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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 3/19/20 at 10:56 am to
Posted by BobBoucher
Member since Jan 2008
18467 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 10:56 am to
quote:

I really think this has been around longer than a few weeks.



Not likely. Hospitals would have seen activity sooner. It doesn’t wait until we’ve confirmed its here before it makes people seriously ill.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
7921 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 12:04 pm to



These are not final numbers for the day, they will continue to increase throughout the day. I will update again later this afternoon.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 12:05 pm to
already higher than yesterdays raise and it's only noon

big yikes
Posted by Bunyan
He/Him
Member since Oct 2016
20931 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 12:07 pm to
When does Italy usually update their case numbers?
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
73005 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

already higher than yesterdays raise and it's only noon

big yikes



Testing capacity jumped massively since last night

Thursday and Friday of this week were when they told us a huge surge in testing was going to happen
Posted by PhDoogan
Member since Sep 2018
14977 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 12:15 pm to
Am I reading the chart wrong? It seems to indicate that as of noon, there is a 15% jump in the number of new cases. If that doubles today, won't that be on par w the number of new cases confirmed yesterday and overall a drop in the percentage of new cases to existing cases?

Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
39925 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

Hospitals would have seen activity sooner.


Clinics did see some bad stuff that they couldn't identify by test. They called it "the super flu" according to some doctors who post on TD. Not saying it was covid but very possibly could have been. You'd have to test those people for antibodies I guess.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
39925 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 12:29 pm to
I may be reading it wrong as well but yes.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
7921 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 12:37 pm to
What I've seen is that the numbers will go up substantially later in the day, the updates seem to peak in the early evenings and taper off until midnight.

It is simply too early in the day to draw any conclusions about today.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
124796 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

the updates seem to peak in the early evenings and taper off until midnight. It is simply too early in the day to draw any conclusions about today.


Yeah. The data is reported in haphazard fashion with relation to time of day. You can get a late update and we basically start the next day (at 10 PM) at 5 deaths.

So it will be interesting to see if there’s a jump in deaths again today or if yesterday was some reporting anomaly.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
7921 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 12:49 pm to
I have been basing my “days” on my calendar days not on whatever day schedule the site uses. That’s what cause the slight misalignment of my daily growth rate vs theirs. At the core, the numbers are still the same.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

So it will be interesting to see if there’s a jump in deaths again today or if yesterday was some reporting anomaly.


this was my concern with the AM deaths already being so high
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
124796 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

At the core, the numbers are still the same.


I didn’t even notice the difference between your numbers and their’s. I agree the numbers are the numbers.
Posted by tigersbb
Member since Oct 2012
12050 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

o it will be interesting to see if there’s a jump in deaths again today or if yesterday was some reporting anomaly.


Yesterday was the largest jump in confirmed cases as the testing was accelerating. The deaths are rising but at a lower rate. The death rate as a percentage of cases is now below 1.5% for teh firs time so that is a positive.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
124796 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

The deaths are rising but at a lower rate.


Deaths will lag even symptomatic cases by a couple weeks.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
94650 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

big yikes


Settle down, chief.

We always new the case count was going to go up with testing.

Flattening the curve is far more about the serious cases and deaths than the overall cases (although they are related to a degree).

Posted by Damone
FoCo
Member since Aug 2016
32966 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 12:58 pm to
The whole “this has been around for weeks” storyline is BS. The trends and hospitalizations don’t support it one bit.
Posted by EA6B
TX
Member since Dec 2012
14754 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

Not likely. Hospitals would have seen activity sooner. It doesn’t wait until we’ve confirmed its here before it makes people seriously ill.



They did, healthcare providers are reviewing case files from late 2019, and are finding a surge in patients with flu like symptoms, that tested negative for influenza.
Posted by Damone
FoCo
Member since Aug 2016
32966 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 1:00 pm to
These graphs are extremely helpful but they do lag a day. So we can’t assess today’s stats until tomorrow really.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/19/20 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

We always new the case count was going to go up with testing.


I knew it and posted it before anyone else did, like literally before trumps presser a week ago was over.

it's still unsettling if the growth rate keeps going up
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