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Evergrande, china's largest real estate company is on verge of collapse

Posted on 9/26/20 at 4:17 am
Posted by trinidadtiger
Member since Jun 2017
13380 posts
Posted on 9/26/20 at 4:17 am
They sent a letter to the govt asking for a wee bit of help (they deny they sent it). Two banks have cut off their line of credit, all five lead banks are huddled up wringing their hands, their bond prices tanked by over 20 percent, the stock price dropped almost 10 percent (would have been more but the market expects/hopes the govt will bail them out)

Here is their financial position in a nutshell (a yuan is worth about 15 cents US). They owe 900 billion yuan , their interest payments are about 80 billion (this DOES NOT include bonds coming due) and their projected earnings are 33.5 billion.

They have borrowed all they can from banks, black market, etc. Now that banks are cutting off their revolving credit they cant pay squat in current expenses.

They have dropped their real estate prices by 30% (thats got to go over real well with the current owners of their properties who bought them as an "investment", wonder how long before their banks come after them).

If they tumble the entire real estate market will follow and its where the lions share of average chinese have their money parked.

Ole Xi is sitting on an awfully, awfully big bubble...what cha gonna do boy?
Posted by Doctor Strangelove
Member since Feb 2018
2963 posts
Posted on 9/26/20 at 4:21 am to
Link? I want to share.
Posted by trinidadtiger
Member since Jun 2017
13380 posts
Posted on 9/26/20 at 4:35 am to
Doc, I just caught a blip of it on international news, you certainly wont hear anything bad about them from the msm. Googled them and read several different articles.

They are one of Xi's pet companies, they always invest in stuff he is pushing, its how they got so big into electric cars and some of this other nonsense that is dragging down the core business.

Its another sign that covid hit china much harder than is being portrayed to the rest of the world.
Posted by Doctor Strangelove
Member since Feb 2018
2963 posts
Posted on 9/26/20 at 4:43 am to
The CCP’s impending real estate bubble might be one of the most underestimated financial crisis to occur in decades. As a frequent traveler to China, nearly every Chinese city has whole ghost towns of unoccupied apartments and office buildings that are owned by speculators. My biggest concern is that when this bubble pops, the whole financial world might get caught In the vortex.
Posted by Strannix
District 11
Member since Dec 2012
48929 posts
Posted on 9/26/20 at 4:55 am to
They need Chinese zjoe to get elected bigly
Posted by trinidadtiger
Member since Jun 2017
13380 posts
Posted on 9/26/20 at 5:04 am to
Agreed Doc. And its the millions of chinese who have invested in second properties that will get their arses cut.

As Trump once said, when you owe the bank a million you go visit them to plead your case, when you owe them 100 million they come to you.

These big boys want to restructure, the banks are going to foreclose on the little fellas to recoup the losses...and their prices just dropped double digit and put them underwater.

Last number I saw, 65 million empty apts in china.

This thing could truly send the world economies into a nosedive.
Posted by RiseUpATL
Member since Sep 2018
2214 posts
Posted on 9/26/20 at 5:29 am to
Yeah I’m not sure I’m pulling for this one.
Posted by BigB123
Texas
Member since Dec 2018
985 posts
Posted on 9/26/20 at 6:33 am to
I don’t know how Joe could help them much. Sure some tariff relief would help but that’s not going to change a massive oversupply of housing.
Posted by Blizzard of Chizz
Member since Apr 2012
19056 posts
Posted on 9/26/20 at 6:45 am to
Dumb question but how does that affect the housing market here? I distinctly remember a few years back someone in the real estate business telling me that Chinese companies were buying up a ton of housing inventory here and turning them into rental properties. That was not only driving the prices up here but also creating a shortage of housing available in the market.
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 9/26/20 at 6:55 am to
quote:

Doc, I just caught a blip of it on international news,


A couple of bonds had trading halted

Here you go, y'all can analyze it, not my thing.
Posted by idlewatcher
County Jail
Member since Jan 2012
79153 posts
Posted on 9/26/20 at 7:04 am to
quote:

I distinctly remember a few years back someone in the real estate business telling me that Chinese companies were buying up a ton of housing inventory here and turning them into rental properties. That was not only driving the prices up here but also creating a shortage of housing available in the market.



I’m friends with a very successful Chinaman in my industry who has multiple mfging companies in China. He said that the Wealthy Chinese essentially mask their real estate investments in the US (Mostly San Fran/NorCal) hence the lack of abundance of properties.

I could see that being true.
Posted by bbvdd
Memphis, TN
Member since Jun 2009
24996 posts
Posted on 9/26/20 at 7:14 am to
I guess they aren’t Ever-Grande
Posted by BozemanTiger
Member since Jul 2020
2904 posts
Posted on 9/26/20 at 7:15 am to
Hahahahaha! Evergrande is about to experience the chi-com version of being '86ed.

Do you know if there were any code changes in the way the company was able to treat the RE for tax purposes?

What was the catalyst for this implosion?
Posted by bamarep
Member since Nov 2013
51806 posts
Posted on 9/26/20 at 7:58 am to
You could see this coming 4 years ago when they were building entire cities with ZERO inhabitants.
Posted by DMAN1968
Member since Apr 2019
10145 posts
Posted on 9/26/20 at 8:09 am to
quote:

What was the catalyst for this implosion?

Communism
Posted by BozemanTiger
Member since Jul 2020
2904 posts
Posted on 9/26/20 at 8:17 am to


Yeah, thanks for stating the obvious.

I was more interested in any actual policy the commies may have instituted so that the resident PT commies could get, yet another, "teachable moment".
Posted by cokebottleag
I’m a Santos Republican
Member since Aug 2011
24028 posts
Posted on 9/26/20 at 8:22 am to
The CCP isn’t going to let them implode in the way you think. They will nationalize then or bail them out.

The bubble will continue to inflate further.
Posted by DabosDynasty
Member since Apr 2017
5179 posts
Posted on 9/26/20 at 8:22 am to
Throw a couple more million at Hunter Biden. He’ll fix it with his vast experience in the industry.
Posted by jimmy the leg
Member since Aug 2007
34157 posts
Posted on 9/26/20 at 8:53 am to
IIRC, didn’t IB Sceamin say that China was the world’s lone economic superpower.
Posted by Lima Whiskey
Member since Apr 2013
19255 posts
Posted on 9/26/20 at 9:07 am to
All of these companies are really state owned at some point, no?
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