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re: China is dumping US treasuries because they know Trump is watching the 10-year yield
Posted on 4/8/25 at 2:45 pm to mmcgrath
Posted on 4/8/25 at 2:45 pm to mmcgrath
quote:So if we can do those things, we can do more of those things. Right?
What production do you want to move to the US? We make cars and planes, produce corn, wheat, etc.
Manufacturing is only running at around 75% capacity.
The utilities sector had a capacity utilization rate of 71.1% in December 2024, significantly below its long-run average, indicating substantial underutilization. ?
The US semiconductor industry has ample extra capacity.
etc.
1
Posted on 4/8/25 at 2:47 pm to SDVTiger
quote:
Can you quote and link that please
ROFL. What?
You’re not aware that Trump has said we have a bad trade deal with Canada?
Or are you unaware that Trump negotiated the deal?
Posted on 4/8/25 at 2:56 pm to LARancher1991
Importer already has business in US.
Exporter signs a non binding agreement with DJT
Exporter in China figures he waits out current admin, figures new guy in 2029 changes tariff.
Meanwhile importer goes out of business
Exporter signs a non binding agreement with DJT
Exporter in China figures he waits out current admin, figures new guy in 2029 changes tariff.
Meanwhile importer goes out of business
Posted on 4/8/25 at 3:04 pm to KiwiHead
quote:Except, that is not universally true, is it? IIRC, exporters offset 5–20% on average.
Tariff = tax....importer pays it.....passes on cost ....leading to increase of price of good from that country. Not hard to understand.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 3:05 pm to KiwiHead
quote:
Importer already has business in US.
Exporter signs a non binding agreement with DJT
Exporter in China figures he waits out current admin, figures new guy in 2029 changes tariff.
Meanwhile importer goes out of business
You figured that out, but nobody in the administration did.
fricking idiot
Posted on 4/8/25 at 3:13 pm to Taxing Authority
quote:
Witness
What can’t happen here, TA? What I said was absurd was the idea that making China hegemonic was the goal.
I also don’t believe it’s possible unless the USA simply folds with a stronger hand. I have long predicted the demise of China - I mean ever since Xi took over. I have long said that China will either liberalize and balkanize, or they will crack down and fail economically. It looks like the latter. Perhaps if the Democrats had won the last election the USA would have effectively ceded hegemony to an inferior country, but that ain’t happening now.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 3:29 pm to AGGIES
All that and no link to the direct quote
Posted on 4/8/25 at 3:50 pm to stout
China has $759 billion in Treasury securities.
If China cashes in all their Treasury securities it doesn’t really hurt that much. The US already has $36.5 trillion deficit. If all foreign countries called in their $8.5 trillion that would be a different story.
With a bear market brokerages are probably buying up guaranteed securities. Japan has over a $1 trillion in Treasury securities and they are probably buying up some of the securities China might be selling.
If China cashes in all their Treasury securities it doesn’t really hurt that much. The US already has $36.5 trillion deficit. If all foreign countries called in their $8.5 trillion that would be a different story.
With a bear market brokerages are probably buying up guaranteed securities. Japan has over a $1 trillion in Treasury securities and they are probably buying up some of the securities China might be selling.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 6:18 pm to NC_Tigah
quote:So you don't want to move manufacturing to the US. You just want manufacturing to run closer to capacity? So we should just make more cars and computer chips? Who is going to buy them and how would the tariffs wars help?
So if we can do those things, we can do more of those things. Right?
Manufacturing is only running at around 75% capacity.
The utilities sector had a capacity utilization rate of 71.1% in December 2024, significantly below its long-run average, indicating substantial underutilization. ?
The US semiconductor industry has ample extra capacity.
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