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re: “He held fast to the belief that vaccines caused autism…

Posted on 3/13/25 at 5:17 pm to
Posted by wackatimesthree
Member since Oct 2019
10545 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 5:17 pm to
Here's the link you asked for.

Sanitation and decrease in diseases

quote:

If vaccinated kids had 100x or 20x the rate of autism as unvaccinated kids, then that would show up whether a “vaccine injury” was reported or not.


Are there even enough unvaccinated kids in the US to provide a sufficient control group for that analysis?

And you don't need 20x or 10x for there to be a correlation. 1.5 times would be statistically significant.

My point really wasn't angled the way you took it. What I meant was if you know that they are actively falsifying the individual cases of vaccine injury—and if you are one of the parents I mentioned earlier, you do know that, because you saw it with your own eyes—then why would you trust that they wouldn't falsify the data in the studies?

And finally, you didn't answer the question. What are you believing, as one of those parents?

This post was edited on 3/13/25 at 5:18 pm
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
80042 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 5:17 pm to
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
46095 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 5:21 pm to
It’s not that simple. Those kids may be partially vaccinated, or rural/urban poor, or otherwise untreated and undiagnosed. I’ll bet you my last dollar you’ll find a myriad of issues in that small group that make direct comparisons virtually impossible. You probably have zero diagnosed cases of autism in the Amish community for example, but you can bet your arse it’s there. And keep in mind 93% is the current rate, which is the lowest in decades. Most children can’t be diagnosed until age 4 at the youngest. If you targeted kids from say 5-18, the numbers drop dramatically.

You need a proper study… OR, you allow people to assume risk and opt out. Then a medical observation could be made over time.
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
11512 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 5:21 pm to
This is right. I think there have been something like 18 negative studies after Wakefield in almost 20 countries on 3 continents. The number of kids studied is >1 million. You can keep studying, but there's more than enough there to base policy on. The flip side that people haven't brought up on this thread is that not all kids can get vaccinated. They rely on herd immunity for protection from diseases that are considerably dangerous to all unvaccinated kids, but especially dangerous to them as immunocompromised kids and vaccine risks for them are also quite significant.
This post was edited on 3/13/25 at 5:29 pm
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
46095 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 5:21 pm to
No we aren’t.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
94757 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 5:25 pm to
quote:

Is that really the case? Did science really debunk this?


Well, no, that's not how science works.

Having said that, I don't think vaccines cause autism. Folks are confused about correlation vs. causation. Yes, there has been a rise in autism rates since the vaccine schedule (lest we forget, that wasn't really a thing before the 1960s - the childhood vaccination program we are used to in the United States is younger than the atomic bomb, younger than rock and roll, hell, younger than Kelsey Grammar) was introduced and expanded over the years.

But so has the awareness of and the specialized research around autism. "Neurodivergence" would have been uniformly lumped together with intellectual disability, cognitive delay, etc., really before the mid-70s at the earliest.

On the other hand, introducing so many vaccines into developing children (I mean, a large number of shots are proposed for the very youngest and a fairly high frequency as to be alarming on its face) has the potential to cause all sorts of short- and long-term problems.

"Science" is not supposed to "prove" or "debunk" conspiracy theories. It is supposed to answer questions like, "Probable link", "frequency", "intensity" and "severity" of such problems.

"Science" is neither a sword nor a shield. It is literally a "method" that, when used correctly, can answer all sorts of properly framed questions.

This post was edited on 3/13/25 at 5:26 pm
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
11512 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 5:25 pm to
What's the study design that we'd need to satisfy you that vaccines are sufficiently safe to mandate them?
Posted by SammyTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
78250 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 5:27 pm to
quote:

Here's the link you asked for. Sanitation and decrease in diseases


Again, that article
does show the entire US revamping its sanitation system and hygiene practices in the time period Polio was almost completely eradicated.

quote:

Are there even enough unvaccinated kids in the US to provide a sufficient control group for that analysis?


yes, there are thousands of unvaccinated kids at this point.

quote:

And you don't need 20x or 10x for there to be a correlation. 1.5 times would be statistically significant.


but we don’t see that either.

quote:

My point really wasn't angled the way you took it. What I meant was if you know that they are actively falsifying the individual cases of vaccine injury—and if you are one of the parents I mentioned earlier, you do know that, because you saw it with your own eyes—then why would you trust that they wouldn't falsify the data in the studies?


that’s the issue you aren’t going to trust anything that doesn’t confirm your bias AND you’ve added a conspiracy theory that will never let you trust it.

quote:

And finally, you didn't answer the question. What are you believing, as one of those parents?


