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Message

re: Economy "Falling of a Cliff"

Posted on 12/16/24 at 7:30 am to
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
94095 posts
Posted on 12/16/24 at 7:30 am to
quote:

the more I think your post is ridiculous, pointless, and dumb af.


Its a recurring theme with cucker

Dudes just a very low iq poster
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
297963 posts
Posted on 12/16/24 at 7:30 am to
quote:

The more I try to respond to your post, the more I think your post is ridiculous, pointless, and dumb af.


If you understood that tariffs were inflationary, you wouldnt be struggling.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
94095 posts
Posted on 12/16/24 at 7:31 am to
quote:

Tell you what Bubba. Explain to me how Joe Bidens tariffs have helped you personally.


Shocking that you surrendered
Posted by KiwiHead
Auckland, NZ
Member since Jul 2014
36064 posts
Posted on 12/16/24 at 7:33 am to
Do you? Been waiting for your sage observations. At least the Shrub backs up his observations. You come out with 3rd rate attempted insults. So tell us Cap, where we are wrong on tariffs?
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
89026 posts
Posted on 12/16/24 at 7:33 am to
quote:

If you understood that tariffs were inflationary, you wouldnt be struggling.
You and I might be talking about completely different things.

I haven’t mentioned tariffs.

ETA: Do you know where I can get a good explanation of them, their goal, and their affects so far?
This post was edited on 12/16/24 at 7:39 am
Posted by wareagle7298
Birmingham
Member since Dec 2013
3571 posts
Posted on 12/16/24 at 7:40 am to
Almost anyone could have told you that all the government numbers were absolute garbage and constantly revised, and the second an R got in the White House they would pull the plug. Even if the economy improves (which it will), they will try to report 'pain and negativity' as much as possible. Articles will go from "Why paying $4 a gallon for gas if good for you" to "How $4 gas is wiping out middle America".
Posted by frogtown
Member since Aug 2017
5793 posts
Posted on 12/16/24 at 7:47 am to
quote:

: Do you know where I can get a good explanation of them, their goal, and their affects so far?


Read up on what all the "right wing" hayekian economists think about tariffs. That is a start.
This post was edited on 12/16/24 at 7:56 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
467462 posts
Posted on 12/16/24 at 7:48 am to
quote:

Almost anyone could have told you that all the government numbers were absolute garbage and constantly revised, and the second an R got in the White House they would pull the plug.


That's not what's happening.

The DEMs aren't "pulling the plug" as much as a non-DEM won't rely on government jobs to fill these reports (which is a good thing).

This isn't some planned event by a mysterious group. This has been building for 15 years and we just plugged holes with printing/borrowing (yes Trump, too, in his first 3 years). Covid spending (by both Trump and Biden) printed so much money that we can't go back to that well due to the inflationary effects. So stagflation is a real potential outcome.

The secondary problem is that in private life/industry, there is a similar debt bomb going off. Again, this isn't some DEM master plan and is just human behavior on a large scale. People who overpaid for things like cars and houses who want to pretend that was a good price have supplemented their SOL with consumer credit since Covid. That has created a debt-fueled false economy the same as public debt expansion.

We could float this private debtload as long as unemployment remained low (why Biden' admin targeted it so much). However, it's a ticking time bomb once unemployment rises and people can't afford to pay their debts. When the equilibrium on things like housing comes (prices start finally decreasing due to selling to get equity or having to move for jobs), it's going to get nasty, quickly. The RE industry has tried to prop up fraudulent MLS listings for a couple years now with off book reductions in price (like sellers offering seller-paid points or giving allowances for closing costs), but if unemployment does increase they won't be able to stop it.
Posted by evil cockroach
27.98N // 86.92E
Member since Nov 2007
8939 posts
Posted on 12/16/24 at 7:48 am to
quote:

Economy "Falling of a Cliff"
no its not. go to a major airport and let me know how broke everyone is.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
297963 posts
Posted on 12/16/24 at 7:49 am to
quote:


ETA: Do you know where I can get a good explanation of them, their goal, and their affects so far?


