having it sealed up.

Someone find that thread so that both of them are parked side by side.

I bet in 2 weeks Talafricko will be only 5 points behind and that will be posited as him being real close.

Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481667 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 8:54 am to
quote:

I can hardly believe that Cornyn is such a butthurt POS that he is willing to put his state and country in the hands of the DSA by not fully backing Paxton. Completely selfish crybaby Cornyn is.


FAFO

MAGA is a splinter party. This is what they wanted.
Posted by FluffyBunnyFeet
Dallas, TX
Member since Oct 2014
4087 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 8:55 am to
quote:

Yes it is Paxton’s fault actually that we are in this mess.

We're not in a mess, you're just a pussy. Talafreakshow is not going to win. Go have a nap.
Posted by RohanGonzales
Pronoun: Whatever
Member since Apr 2024
12726 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 8:55 am to
quote:

FAFO

MAGA is a splinter party. This is what they wanted.


I LOVE your know-it-all horse shite coming right after my post.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
100012 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 8:56 am to
Once creme pie crawls out of the gutter to start crying about Rs its certain they will win
Posted by Demonbengal
Ruston
Member since May 2015
5792 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 8:56 am to
I expect it to be a closer race than you would like to see, but believe Paxton will prevail. People continue to bring up Paxton’s baggage, but Talarico has said some crazy stuff that doesn’t fly with most Texans.
Posted by DeBoar
Member since Jan 2024
5040 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 8:56 am to
quote:

The saddest part about this race is Talarico is a shitty candidate.


No the saddest part is that politics is 50/50 based upon teams, not the best candidate.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481667 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 8:56 am to
quote:

I LOVE your know-it-all horse shite coming right after my post.


Cornyn would be safely ahead at least 55-45 against Talafreako

The fact Paxton is in a race is mind-numbing.
Posted by boogiewoogie1978
Little Rock
Member since Aug 2012
20496 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 8:58 am to
quote:

Paxton

Don't know much about him. How much baggage does he have?
The GOP gets itself into trouble by running bad candidates.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481667 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 8:58 am to
quote:

the saddest part is that politics is 50/50 based upon teams, not the best candidate.


The fact Talarico is doing so well shows this point isn't true. He's going to have to get a lot of people who voted GOP last time to get this close.

In 2020, Cornyn won with about 54% of the vote and I don't think he campaigned very hard or spent that much (you can fact check me on that).
Posted by DeBoar
Member since Jan 2024
5040 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 8:59 am to
He’s doing well in polls, they don’t poll the right. You are dumb.
This post was edited on 9/2/26 at 9:00 am
Posted by lsuson
Metairie
Member since Oct 2013
15686 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 9:00 am to
Talarico isn't winning shite.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481667 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 9:00 am to
quote:

He’s doing well in polls, they don’t poll the right. You are dumb.


Do you think that's changed since 2020?

Note: it was worse in 2020
Posted by Tigertittie
Member since Sep 2021
1129 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 9:01 am to
So Paxton is winning easily?

Whew...
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
70353 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 9:01 am to
I think these markets are meaningless, but if not...

Posted by idlewatcher
Planet Arium
Member since Jan 2012
99049 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 9:01 am to
quote:

did you just get off the phone with john cornyn?

Posted by Dawgsontop34
Member since Jun 2014
46570 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 9:02 am to
Seems like a good time for a wager on Paxton if you live in a state that allows for Kalshi/Polymarket betting then.
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