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re: Anyone have a theory of where the bottom of the market will be ...
Posted on 3/12/20 at 4:48 pm to madhatterman
Posted on 3/12/20 at 4:48 pm to madhatterman
serious response: if we're talking purely about the market, everything from 2009-2020 is built on a structure of fed intervention. their current emergency rate cuts and 1T in repo ops announced today did jack shite. if you want to see more relentless buying, we need new fed action. fresh juice.
powell speaks next wednesday. he will make a reference to, but not explicitly guarantee, that the fed will consider purchasing equities directly.
boom, bottom achieved. book it.
powell speaks next wednesday. he will make a reference to, but not explicitly guarantee, that the fed will consider purchasing equities directly.
boom, bottom achieved. book it.
0
Posted on 3/12/20 at 4:49 pm to madhatterman
Yes, at the bottom. You can thank me later. wink wink
Posted on 3/12/20 at 4:49 pm to madhatterman
The bottom of the market will occur just before it starts to go back up...
Posted on 3/12/20 at 4:50 pm to madhatterman
For the dow, most likely 16,000-18,000
Posted on 3/12/20 at 5:39 pm to madhatterman
Market probably will be up tomorrow. Today -9.99% was an over reaction. I don't expect a big gain and I don't expect the markets to begin to recover until there is greater clarity. But tomorrow won't be another bloodbath.
Assuming the curtailment of normal activity ends by the end of the second quarter, I would expect the beginning of a market recovery in July. I would expect the recession to be over by the end of the year.
If things in the real economy are worse than that, of course the market won't recover that fast.
By the way, From the day before each inauguration (Jan 20, 2009 and Jan 20, 2017) to Day 1147 (March 12, 2012 and 2020), Obama's Dow went up 56.0% and Trump's 7.4%.
Obama 8,281.22 to 12,922.02 (56.04%)
Trump 19,732.40 to 21,200.62 (7.44%)
Assuming the curtailment of normal activity ends by the end of the second quarter, I would expect the beginning of a market recovery in July. I would expect the recession to be over by the end of the year.
If things in the real economy are worse than that, of course the market won't recover that fast.
By the way, From the day before each inauguration (Jan 20, 2009 and Jan 20, 2017) to Day 1147 (March 12, 2012 and 2020), Obama's Dow went up 56.0% and Trump's 7.4%.
Obama 8,281.22 to 12,922.02 (56.04%)
Trump 19,732.40 to 21,200.62 (7.44%)
Posted on 3/12/20 at 6:51 pm to madhatterman
The entire market will be valued at $3 in two weeks. Then buy.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 2:56 pm to madhatterman
quote:
madhatterman
You don't have a portfolio , you are just another poor Democrat.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 3:01 pm to madhatterman
Everything is about to become penny stocks.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 3:04 pm to KiwiHead
Posted on 3/16/20 at 3:05 pm to madhatterman
Paul Krugman says the stock market will rebound big time after we elect Bernie.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 3:07 pm to madhatterman
quote:
Anyone have a theory of where the bottom of the market will be ... before the bounce? Thought this was the perfect place for a concise, objective, accurate answer on which I can place my entire portfolio.
I wouldn't worry about timing the bottom......good luck to ya if ya can. What I'm looking for is a leveling off of COVID19 cases worldwide, then a rise in recoveries and drop in deaths. Once that occurs and most of the pandemic panic has subsided I'll start looking to buy on the rebound because it's gonna have a long climb back to 29K....don't need to time the bottom to make a decent entry.
Down over 3K right now.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 3:09 pm to Bass Tiger
10k bottom. 3 weeks from now
Posted on 3/16/20 at 3:13 pm to madhatterman
money board says get in now with 10% of your wager.
once a week put another tranch on black.
no one times the market.
if the phase1 trial of vaccine goes well = market bounce.
phase 2 goes well market is a rocket ride. thats a many months off for usa.
israel is on it too.
id bet on the israeli company.
once a week put another tranch on black.
no one times the market.
if the phase1 trial of vaccine goes well = market bounce.
phase 2 goes well market is a rocket ride. thats a many months off for usa.
israel is on it too.
id bet on the israeli company.
This post was edited on 3/16/20 at 3:34 pm
Posted on 3/16/20 at 3:22 pm to Dawgfanman
quote:
10k bottom. 3 weeks from now
If it goes that low I'm taking out a HELOC.
I'm serious!Posted on 3/16/20 at 3:42 pm to Bass Tiger
quote:
If it goes that low I'm taking out a HELOC. I'm serious!
If you have equity left. Who the duck is gonna buy a house right now?
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