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Started By
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re: Interesting look at what Rasmussen considers SWING states. Polling begins next week
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:39 am to coonasswhodat
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:39 am to coonasswhodat
quote:
think it bodes very well for Biden that five of the six midwest swing states were “trump” states in 2016. Biden stands to have more to gain than he has to lose.
No way Biden loses.
This post was edited on 8/21/20 at 10:42 am
2
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:40 am to roadGator
And how has the Dem platform changed in the last 4 years?
More or less likely to recapture those Midwest states?
More or less likely to recapture those Midwest states?
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:45 am to roadGator
Biden certainly could lose, but to state that five of the six midwest states that trump won are still in play is not to Biden’s advantage is ludicrous.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:47 am to coonasswhodat
It would be to Biden’s advantages if his party hadn’t gone bugfrick crazy in the last 4 years.
They lost a lot of these areas last time because blue collar Dems, mainly white men, defected to the GOP. You think those voters are coming back due to Biden?
They lost a lot of these areas last time because blue collar Dems, mainly white men, defected to the GOP. You think those voters are coming back due to Biden?
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:50 am to Jjdoc
These are swing states for US Senate, which is why you have TX, FL, and GA shown.
For example, John Cornyn is up for reelection in TX. This is considered a swing state due to how close the 2018 Senate race was, but that election cycle did not include Trump.
For example, John Cornyn is up for reelection in TX. This is considered a swing state due to how close the 2018 Senate race was, but that election cycle did not include Trump.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:50 am to coonasswhodat
quote:This is stupid. Those states have always in play since at least 2000. The fact that Michigan and Pennsylvania are in play is the eyeopener since 2016. Minnesota has never been in play until this year. That is all to Trumps benefit. You really don't know much.
, but to state that five of the six midwest states that trump won are still in play is not to Biden’s advantage is ludicrous
This post was edited on 8/21/20 at 10:52 am
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:51 am to jrodLSUke
And Cornyn is not Ted Cruz, who was last election’s candidate.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:52 am to teke184
I seriously don’t think that Biden is as disliked as HRC was/is, and I think that may work in his favor. He lost Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania all by very slim margins. If you don’t think that Biden has a chance to flip those states, I don’t know what to tell you. I am not saying that Biden is going to win, but it is going to be a close race.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:53 am to coonasswhodat
Personal likability only goes so far when your party is the face of “defund the police” and rioting a score of major cities. Several of which are in the Midwest such as Minneapolis.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:54 am to Jake88
Ok. Five of the six states that Clinton lost are still in play for Biden. Very bad news for Biden. I get it now. Thanks for the enlightenment.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 11:12 am to coonasswhodat
Where did I say that my litttle proggie friend?
Dementia Joe. Our hero.
I should work on his campaign.
Dementia Joe. Our hero.
I should work on his campaign.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 11:12 am to DarthRebel
Wrong
Texas was only won by trump with 700k votes (Cruz only won by 200k votes)
Georgia by 200k votes
Florida by 100k votes
Those are the definitions of swing states
Texas was only won by trump with 700k votes (Cruz only won by 200k votes)
Georgia by 200k votes
Florida by 100k votes
Those are the definitions of swing states
This post was edited on 8/21/20 at 11:14 am
Posted on 8/21/20 at 11:19 am to roadGator
My only response to you was that Biden certainly could lose. Some other poster implied that the fact that those midwestern states are in play is bad news for Biden. What happened in 2016 is much more relevant to this election that what has happened since 2000. No problem.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 11:28 am to Jjdoc
They are asking for contributions to create polls which they then sell to the candidates.
Why wouldn't they include as many states as possible?
Why wouldn't they include as many states as possible?
Posted on 8/21/20 at 11:37 am to coonasswhodat
Keep being obtuse.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 11:41 am to Jjdoc
They forgot NH
Posted on 8/21/20 at 11:44 am to coonasswhodat
quote:You said it was good for Biden, as if those states Trump won in 2016 should be on lock for him now. I pointed out that those midwest states, except for Mi, PA and MN are always battleground states. They were for Bush and Obama. And, both won reelection. Just because you win a state in one election does not make it a given that you will a second time, hence the fact that it is a battle ground again says nothing about Bidens chances.
Some other poster implied that the fact that those midwestern states are in play is bad news for Biden
What is noteworthy is that three states that were on lock for dems, PA, MI, and now MN, are good news for Trump.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 11:58 am to LoneStarRanger
quote:
Texas was only won by trump with 700k votes
Trump won by 807,000 votes (9%) and that is a HUGE margin to overcome. It will not happen.
quote:
Georgia by 200k votes
Georgia's numbers are virtually identical to Virginia. But I don't hear anybody proclaiming Virginia as a swing state.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:00 pm to AUFANATL
Because the Dems have continued pouring into VA like locusts the past four years.
The people of the state may need to burn the fields and let them sit fallow them rebuild.
The people of the state may need to burn the fields and let them sit fallow them rebuild.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:02 pm to Jjdoc
I guess that will make Joe look pretty bad when he can only win 2 or 3 of the 14 swing states.
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