re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted by tiger91

In my own little world

Member since Nov 2005

40251 posts

Posted on 3/29/20 at 6:56 pm to the808bass

(no message)

This post was edited on 3/29/20 at 6:58 pm

Posted by Janky

Team Primo

Member since Jun 2011

35957 posts

Posted on 3/29/20 at 6:58 pm to tiger91

As long as the trend line is down, I would imagine a little rollover doesn't really matter.

Posted by Chromdome35

Fast lane, behind a slow driver

Member since Nov 2010

8289 posts

Posted on 3/29/20 at 7:03 pm to Chromdome35

The growth rate of deaths by day.

Early in the outbreak, there was a day when we went from 0 deaths to 5 deaths, a 500% increase. That skews the numbers pretty bad so I have omitted it from this.

This post was edited on 3/29/20 at 7:07 pm

Posted by LSURussian

Member since Feb 2005

135363 posts

Posted on 3/29/20 at 7:07 pm to Chromdome35

quote:
when we went from 0 deaths to 5 deaths, a 500% increase

Wouldn’t that be an infinity increase because you can’t divide by 0?

Posted by Chromdome35

Fast lane, behind a slow driver

Member since Nov 2010

8289 posts

Posted on 3/29/20 at 7:28 pm to LSURussian

yes...another reason to omit

Posted by the808bass

The Lou

Member since Oct 2012

129625 posts

Posted on 3/29/20 at 8:01 pm to Chromdome35

I shared in another thread, but I’ll post here. My friend is out of the ICU and in a regular bed as of this morning. Much improved.

Posted by IslandBuckeye

Boca Chica, Panama

Member since Apr 2018

10067 posts

Posted on 3/29/20 at 8:01 pm to Chromdome35

Graphs on first page look odd. Approaching 1.5 million. Is there a scaling problem or did I pick the wrong day to start dropping acid again?

Posted by LSURussian

Member since Feb 2005

135363 posts

Posted on 3/29/20 at 8:17 pm to the808bass

Great to hear!

Posted by Chromdome35

Fast lane, behind a slow driver

Member since Nov 2010

8289 posts

Posted on 3/29/20 at 8:18 pm to IslandBuckeye

I fat fingered a number, its fixed now.

Today's numbers look abnormally low to me, tomorrow maybe big.

This post was edited on 3/29/20 at 8:20 pm

3 ...

Posted by Winston Cup

Dallas Cowboys Fan

Member since May 2016

66974 posts

Posted on 3/29/20 at 8:20 pm to Chromdome35

Thank you for doing this

I check multiple times a day

This post was edited on 3/29/20 at 8:20 pm

Posted by NorCali

Member since Feb 2015

1795 posts

Posted on 3/29/20 at 8:43 pm to the808bass

That is great news. Where did you read that? Or just report on TV.

Posted by uppermidwestbama

Member since Nov 2014

2097 posts

Posted on 3/29/20 at 8:45 pm to Winston Cup

In a week more than half of the deaths from this virus in our country will be from NYC. Keep that in mind this week as the numbers get posted. Tomorrow's numbers are going to be ugly in the death numbers from NYC today.

Posted by LosLobos111

Austere

Member since Feb 2011

45385 posts

Posted on 3/29/20 at 9:11 pm to the808bass

You also said a friends father(?) wasn't doing well

Is he doing better?

Posted by LSURussian

Member since Feb 2005

135363 posts

Posted on 3/29/20 at 9:38 pm to Chromdome35

It sure would be a relief if today’s new death total of 264 is accurate. Also with the new cases number being down from Saturday.

This post was edited on 3/29/20 at 10:39 pm

Posted by the808bass

The Lou

Member since Oct 2012

129625 posts

Posted on 3/29/20 at 9:40 pm to LosLobos111

They’re trying to slowly wean from the vent. Still getting dialysis. It will be a long haul for him. But not worse now and seems to be showing some signs of improvement.

Posted by tiger91

In my own little world

Member since Nov 2005

40251 posts

Posted on 3/29/20 at 9:53 pm to LSURussian

Are those your babies??!! Precious either way.

Posted by Chromdome35

Fast lane, behind a slow driver

Member since Nov 2010

8289 posts

Posted on 3/29/20 at 10:00 pm to Chromdome35

This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary

NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.

I changed the formating of the numbers in the table to reflect positive movements (Green) vs negative movements (Red). This will allow you to quickly see how the numbers are moving.

Posted by Chromdome35

Fast lane, behind a slow driver

Member since Nov 2010

8289 posts

Posted on 3/29/20 at 10:03 pm to Chromdome35

I'm not really sure how to take today's numbers. Part of me wants to jump with joy that there has been such a significant downturn in the growth of both cases and deaths.

Both metrics have been on a downward trend for the previous 4 days; however, today's decline was far steeper than the numbers leading into today would have suggested.

I will be a little less skeptical if tomorrow's numbers continue to show a decline.