Tracking Trumps tariffs

Trump vs Friedman

One of my favorites..

Tariffs rarely work, but this one might...

It didnt. China upped their game and they own the worlds EV market now. Their EVs are more advanced, built as well and cost 20-30% less.

This post was edited on 12/16/24 at 7:53 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
467462 posts
Posted on 12/16/24 at 7:51 am to
quote:

no its not. go to a major airport and let me know how broke everyone is.


Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
94095 posts
Posted on 12/16/24 at 7:56 am to
quote:

China upped their game and they own the worlds EV market now. Their EVs are more advanced, built as well and cost 20-30% less.



Yet not a single person outside of Chyna drives one
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
297963 posts
Posted on 12/16/24 at 7:56 am to
quote:

Economy "Falling of a Cliff"
no its not. go to a major airport and let me know how broke everyone is.


Credit card debt at record highs.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
297963 posts
Posted on 12/16/24 at 8:04 am to
quote:



Yet not a single person outside of Chyna drives one
Replyreplies0Jump to Post...


Youre just fricking stupid. Our own protectionism put us behind the chinese.
quote:


The EV leader is already taking market share in key markets like Thailand, Brazil, and Columbia. Recent launches in Mexico, India, Australia, Indonesia, and Europe will also likely drive sales this year.


How did China come to dominate the EV market?

quote:

China, the world's largest car market, is now a major automobile producer and exporter as well.

The Asian giant's EV edge is thanks to its push for clean energy technology, including in the transportation sector.

"Having recognized the potential of electric vehicles 15 years ago, China has since invested vast resources in building a competitive electric vehicle ecosystem," said Allianz in its report.

Chinese EV makers hold a competitive edge in "nearly all aspects" of the battery electric vehicle value chain, per Allianz.


quote:

Chinese electric vehicles, or EVs, are already being exported to Europe — the continent saw total EV sales reach a record 4.4 million units in 2022, accounting for nearly half of all new vehicle registrations in 2022, German financial services firm Allianz wrote in a May 9 report.


quote:

Data from the China Passenger Car Association, posted on the Chinese social media platform WeChat, indicates that China's EV market accounted for a whopping 76% of global EV sales in October.
Posted by Lsupimp
Ersatz Amerika-97.6% phony & fake
Member since Nov 2003
85459 posts
Posted on 12/16/24 at 8:05 am to
It is an article of faith with the Democrat white lady class that only very narrow parts of the economy are hurting. They have been fed this, they believe it, they don’t generally work in business, and they don’t really care anyway. Meanwhile working Americans get deeper and deeper in the hole and have lost their purchasing power .
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
89026 posts
Posted on 12/16/24 at 8:06 am to
quote:

One of my favorites..
Friedman alluded to the fact that Japan saved a significant amount of their revenues when compared to us.

Japan had a trade surplus, and invested in the U.S. All well and good I suppose.


Is China doing something comparable now? Are tariffs on China keeping them from investing in the U.S.?
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
94095 posts
Posted on 12/16/24 at 8:08 am to
Of course you believe that

Cant wait to see BYDs dominating Mex city. Oh wait that wont be happening
Posted by lsusteve1
Member since Dec 2004
46525 posts
Posted on 12/16/24 at 8:08 am to
quote:

If Trump does this, he will be associated with these worse numbers The only place this will resonate as a Trump win is within the echo chamber.


Not if he’s in front of the narrative

And make no mistake, there’s plenty to “point out”
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
297963 posts
Posted on 12/16/24 at 8:09 am to
quote:



Is China doing something comparable now? Are tariffs on China keeping them from investing in the U.S.?


US mfgs are falling behind due to protectionism. China is the industry innovator.

They sell pretty much everywhere but here. BYD is building a plant in Mexico, and they'll own that market.

We are losing the global war because we try way too hard to protect American corporations.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
297963 posts
Posted on 12/16/24 at 8:10 am to
quote:

Of course you believe that


Youre unbelievably stupid. A true marvel.
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