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Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1769 posts
 Online 

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/23/20 6:40 PM
Update 3/15/20 11:00PM


LosLobos111
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Austere
Member since Feb 2011
44182 posts
 Online 

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/23/20 6:40 PM
Hmm seems to have leveled a bit?



tiger91
LSU Fan
South of Lafayette
Member since Nov 2005
26749 posts
 Online 

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/23/20 6:40 PM
Just looked at the chart on the OT that compares it day by day to Italy. On day 15 for Italy they had 3089 cases. Provided I’m reading that right.

LINK/

Im just wondering how can the serious cases still be at 10? If I’m not Mistaken there was another added in Seattle and Nola ler report on the Ot. If you can trust it.
This post was edited on 3/15 at 11:18 pm


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Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1769 posts
 Online 

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/23/20 6:40 PM
This is what I see happening. The daily growth rate of the total number of cases has declined for the last 6 days. That is the only real indication of any type of slowing/leveling I've seen.




Malik Agar
USA Fan
Member since Nov 2012
9149 posts

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/23/20 6:40 PM
How legitimate are these stats?


Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1769 posts
 Online 

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/23/20 6:40 PM
In my original post, I posted a link to the source. I am getting all the numbers from this site. LINK


Malik Agar
USA Fan
Member since Nov 2012
9149 posts

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/23/20 6:40 PM
I know, but I'm wondering how good theirs are. Someone posted one earlier on the American stats that say only 10 critical cases. There's no way that can be true.


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20
ShortyRob
LSU Fan
Member since Oct 2008
79825 posts

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/23/20 6:40 PM
quote:

That is the only real indication of any type of slowing/leveling I've seen

Hopefully that continues the next 6 days


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TigerCruise
Missouri Fan
Virginia Beach, VA
Member since Oct 2013
11038 posts

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/23/20 6:40 PM
Someone go tell WHO their healthcare rankings are bull shite.

Italy #2


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20
texridder
TCU Fan
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Oct 2017
10113 posts
 Online 

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/23/20 6:40 PM
quote:

Maybe you should have given a frick about whether that data was accurate or not, BEFORE you posted it

Are you for real?

How many tables have you created and posted on here?


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32
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USA
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Jinglebob
Member since Jan 2020
948 posts

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/23/20 6:40 PM
quote:

Do you have a graph broken down by age or age range? This would be more helpful. Does the CDC provide such graphs? If not, then Trump needs to get on them


In Italy 99% of deaths are people 60+ years old. 83% of deaths are 70+ years old. 48% of deaths are 80+ years old.

In the US 61% of deaths are from WA, with the majority of those being from a nursing home with a bunch of people in hospice.

I imagine that is going to be similar across the globe.

Bottom line is all ages can transmit CV, only the very old and sick will die. Minus a half dozen anecdotal exceptions, which given a global population of 7.7 billion is statistically irrelevant.


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32
Jinglebob
Member since Jan 2020
948 posts

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/23/20 6:40 PM
quote:

So as the death rate gets minuscule are we still going to hype the total number of cases?


Who the frick cares if it is no more deadly than the flu? Do people die a lot without being “serious” first?

Doesn’t seem like a lot on deck for death

Speaking of death, given the us has 4 million deaths a year how long before this is statistically significant?

Since it is mostly old folks it will never affect life expectancy.



1600 people die every day from cancer in the US.

Most of them are old too.

We are literally shutting down the country and tanking the economy over a flu that will (if the media is lucky) kill as many people this year as cancer does in 2 weeks.


Jinglebob
Member since Jan 2020
948 posts

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/23/20 6:40 PM
Here is another nerd data site someone linked to the other day.

It shows up to date cases/deaths for the world, broken down by country and states. The mobile site is kind of shite but if you tap the expand arrows for each box it is readable.

LINK

As of this post,

US cases:
3,774

US deaths:
69

WA: 42
CA: 6
NY: 6
FL: 5
LA: 2
NJ: 2
CO, GA, KS, OR, SD, VA all 1


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Boatshoes
Member since Dec 2017
6775 posts

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/23/20 6:40 PM
Personally, I'd forget about tracking "serious cases". Although it might be valuable as a surrogate for how burdened the health care system may become, it's too vague a definition to be helpful.

What would be good is plugging those numbers into a spreadsheet and calculating a delta for the CFR to see if it exhibits any sort of leveling off as the number of people tested and diagnosed increases.


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Little Trump
Alabama Fan
Florida
Member since Nov 2017
4005 posts

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/23/20 6:40 PM
Looks deaths are already decreasing and recoveries increasing

Just what you’d want to see

Thanks President Trump


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21
LsuFan_1955
LSU Fan
Slidell, La
Member since Jul 2013
633 posts

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/23/20 6:40 PM
quote:

The % of serious cases to active cases:
Worldwide: 8.84%
Italy: 8.88%
UK: 2.6%
France: 4.31%
Germany: .25%
Spain: 4.73%


Perhaps the medical system in the US is that much better than the socialized systems in the other countries?


the808bass
SE Missouri Fan
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
74976 posts

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/23/20 6:40 PM
Ignore the “serious” case data until they can quantify it or validate it. It looks way, way off.

It’s been stuck on 10 basically they whole time while deaths have continued to rise.


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10
Oilfieldbiology
LSU Fan
Member since Nov 2016
19662 posts

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/23/20 6:40 PM
This isn’t in you as I know you’d post the data if you had it, but I wish we had #’s on the number of tests performed.

I anticipate that looking awfully similar to the cases reported bar graph.

Edit:
Looking at the death numbers, I suspect a shite ton of people have this virus already and we are just now testing for it. I except that case # to increase rapidly as tests are administered, but I hope the deaths stay the same.
This post was edited on 3/16 at 6:12 am


schexyoung
LSU Fan
Deaf Valley
Member since May 2008
5911 posts
 Online 

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/23/20 6:40 PM
It’s not. Something like 90% of tests in the US have been negative. Testing capacity is up to 32k a day.


Oilfieldbiology
LSU Fan
Member since Nov 2016
19662 posts

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/23/20 6:40 PM
It’s up to 32k but where was it when these numbers first started?


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