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re: COVID19 mortality rate now over 5 percent

Posted on 4/16/20 at 4:23 pm to
Posted by Jinglebob
Member since Jan 2020
948 posts
Posted on 4/16/20 at 4:23 pm to
When you only test people with severe symptoms/hospitalized you are not getting an accurate mortality rate.

Not to mention the deaths coded as COVID-19 that were never tested or tested negative.

Posted by Roger Klarvin
DFW
Member since Nov 2012
46511 posts
Posted on 4/16/20 at 4:23 pm to
The mortality of the flu is about 0.01% in a normal year. This will level off around 0.4-0.5% once we have good serology testing.

Still 20-25x higher than influenza, but nowhere near what the numbers reflect now.
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
115906 posts
Posted on 4/16/20 at 4:24 pm to
Math is hard.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118835 posts
Posted on 4/16/20 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

COVID19 mortality rate now over 5 percent


OP is like:

Posted by Homesick Tiger
Greenbrier, AR
Member since Nov 2006
54210 posts
Posted on 4/16/20 at 4:25 pm to
You must be using that new math the school systems tried to push on us back around the early 60s. It failed miserably and was never heard of again.
Posted by SundayFunday
Member since Sep 2011
9299 posts
Posted on 4/16/20 at 4:26 pm to
OP is still running on the kindergarteners understanding of statistics that made people panic about the soon-to-be 20million dead Americans
Posted by LSUconvert
Hattiesburg, MS
Member since Aug 2007
6229 posts
Posted on 4/16/20 at 4:28 pm to
I'm not gonna get involved in the meat of the argument in the thread.

But, are you implying the math you showed contradicts 5% mortality rate?
Posted by LSUconvert
Hattiesburg, MS
Member since Aug 2007
6229 posts
Posted on 4/16/20 at 4:31 pm to
quote:

I think those numbers come out to like HALF a percent....


Think again. This time takes the extra 2 seconds.
Posted by MastrShake
SoCal
Member since Nov 2008
7281 posts
Posted on 4/16/20 at 4:31 pm to
quote:

The mortality of the flu is about 0.01% in a normal year. This will level off around 0.4-0.5% once we have good serology testing.

Still 20-25x higher than influenza, but nowhere near what the numbers reflect now.
this is hopefully the spike, I think (and hope) it gets down to at least 1, 5 is terrifying, we went from 26,000 and 4.2 percent to 35,000 and 5.1 in two days.

APRIL 14



APRIL 16

Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
98856 posts
Posted on 4/16/20 at 4:32 pm to
You
Are
Dum
Posted by MastrShake
SoCal
Member since Nov 2008
7281 posts
Posted on 4/16/20 at 4:34 pm to
quote:

But, are you implying the math you showed contradicts 5% mortality rate?

VERY BASIC MATH = FAKE NEWS (when they dont like it)
Posted by Floating Change Up
Member since Dec 2013
11857 posts
Posted on 4/16/20 at 4:34 pm to
quote:

mortality rate for the flu in the US = 0.1 percent

mortality rate for COVID19 in the US = 5.1 percent


You MUT BELIEVE SCIENCE!!!

And disregard basic math.

frick sakes this dude is stupid.
Posted by LSUconvert
Hattiesburg, MS
Member since Aug 2007
6229 posts
Posted on 4/16/20 at 4:36 pm to
quote:


And disregard basic math.


Again, not really here for the meat of the argument, but what basic math is being disregarded?
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56532 posts
Posted on 4/16/20 at 4:39 pm to
quote:

mortality rate for the flu in the US = 0.1 percent

mortality rate for COVID19 in the US = 5.1 percent



You are ignorant of facts, which probably explains why you have the views that you do.

The COVID19 number is the Case Fatality Rate and only includes documented confirmed cases.

The flu rate you reference includes estimated cases.

I'm not sure how anyone could still not understand this on April 16th. You really have to be a dumbass to need to have someone explain this so late in the ballgame.
Posted by MastrShake
SoCal
Member since Nov 2008
7281 posts
Posted on 4/16/20 at 4:40 pm to
not exactly magas finest moment to see how many of you cant even do 3rd grade math

Posted by Roger Klarvin
DFW
Member since Nov 2012
46511 posts
Posted on 4/16/20 at 4:43 pm to
I think once widespread serology testing is available we’ll find at least 20% or so infected were asymptomatic or pauci-symptomatic which will really drive the mortality down. Of course, the mortality rate for symptomatic patients may be end up being closer to 1%.
Posted by Dead End
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2013
21237 posts
Posted on 4/16/20 at 4:47 pm to
Fake news, bitch.
Posted by MastrShake
SoCal
Member since Nov 2008
7281 posts
Posted on 4/16/20 at 4:49 pm to
quote:

The COVID19 number is the Case Fatality Rate and only includes documented confirmed cases.
nope. 100 percent wrong, in fact.



quote:

You really have to be a dumbass to need to have someone explain this so late in the ballgame.
uh huh.

Posted by Godfather1
What WAS St George, Louisiana
Member since Oct 2006
79697 posts
Posted on 4/16/20 at 4:53 pm to
Congratulations.
This post was edited on 4/16/20 at 4:56 pm
Posted by George Dickel
Member since Jun 2019
1598 posts
Posted on 4/16/20 at 5:04 pm to
Yep.... congrats to the OP on a successful troll.
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