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re: Biden tapping Bill Nye the 'not really a' science guy

Posted on 9/28/23 at 7:22 am to
Posted by Peebles
Member since Jul 2022
222 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 7:22 am to
quote:



This is the real "inconvenient truth." Despite input of verified historical data, none of these models have ever correctly "predicted" current conditions. Of course, that doesn't even scratch the surface.






whatever. You made that up.
LINK

quote:

There's only been what could be considered "global" weather data since the late 1880s. So about 150 years of 5 billion.



Ummm..



Ok. CFD models only need the evolved variables and sometimes their derivatives at model time equal zero. They don't need to know the entire history of the Universe. Do you understand ?

quote:

And, lastly, perhaps more attention should be paid to that massive fusion reactor 93 million miles away from Earth because there is more (and more scientifically supported) evidence that indicates sunspot activity and solar maximum/minimum phases are the warming "culprit."


Ok. Where is this evidence? Latest I can find is a Soon paper in a second rate astro journal from over a year ago.
This post was edited on 9/28/23 at 7:26 am
Posted by Jbird
In Bidenville with EthanL
Member since Oct 2012
84453 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 7:25 am to

In 1971, global cooling was the climate threat du jour. Dr. Murray Mitchell of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration stated that the planet’s temperature had decreased by “one-half a degree Fahrenheit” since World War II in the 1971 article, titled “New Ice Age?” Claims of longer and harsher winters in Europe since 1940 were also cited. German meteorologist Dr. Martin Rodewald predicted that if this weather pattern continued, Europe “would be covered with the glaciers of a new ice age by the turn of the century.” In 1971, this was the science.

“American and Danish weather researchers in North Greenland, drilling down through 1400 meters of ice to read the weather record of 800 years, found that cold and warm cycles run for an average of 78 to 180 years,” the article stated. “On this basis, Dr. Rodewald does not foresee another warming trend before the year 2015.”

Scientists have a horrible record when it comes to making climate change predictions. Whether it was global cooling in the 1970s or the current cultlike behavior warning of global warming, the only consistency about climate science is its inconsistency. It’s time to stop treating it like it is an absolute truth. If they were wrong before, there’s nothing to suggest they will not be wrong again. LINK
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135578 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 7:38 am to
quote:

posts of drivel.
In fairness, he came with some interesting stuff. Unfortunately, it was overdosed with loads of snide stupidity.

E.g., I'd have enjoyed discussing the Friedman equations because as opposed to their addressing relative balance of dark energy, matter, radiation, curvature, my understanding was they only relate how those components influence expansion and evolution of the universe, not the component proportions or balance. But at this point, that discussion sure ain't happening.

In the end, it was like sitting down with someone for a nice dinner, only to find they have godawful table manners. After one too many views of open-mouthed chewing, smacking, and talking with their mouth full, you just finally shake your head, push your plate away, and bid adieu.
This post was edited on 9/28/23 at 8:28 am
Posted by Peebles
Member since Jul 2022
222 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 7:39 am to
Why didn't you bother to check out their original sources? You just take the Washington Examiners word for it? You know anyone can write a news article saying anything they want, right? It's a free country.


Does it matter at all what scientists actually published in the 70's? Or we should just believe whatever the Examiner tells us?

This post was edited on 9/28/23 at 7:53 am
Posted by Peebles
Member since Jul 2022
222 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 7:49 am to
It was an enjoyable discussion. Then you go distracted by the word "concern"? Remember?

More accurate to say the Friedman equations give us the expansion rate and then it's trivial to plug that into the cosmological equations of state to get the relative balance.
Posted by Jbird
In Bidenville with EthanL
Member since Oct 2012
84453 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 8:02 am to
quote:


Does it matter at all what scientists actually published in the 70's?
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62567 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 8:07 am to
quote:

What's a "perturbed physics ensemble" ?
I'm gonna go on a limb and guess you know nothing about boundary conditions, residuals, or discontinuity handling in climate models either. But I'm sure you trust them.

Posted by willymeaux
Member since Mar 2012
4877 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 8:25 am to
Posted by Peebles
Member since Jul 2022
222 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 8:45 am to
What you guys don't seem to get, is the rest of the world has kinda moved on. As with everything in science, the acceptance of AGW is provisional. But we would need some evidence to the contrary to re-open the question. For the same reason, astronomers don't feel the need to debate over whether or not the Earth is flat.

You reject scientific modelling as if you are oblivious to the central role it plays in science and without even bothering to understand how those models are built or how to interpret the results.


You cite random facts like "CO2 not the primary driver of natural climate change" as if you've proven something, but you're really just revealing that you were too lazy to educate yourself on the arguments behind AGW.

You fail to understand 3rd grade level science by declaring CO2 cannot possibly have any effect on anything because its volume relative to the other constituents of the atmosphere is too low, as if the rates of all physical processes depend on volume and volume alone.


You quote journalists and politicians as if they are original sources of scientific information, and when you do actually bother to cite a scientific source, you haven't even read it except *maybe* the abstract but usually not.

