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re: If early vote total is accurate, this is the map as of today:

Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:42 am to
Posted by aubie101
Russia
Member since Nov 2010
3112 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:42 am to
quote:

I can't see Trump losing PA based off registration.



Republicans still trail badly in total regs. PA is going to be tough a lot of headwinds.
Posted by AnyonebutSteelers
Austin, Texas
Member since Aug 2020
711 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:49 am to
quote:

I can't see Trump losing PA based off registration.


That registration is only new voters. Democrats still have a big baked-in advantage in PA.

To use a football analogy, it's like Democrats are spotted a 14-point lead at the beginning of the game. Republicans have scored a touchdown to cut the deficit in half but still need one more to draw even - AND also need to prevent Democrats from scoring, too.
Posted by jchamil
Member since Nov 2009
16588 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

That registration is only new voters. Democrats still have a big baked-in advantage in PA.


Hopefully some of the registered Dem voters are registered in name only and flip their votes to Trump
Posted by salty1
Member since Jun 2015
4446 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:04 pm to
Can we just nuke hawaii? Those worthless pieces of shite aren't worth the tax dollars that are funneled to them annually. Just nuke the place so no enemy can build a base there after we leave. It never should have been made a damn state.

(steps down from soapbox)
Posted by Clemsontigers02
Member since Sep 2020
743 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:05 pm to
What makes you feel good about WI and MI?
Posted by ValDawgsta
Member since Jan 2020
1542 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:07 pm to
I always just get "frick you" responses for this, but yall are naïve if you think Trump is the clear leader in Wisconsin and Michigan.

I'm open to the humiliation yall can throw at me if I'm wrong, I'll show up regardless, but I really don't think Trump wins WI and MI.
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
82417 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:10 pm to
Nevada is looking better and better for Trump imo. Too bad NH and Maine seem so tough
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
82417 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:11 pm to
He likely needs to win one of MI, MN, PA, WI, VA

They are all kind of correlated but I think Wisconsin might be his best bet right now (contrary to popular opinion).
Posted by Homesick Tiger
Greenbrier, AR
Member since Nov 2006
54235 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:12 pm to
I gave you a down vote just for using the word "accurate" in your title when talking about early voting. There's no such animal.
Posted by ValDawgsta
Member since Jan 2020
1542 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:14 pm to
quote:

He likely needs to win one of MI, MN, PA, WI, VA



True, where I guess I differ is that I think he has a better shot at PA than WI.

Trump truly did step up and win Pennsylvania in 2016. I'd argue Wisconsin was more of an anti-Hillary state than a Pro-Trump state if that makes sense.

Romney got more votes in 2012 Wisconsin than Trump did in 2016 (despite the state having a larger population in 2016). A TON of democrats in Wisconsin just didn't vote. I think more will this time and Trump loses Wisconsin narrowly He can still win the presidency but PA is mandatory in that scenario.
Posted by auggie
Opelika, Alabama
Member since Aug 2013
28262 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:16 pm to
Hoping Republican voters in swing states, will wait as long as possible before they go vote. This gives Dems less time to know what they have to do.
Posted by RBTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2011
7754 posts
Posted on 10/13/20 at 2:42 pm to
I realize it's been since 1972.
2020 is where it changes.

Of course Omar's cronies are ballot harvesting;going unabated ; so your prolly right.

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