I would also be completely irrational about it.

but I can admit that’s an emotional response



Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
46095 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 5:29 pm to
Oh, I don’t know. Something that specifically analyzes US children who’ve taken US vaccines, and not some research from other countries from unvetted sources tracking radically different schedules and outcomes?

Who could possibly be against that? But again, it’ll never happen here, so just let parents opt out and watch what happens. Bodily autonomy right?
Posted by ABearsFanNMS
Formerly of tLandmass now in Texas
Member since Oct 2014
19851 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 5:40 pm to
Why can we not have study were they have a group with the Pharma Wet dream vaccine schedule we have now and a group were the kids get the 4 or so vaccines we got prior to the 1986 vaccine explosion?

You have to admit no matter how ideologically inclined that the vaccine law giving Pharma companies immunity and not having to do long term health studies caused a huge boon to the schedule. Ever company realized it was a cash cow and we have shite on it that honestly don’t belong (like Hep B or HPV)
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
11512 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 5:49 pm to
That’s a fair point — but there is solid research on U.S.-licensed MMR vaccines & American kids.

Here's one from JAMA of 95,000 American kids. It didn't find MMR linked to autism or other major health issues. When vaccination rates drop, outbreaks rise — like the 2019 measles surge and the current one. Bodily autonomy matters, but vaccination isn’t just personal protection; it protects vulnerable people who can’t be vaccinated. Mandates exist to protect the broader community with evidence-backed policy. The data is there, and it’s pretty clear.
This post was edited on 3/13/25 at 5:51 pm
Posted by SammyTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
78250 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 5:51 pm to
quote:

You have to admit no matter how ideologically inclined that the vaccine law giving Pharma companies immunity and not having to do long term health studies caused a huge boon to the schedule. Ever company realized it was a cash cow and we have shite on it that honestly don’t belong (like Hep B or HPV)


HPV isn’t given to babies.

it’s given to like 11-13 year olds and it’s done a fantastic job of lowering cervical cancer rates.

I am fine with continues studies.

i’m not fine with people saying vaccines cause autism until a real study shows that.

there are also factors that show direct relationships:

Genetics: people with autism in their family are more likely to have autism

Age of your Parents: The older your parents are the more likely
you are to have autism. And we also can show a trend in the average age of parents also significantly increasing.

This post was edited on 3/13/25 at 5:56 pm
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
46095 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 6:04 pm to
Cool, now do the other 12 or so shots US kids are given.

Look, I’m not a skeptic per se, but I don’t trust anyone anymore. If I choose not to vaccinate, the risk and vulnerability is my own. My body. My choice. That’s how it should be.
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
11512 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 6:09 pm to
If there wasn't that vulnerable population, I'd agree. I do agree that the issue really does come down to trust, because they medical arguments only make sense if you can trust the data and people have become cynical and it's the communities where the most cynical cluster that stand to FAFO.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
125448 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 6:16 pm to
quote:

HPV isn’t given to babies. it’s given to like 11-13 year olds and it’s done a fantastic job of lowering cervical cancer rates.


Gardasil was approved in 2008.

In 1975, the cervical cancer rate was 13.91 per 100k.

In 2007, the rate was 6.39 per 100k. There was no Gardasil.

In 2021, the rate was 6.57 per 100k.

In 2007, the 5 year survival rate was 71.51%.

In the 2021, the 5 year survival rate is right around 71%.

LINK
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
46095 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 6:18 pm to
OK?

If I’m a parent and I opt to assume this risk, I’m accepting that vulnerability and hurting no one else. We shouldn’t be forcing humans to take anything.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
125448 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 6:18 pm to
“But what if your unvaccinated kid gives measles to a vaccinated kid?”

Awkward silence.
Posted by Kid Ray
Member since Nov 2024
463 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 6:20 pm to
PSA: Never get the 3 for 1 vaccine combos etc.
There is data that suggests that those are the ones that cause the autism.

Also avoid Eli Lilly's vaccines with thimerosal in them.
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
11512 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 6:22 pm to
quote:

If I’m a parent and I opt to assume this risk, I’m accepting that vulnerability and hurting no one else.


That's not how infectious diseases work, baw. People don't just catch them. They transmit them too.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
125448 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 6:24 pm to
But not to vaccinated people. Right?
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