You trust scientists with undisclosed funding sources, some of who are known liars like Willie Soon, more than you do scientists with transparent government funding sources because ---- uga uga government bad big corp good!


And you cherry pick the most dire climate predictions of the past, completely ignoring the fact the contingency the model was based on did not actually happen.


You are ignorant of the most basic facts regarding science driven environmentalism, which leads you to say things that just sound so dumb to anyone who has done even an hour of reading on the topic. My favorite is "Well what happened to the ozone hole ?!?"


You keep bringing back the same old arguments that have been repeatedly debunked as if they should be given time.

And your mind is completely and utterly closed to the possibility you may be wrong. You have zero sense of self-skepticism. That is the primary difference between the armchair scientist and the entire rest of science, including professionals and amateurs.




So, the rest of us are moving on from the "debate" and unless you got some evidence ***and an argument that goes with it*** that ain't already been trotted out before, you can stomp your feet all you want we don't care. And by "we" I mean everyone but you, the flat Earthers, and the creation "science" people.

This includes insurance companies. You should be aware of that and plan accordingly. Don't come whining to me when your policy gets yanked. A lotta states have laws that require insurance companies base their risk assessments on **past** events. Well that ain't good enough anymore, the climate is changing too quickly. So they are just withdrawing from markets altogether. I don't know what insurance laws are in Louisiana, but either way, there's always plenty of incentive for politicians on both sides to try and keep insurance rates low, even if that means insurance companies lose money. So they'll just withdraw.


Have fun.



This post was edited on 9/28/23 at 8:47 am
Posted by Peebles
Member since Jul 2022
222 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 8:51 am to
I was sad to find out Dolph Lundgren has terminal lung cancer. Especially since he apparently hasn't made any definitive comments one way or another on his thoughts about global warming. I have found someone *claiming* he accepts the science, but unlike some wingnuts I'm not gonna take that as true because I can't find his actual words.

I know everyone on both sides of the "debate" would love to know his thoughts. Can we at least agree on that point?

This post was edited on 9/28/23 at 8:53 am
Posted by Jbird
In Bidenville with EthanL
Member since Oct 2012
84453 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 9:02 am to
No, when asked simple questions you can't answer them.
Posted by Peebles
Member since Jul 2022
222 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 9:04 am to
quote:

I'm gonna go on a limb and guess you know nothing about boundary conditions, residuals, or discontinuity handling in climate models either. But I'm sure you trust them.




I'd actually love to know your criticism regarding boundary conditions. That would elevate this discussion from "useless" to "potentially worthwhile"




Posted by Peebles
Member since Jul 2022
222 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 9:07 am to
quote:

No, when asked simple questions you can't answer them.


I'm not answering stupid questions. Sorry.
Posted by Jbird
In Bidenville with EthanL
Member since Oct 2012
84453 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 9:07 am to
quote:

I'm not answering stupid questions. Sorry.

You never answer questions alter troll.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62567 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 9:29 am to
quote:

I'd actually love to know your criticism regarding boundary conditions.
I don’t have a criticism on boundary conditions. They are necessary to run a model. So your request doesn’t seem to even make sense. One could only discuss the boundary conditions of specific models, which is well beyond the scope of a message board post.

quote:

That would elevate this discussion from "useless" to "potentially worthwhile"
Nah. You’ve dodged tons of intersting stuff already.

Given the mix arrogance, evasiveness, and trolling I’m pretty sure i know whose alter you are.
This post was edited on 9/28/23 at 9:31 am
Posted by Peebles
Member since Jul 2022
222 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 10:36 am to
quote:

I don’t have a criticism on boundary conditions.


Then why did you throw out the term as if there was something I might be missing?

quote:

They are necessary to run a model.


Wow that's insightful. Can you tell the class how important it is that we use the ***correct** boundary conditions?

quote:

So your request doesn’t seem to even make sense.


It kinda does actually. You used the term as if it pertained to some particular criticism of AGW you might have, but I guess not. What was the point then? Just to show us you know some jargon?

quote:

One could only discuss the boundary conditions of specific models,


Yeah, well I figured you had one in mind, since you brought it up. I figured you probably also had in mind a particular BC within that model to discuss. But you don't. So again, what was the point of your statement?


quote:

which is well beyond the scope of a message board post.



That's OK they have these things called "links"



Posted by Peebles
Member since Jul 2022
222 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 10:39 am to
quote:

You never answer questions alter troll.




So far every question asked has been asked by someone who either has a particular answer they wanna hear or who has demonstrated a complete lack of initiative in trying to figure out the answer on their own. Can you please explain to me why I should waste my time with something like that?
Posted by Peebles
Member since Jul 2022
222 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 10:49 am to
Guess that answers my questions. Have fun with your crayons.
Posted by LakeCharles
USA
Member since Oct 2016
5348 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 11:06 am to
quote:

He's a mechanical engineer

I wouldn't say that he is lacking in scientific knowledge

You apparently don't know many mechanical engineers or much about science.


Posted by Jbird
In Bidenville with EthanL
Member since Oct 2012
84453 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 11:22 am to
quote:

why I should waste my time with something like that?
message boards are hard!

Way to sell your point of view.
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