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If early vote total is accurate, this is the map as of today:
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:26 am
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:26 am
Trump could lose a close state like AZ or WI or even NC and still get to 269 EV's.
15
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:27 am to GeneralLee
quote:
If early vote total is accurate
What state has released voting results?
I am pretty sure that there have been precisely 0 ballots officially counted and reported.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:27 am to GeneralLee
I dont think he wins Wisconsin but the rest of the map is how I have it.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:29 am to GeneralLee
But I thought dims were supposed to be dominating early voting???
Landslide.
Landslide.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:29 am to Indefatigable
quote:
What state has released voting results?
This would be based off of TargetSmart data which is admittedly an estimation, not actual data. I think the only swing states that report actual early votes by party are AZ, FL, and NC.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:30 am to GeneralLee
My concern is the extremely late vote total which will break 110% for Biden.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:30 am to GeneralLee
I mean that looks pretty much what I would expect
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:32 am to GeneralLee
Trump voters going to ball out on election day. It could be as high as 70-30 Trump to Biden supporters. If early vote totals by party are even CLOSE to even in smaller states like NV, MN, and NH, it's going to be a bloodbath.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:32 am to GeneralLee
IL and MN 
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:32 am to Indefatigable
quote:
I am pretty sure that there have been precisely 0 ballots officially counted and reported.
No votes are counted per candidate until eleciton day.
However many states release early voting statistics that people try to read tea leaves from.
You can see turnout for Republicans/Democrats/Independents (in states hat actually make people register as such), you can see turnout in various areas, turnouts by age or race, etc.
It's fancy guess work because you still have no idea how those people are voting. For example you could have significantly more Dems crossing over to Republicans than vice versa or something.
another danger is that Democrat voters tend to vote early more and Republicans like to vote on actual election day more, so just because the early totals indicate one thing, doesn't mean they'll stay there.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:33 am to BayBengal9
There will be no bloodbath
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:36 am to GeneralLee
Omaha needs to realize they have more in common with the heartland than they do the coasts.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:37 am to jimbeam
Hard time believing Minnesota. Do they want to join the secession of Cascadia & the great Northwest
Biden wins PA because it's RIGGED...The "Fix is In"
Dictator Whitmer's BS vaults Trump to Win Michigan!
Biden wins PA because it's RIGGED...The "Fix is In"
Dictator Whitmer's BS vaults Trump to Win Michigan!
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:38 am to RedStickBR
As I understand it, liberals generally tend to dominate early voting and mail-in voting, while conservatives dominate Election-Day-itself voting.
I do want more conservatives to vote early, though, because early voting affects how people behave. The more some people see that Trump is leading early, the likelier they are to go Trump. It totally shapes perceptions.
I do want more conservatives to vote early, though, because early voting affects how people behave. The more some people see that Trump is leading early, the likelier they are to go Trump. It totally shapes perceptions.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:39 am to BayBengal9
Hope people are not as shocked and surprised as the Hillary supporters were ………...
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:40 am to GeneralLee
I live in NV and I honestly think we are going red this year. Our democrat governor is LOATHED and has an active recall petition against him.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:40 am to RBTiger
quote:
Hard time believing Minnesota
Hard time believing what? Minnesota is the longest-running Democratic state; it hasn't gone red since 1972. Even Massachusetts has gone red once since then.
Of course it would be likely blue this year.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:40 am to Hamma1122
quote:
There will be no bloodbath
The election in at least a half dozen states will be decided by 2-3% at most... that's a miniscule difference in turnout, statistically speaking. If I had to bet on Biden or Trump voters in that scenario, it's not even a question.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:40 am to GeneralLee
I can't see Trump losing PA based off registration.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:41 am to Quidam65
quote:
My concern is the after the polls close vote total which will break 110% for Biden.
FIFY
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