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re: Harris now leading the RCP polling average

Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:01 pm to
Posted by AUbused
Member since Dec 2013
7827 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:01 pm to
Kamala is going to win and its going to be glorious
Posted by Athis
I AM Charlie Kirk....
Member since Aug 2016
16371 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:01 pm to
Posted by ShermanTxTiger
Broussard, La
Member since Oct 2007
11375 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:01 pm to
I have received two polls by text. Trust me when i say.... "what people say/put in those surveys is not always accurate".

They underpolled Trump 5 points in 2020. Not worried with Kamala.
Posted by jbdawgs03
Athens
Member since Oct 2017
13796 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:02 pm to
Still sitting out in Nov?
Posted by FLTech
he/won
Member since Sep 2017
28123 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:02 pm to
She has not said one single unscripted word yet in an interview or Press Conference
This post was edited on 8/5/24 at 7:03 pm
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
87260 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:02 pm to
Ah still engaging in fan fiction
Posted by Hamma1122
Member since Sep 2016
22290 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:02 pm to
Wanna bet??
Posted by jbdawgs03
Athens
Member since Oct 2017
13796 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:03 pm to
Like I said Auburn seems to be a breeding ground for leftist pussies
Posted by adamau
Member since Oct 2020
4286 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:03 pm to
quote:

Try listening to the Peoples Pundit, three of those polls come from ONE POLSTER who sells them the info and they then set their own parameters, so they are BSing you and of course you fall far it every time.

He also spoke about a BIAS that you have to account for as a pollster, whenever an event happens where people gain confidence, those people are far more likely to happily respond during a set period of time, in he showed how women respondents jumped from 53 % to 58 percent (Respondent Bias it happened after Trump got shot also) as those in the Trump likely were doing other things because he said in August, as far back as he can remember polling, Dems always gain in August, he doesn't know why, it could be the working joe takes a vacation right before school starts et al. matters not, it always happens then comes down in September.

So, Trump was never up by 5-7 points and hes not down now, hes probably up 2-3 and that will be a large electoral college victory. He said Harris' own internal polls has her down 1 nationally, he know people. Her polls are getting the exact same bias, which will even out soon. Republican President since 1980 have always finished HIGHER via the percentages than the Polls, and the Polls always have to CLOSE TOWARDS the Republicans to even get close, meaning it is being used as Propaganda to sway SIMPLETONS? Hello is that you out there?



Someone with a brain of their own comes to the table. Beautiful summation sir. I struggle to understand how people can so clearly see what the media has become and exactly what the margins and biases were from the last two elections and can't figure out all of this is and has been part of the plan from the beginning. The polls were always going to "show" this bounce running directly into the convention with hopes to fire up their base and some stupid undecideds with the hope to get it close enough to steal.

However, if they're watching these videos of black men talk about both Trump and Harris. Watching the focus groups from CNN of women discussing Harris and really looking into the younger vote, especially younger men, they know they are completely cooked. That's before adding in the fact that more educated women will come in more for any strong male than a woman they don't think is as smart as them and the current independent numbers are total dogshit for Kamala.

But, yeah, she's up and rolling. WTFever
Posted by cajuntiger1010
Member since Jan 2015
14422 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:04 pm to
Every poll that shows Harris lead is a D+4-6 poll. I have not seen one poll where she leads whenever the R/D split is correct
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33461 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:04 pm to
Posted by jbdawgs03
Athens
Member since Oct 2017
13796 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:04 pm to
Fan fiction like you creating some epic battle that’ll take place between the establishment GOP and MAGA? I can bump the thread if you want
Posted by Stidham8
Member since Aug 2018
10320 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:05 pm to
quote:

She has not said one single unscripted word yet in an interview or Press Conference


Wouldn’t it be nice if Trump could do that?
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
87260 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:05 pm to
Please do i guess

Im not GOPe or MAGA so i have no idea what you’re referencing
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
22766 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:07 pm to
These all can be true at the same time:

- So much has happened in the last month that polls really won’t be an accurate indicator until Labor Day. Some pollsters predicted that she’d be up after the announcement and then it would/could settle back down after the DNC.

- Dismissing these polls and/or the trends as simply fake news and thinking Trump is up comfortably is ignorant.

- Trump is still in a better position than he was in 2016, but that doesn’t mean it will last.

Posted by jbdawgs03
Athens
Member since Oct 2017
13796 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:08 pm to
quote:

We'll be at war with Trump people soon enough, I just want him to win After he wins he can engage in whatever dumb theatrics will satiate his desires
Posted by Hateradedrink
Member since May 2023
4156 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:09 pm to
The polls are pretty pointless until after the conventions at least.
Posted by adamau
Member since Oct 2020
4286 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:09 pm to
quote:

Here is another poll for you


Yep, yet another demographic they must have and yet are getting crushed in. Trump has become counter culture and youth, especially male youth of all races, flock to counter culture. The young crypto baws on Twitter are HEAVY HEAVY Trump despite holding lots of more liberal views than all of us.

Young black men are gonna go way heavier Trump than is showing.

Independents are skewing strongly for Trump, he lost them last time.

All the signs are there if you're actually paying attention.
This post was edited on 8/5/24 at 7:10 pm
Posted by graychef
Member since Jun 2008
30514 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:09 pm to
I wouldn’t bank on polling as much as how each candidate acts. If one side seems desperate, they are down. See Biden.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:11 pm to
Don’t black pill Pettifogger. We need all the GA votes we can get.
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