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Arizona Poll: Trump, McSally both leading - Susquehanna / AmGreat (R)

Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:13 pm
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81847 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:13 pm
American Greatness

This is the first time I've ever seen McSally outperforming DJT in Arizona. It's a Republican poll but the great Rich Baris vouches for their methodology.

quote:

Donald Trump took a small lead in Arizona according to a new survey by Susquehanna Polling and Research for the Center for American Greatness.

The phone survey of 500 likely voters conducted October 19-22 showed Trump with 46.6 percent and Biden with 46.2 percent support, with a 4.3 percent margin of error. The poll also showed that Biden’s negatives in the states popped up to 49%. In the same poll at the end of September they stood at 44% while his favorable rating declined to 39%.

There are others danger signs for Biden in the poll. When asked who they think will win the election regardless of who they prefer, just 37% of respondents thought Biden would win and only 19% think their neighbors are voting for Biden.

The other big news in the poll is that Senator Martha McSally took the lead over challenger Mark Kelly 50-47. McSally has struggled against Kelly this year and she has been widely seen as one of the most vulnerable Republican senators, owing more to her low energy campaign than to changes in Arizona voters. This same poll had her losing to Kelly 48-45 in late September.

Poll results can be seen here.
This post was edited on 10/23/20 at 2:14 pm
Posted by BuzzSaw 12
The Dark Side Of The Moon
Member since Dec 2010
5246 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:15 pm to
Posted by Marciano1
Marksville, LA
Member since Jun 2009
18436 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:16 pm to
Lets go Orange Man and McSally
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
26436 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:17 pm to
McSally is so terrible. Ducey is an idiot for not appointing himself.
This post was edited on 10/23/20 at 2:18 pm
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81847 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

McSally is so terrible. Ducey is an idiot for not appointing himself.



Yeah especially knowing that he'd be running WITH Trump.

He could have given Trump coattails instead of McSally's lame arse dragging Trump down. Probably a 5 point swing at least and Trump would have benefitted from at least half of that, which would have virtually assured him victory.
This post was edited on 10/23/20 at 2:20 pm
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
26436 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:23 pm to
quote:

He could have given Trump coattails instead of McSally's lame arse dragging Trump down. Probably a 5 point swing at least and Trump would have benefitted from at least half of that, which would have virtually assured him victory.




Precisely
Posted by PorkSammich
North FL
Member since Sep 2013
14260 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:25 pm to
This thing’s almost over folks.

Just need a big midwest state to join the wave.
Posted by Strannix
District 11
Member since Dec 2012
48946 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:29 pm to
Its over
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:31 pm to
No way Mcsally wins and Trump loses, right?
Posted by Clemsontigers02
Member since Sep 2020
743 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:33 pm to
Too close for Trump - would have thought he'd be up by more than that in an R leaning poll. Think Barris had him up ~5% with McSally neck and neck.
Posted by Nonetheless
Luka doncic = goat
Member since Jan 2012
33005 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:34 pm to
Right
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
17916 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

No way Mcsally wins and Trump loses, right?

100%
Posted by narddogg81
Vancouver
Member since Jan 2012
19707 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:37 pm to
quote:

This thing’s almost over folks.

Just need a big midwest state to join the wave.
trump will win ohio, wisconsin, and pennsylvania
Posted by AggieExile
San Antonio, Texas
Member since Oct 2020
554 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

trump will win ohio, wisconsin, and pennsylvania


Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
90657 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

Too close for Trump - would have thought he'd be up by more than that in an R leaning poll. Think Barris had him up ~5% with McSally neck and neck.


MOE is 4.2

With McSally up 3 I figure Trump is up 4-5. He consistently has polled better than her. I think this shows the silent Trump vote...some people are afraid to say they’ll vote Trump so they’re saying they’ll vote Biden and vote McSally when in reality they’ll vote Trump
Posted by jatilen
Member since May 2020
13608 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 4:24 pm to
All the recent polls show this race tightening up:
LINK
Posted by da prophet
hammond, la
Member since Sep 2013
2297 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 4:39 pm to
I’m thinking these Senate races will break for the Republicans.
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