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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 7/6/20 at 7:07 pm to
Posted by Crimsonians
Member since Nov 2019
1585 posts
Posted on 7/6/20 at 7:07 pm to
Yep. Some of that was carryover from yesterday for California, but number was called too soon.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
33403 posts
Posted on 7/7/20 at 12:35 am to
New York Times writes entirely rational article mirroring what this thread has been saying the past 2 weeks

quote:

After a minor late-spring lull, the number of confirmed coronavirus cases in the United States is once again on the rise. States like Arizona, Florida and Texas are seeing some of their highest numbers to date, and as the nation hurtles further into summer, the surge shows few signs of stopping.

And yet the virus appears to be killing fewer of the people it infects. In April and May, Covid-19, the disease caused by the coronavirus, led to as many as 3,000 deaths per day, and claimed the lives of roughly 7 to 8 percent of Americans known to have been infected. The number of daily deaths is now closer to 600, and the death rate is less than 5 percent.

In general, experts see three broad reasons for the downward trend in the rate of coronavirus deaths: testing, treatment and a shift in whom the virus is infecting. The relative contribution of these factors is not yet clear. And because death reports can lag diagnoses by weeks, the current rise in coronavirus cases could still portend increases in mortality in the days to come.


Read the whole thing. I think you can detect annoyance on their end that this article appears to be true.

You know it's over if it finally came to them actually having to print this.
Posted by friendlysnek
Member since Jun 2020
211 posts
Posted on 7/7/20 at 7:31 am to
quote:


And conventional wisdom is that "deaths lag cases" - COVID19 is going to challenge that for the future.

The new wisdom is, for good or bad, "testing drives cases." I think that is indisputable based on our experience the past 4 months.



It seems pretty consistent to me.. the elderly and unhealthy are in a lot of danger. The rest of us need to press forward so that Trump can run on the economy



Posted by Crimsonians
Member since Nov 2019
1585 posts
Posted on 7/7/20 at 10:51 am to
Backlogged deaths are going to make a high total today. 117 for Arizona. They only registered 1 yesterday.
Posted by Volsfan82169
Spring Hill, TN
Member since Aug 2016
2934 posts
Posted on 7/7/20 at 11:27 am to
Yeah was really hoping the post holiday weekend spike would be in the 5-6 hundred range, but I have a feeling we are looking more at 8-9 hundred today. Also hope to be proven wrong.
Posted by Crimsonians
Member since Nov 2019
1585 posts
Posted on 7/7/20 at 11:31 am to
I wouldn't be shocked if 1,000 is hit.
Posted by Athanatos
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
8141 posts
Posted on 7/7/20 at 11:58 am to
quote:

Yeah was really hoping the post holiday weekend spike would be in the 5-6 hundred range, but I have a feeling we are looking more at 8-9 hundred today. Also hope to be proven wrong.


Same.
Posted by Rocco Lampone
Raleigh, NC
Member since Nov 2010
3051 posts
Posted on 7/7/20 at 12:31 pm to
quote:

Mortality down to 4.2% and falling.



Trump tweeted:
quote:

Why does the Lamestream Fake News Media REFUSE to say that China Virus deaths are down 39%, and that we now have the lowest Fatality (Mortality) Rate in the World. They just can’t stand that we are doing so well for our Country!


No one reports on mortality ranking. Are we really at the low end of the rankings? Definitely flies in the face of MSM coverage, if so.
Posted by AUin02
Member since Jan 2012
4281 posts
Posted on 7/7/20 at 12:38 pm to
The more cases you add without impacting the fatalities, the lower the mortality goes.
Posted by Eat Your Crow
caught beneath the landslide
Member since May 2017
9190 posts
Posted on 7/7/20 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

No one reports on mortality ranking. Are we really at the low end of the rankings?

We have found WAY more cases than anyone else, so it makes sense.
Posted by Eat Your Crow
caught beneath the landslide
Member since May 2017
9190 posts
Posted on 7/7/20 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

Yeah was really hoping the post holiday weekend spike would be in the 5-6 hundred range, but I have a feeling we are looking more at 8-9 hundred today. Also hope to be proven wrong.

New York, Arizona, Florida, New Jersey, and California have all reported already. The only "hot spot" left for the day is Texas, from what I see. However, many other states are reporting higher numbers today, likely due to the holiday weekend.

6-7 hundred range sounds about right.
This post was edited on 7/7/20 at 1:04 pm
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6834 posts
Posted on 7/7/20 at 12:53 pm to
According to WoM which has the best stats for country level data.

Out of most of the developed world, the US mortality rate is the lowest. Keep in mind that mortality is a function of testing, the more testing we do, the lower the mortality rate will go.



I filtered the countries to not show any country with less than 50K cases.
This post was edited on 7/7/20 at 12:55 pm
Posted by tWildcat
Verona, KY
Member since Oct 2014
19318 posts
Posted on 7/7/20 at 1:09 pm to
Those China numbers
Posted by Crimsonians
Member since Nov 2019
1585 posts
Posted on 7/7/20 at 1:11 pm to
California is from yesterday. Their 100 for today hasn't even started. Notice no cases yet.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89518 posts
Posted on 7/7/20 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

Those China numbers


I pretty much multiply their case numbers by 100 and their deaths by 50 and start with that as my "low" estimate.

Has to be better science that those bullshite numbers.
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6834 posts
Posted on 7/7/20 at 1:18 pm to
Some states report multiple times a day. NY usually has a second report in the evening. WoM normally reflects this; however, the COVID Tracking Project won't since they cut off at 4pm CST.

California is another state that reports multiple times a day.
Posted by Crimsonians
Member since Nov 2019
1585 posts
Posted on 7/7/20 at 1:55 pm to
Over 500. I wouldn't put too much into the total today. Same for this past weekend. Normal starts the rest of this week.
Posted by AU4real35
Member since Jan 2014
16065 posts
Posted on 7/7/20 at 2:07 pm to
China 83k cases ??????.... we should bomb the hell out them!
Posted by vl100butch
Ridgeland, MS
Member since Sep 2005
34651 posts
Posted on 7/7/20 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

Chromedome, I keep an eye on Louisiana and compute two stats...

death rate of cases reported, which continues to drop, my calculation is 4.8% today

percentage of tests performed to cases reported, which is 8.1% today...


I'm going to track this for a week or so and post daily...

So for Tuesday 7 July...death rate of cases reported, 4.7%; tests performed to cases reported 8.05%
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6834 posts
Posted on 7/7/20 at 4:46 pm to
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/















New Cases by State


New Deaths by State


7-day average growth rate of new cases
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