re: Just out: Numbers from 3 early primary states

Ok, but, today all we have to go on is JoeB is leading. Can anybody just show Trump's path to beating JoeB (other than some hope)? THEN if Biden dies, then we can re-look at hoe Trump could beat Newsome.

Those numbers aren't great for Trump

Without question his base has shrunk since 2020

Don’t bother reasoning with these true believers

None of them live in suburbs where he is toxic sludge

They all live in areas where trump got 90% of the vote

They are sheltered.

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Can anybody just show Trump's path to beating JoeB

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Trump already pulled even in the NYT polls and Biden's brain continues to disintegrate.

His war in Ukraine isn't going well and gas prices are going back up.

The future is a funny thing. You just never really know.

This is from the Wall Street Journal - hardly some liberal rag:

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We need a big score­card to keep track of Don­ald Trump’s le­gal per­ils.

On Tues­day a fed­eral grand jury in­dicted Mr. Trump for con­spir­ing to de­fraud the U.S., con­spir­ing and at­tempt­ing to ob­struct an of­fi­cial pro­ceed­ing, and con­spir­ing to thwart Amer­i­cans’ civil right to have their votes counted.

Mr. Trump was al­ready un­der in­dict­ment on 40 counts for al­legedly re­mov­ing clas­si­fied doc­u­ments from the White House when he left of­fice, mis­han­dling them when he was no longer pres­i­dent, and ob­struct­ing fed­eral au­thor­i­ties af­ter they sub­poe­naed him for their re­turn.

In March, Mr. Trump was in­dicted on du­bi­ous charges in Man­hat­tan for an al­leged cam­paign-fi­nance vi­o­la­tion that hid a $130,000 hush-money pay­ment to porn star Stormy Daniels while he was run­ning for pres­i­dent in 2016.

He also faces an­other defama­tion law­suit by E. Jean Car­roll ask­ing for $10 mil­lion in dam­ages. All this af­ter he was found li­able ear­lier this year for sex­u­ally abus­ing and de­fam­ing Ms. Car­roll, for which the jury awarded her $5 mil­lion. Mr. Trump may also be in­dicted in Geor­gia for at­tempt­ing to over­turn that state’s 2020 elec­tion re­sults.

Mr. Trump has de­nied wrong­do­ing in each case. But if con­victed on these se­ri­ous charges, the for­mer pres­i­dent would, ab­sent a par­don, likely spend the rest of his life in prison.

Mr. Trump is also run­ning to be Amer­i­ca’s next pres­i­dent, which means he has se­ri­ous money com­ing in from sup­port­ers. And his cam­paign fund is start­ing to look more like a le­gal de­fense fund. Mon­day’s Fed­eral Elec­tion Com­mis­sion fundrais­ing re­ports show Mr. Trump has spent more money this year on lawyers than on cam­paign­ing. Politico found that his joint fundrais­ing com­mit­tee took in $53.8 mil­lion from Jan. 1 to June 30 but has spent $57 mil­lion, sup­ple­ment­ing with cash on hand it raised last year. Of that spend­ing, $21.6 mil­lion went to lawyers. That’s more than Team Trump spent on at­tor­neys for all of 2021 and 2022 com­bined, when they put only $16 mil­lion into le­gal ex­penses.

In ad­di­tion, it cost Mr. Trump’s cam­paign $17 mil­lion to raise that nearly $54 mil­lion. That leaves about $18.4 mil­lion for every­thing else—ad­ver­tis­ing, staff, travel, ral­lies and or­ga­ni­za-tion. A case can be made that Team Trump needs less of some of those things—es­pe­cially tele­vi­sion—than other can­di­dates. Still, he’s in­creas­ingly di­vert­ing his cam­paign­ing cash to lawyers. Mr. Trump’s le­gal bills will grow as­tro­nom­i­cally as mul­ti­ple tri­als ap­proach. It’s not clear he can fund his cam­paign and pay his lawyers, es­pe­cially in a gen­eral elec­tion.

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LINK

Where there’s smoke, there’s fire, and there’s a forest fires worth of smoke surrounding Trump. His campaign will not be able to sustain the legal defenses and a presidential run, and any candidate with this kind of baggage should not be anywhere near the White House. Especially one that tried to disrupt the peaceful transition of power after a lost election.

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This is from the Wall Street Journal - hardly some liberal rag:

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Good one.

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Nationally, Trump is polling at about 54%. His average in these three of the first four states is 39.5%. Tells you that the voters who are getting more exposure to the candidates aren’t as high on Trump as the rest of the country.

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I think they are probably thinking things through a little bit more than everyone else. No matter the legal outcome of this farce, Trump will be spending all his time and money on a legal battle. He isn’t a good candidate at this point, whether we like it or not.

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... does today change Trump being on the (1st) debate stage?

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It does. The hack Judge basically threatened Trump with immediate imprisonment if he discusses anything related to the 2020 election or J6.

Jjdoc refuses to discuss general election strategy. In fact, all of the cult refuses to discuss the general election.

They scatter like roaches from a light when the GE is brought up.

Why? Because they know Trump is unelectable. 2022 made this crystal clear