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re: A Yahoo Finance flash story popped up with columnist saying Trump’s tariffs would be worse

Posted on 9/18/24 at 7:55 am to
Posted by themunch
bottom of the list
Member since Jan 2007
71296 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 7:55 am to
But tripling the minimum wage has no effect.

Tripling the price of fuel has no effect.

This post was edited on 9/18/24 at 7:59 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
465465 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 8:08 am to
quote:

The fight for welfare and a service based economy is baffling

I'm not "fighting for welfare". I don't support welfare but I understand it's not going anywhere anytime soon

The fact these jobs are worth very little in an advanced economy has nothing to do with welfare, anyway. Minimum wage does come into play, though.

And a service based economy is better than devolving our economy (and SOL, etc).

Why do you want to make America less economically viable and poorer?
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
19038 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 8:17 am to
quote:

There is no honest way to describe tariffs as anything other than inflationary. Tariffs are a tax that will raise costs on the US consumer.


Then why didn’t we have crippling inflation under Trump’s tariffs originally?
Posted by SWINC
Member since Sep 2022
498 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 8:19 am to
Yahoo is a joke
Posted by mikeytig
NE of Tiger Stadium
Member since Nov 2007
7729 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 8:21 am to
quote:

There is no honest way to describe tariffs as anything other than inflationary. Tariffs are a tax that will raise costs on the US consumer.


Untrue- did not happen in Trumps first term- it did bring the Chinese economy to its knees though.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
138911 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 8:24 am to
quote:

And a service based economy is better than devolving our economy (and SOL, etc).

Why do you want to make America less economically viable and poorer?


In order to have a strong a viable service economy two things need to precede services:

1. A strong government framework were private property rights and law order is preserved.

2. Make stuff, i.e. extract value from natural resources.

3. Then, people can service the people/industry that make stuff.



Without making stuff the people that want to make a living via service have no customers or poor customers. Don't you want wealthy customers?
Posted by El Segundo Guy
1-866-DHS-2-ICE
Member since Aug 2014
11353 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 8:26 am to
We need to be training people to be able to fill skilled manual labor jobs. Focus on keeping those industries here in the US, if through the assistance of tariffs, so be it.

But we don't need to tariff the shite out of menial, no-skill industry. Keep the costs down for consumers and those low pay, low IQ jobs where they belong--on someone else's soil.

You're never going to be able to find a US company that can pay American workers to make cheap flip flops and make it be financially viable. Those days are over. Fine. Outsource that stupid shite out to some foreign shithole.

Definitely don't try to bring that industry here because the Chamber of Commerce clowns will just import in more "refugees" to fill their labor pool.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
465465 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 8:27 am to
quote:

In order to have a strong a viable service economy two things need to precede services:

1. A strong government framework were private property rights and law order is preserved.

Tariffs do the opposite of 1

quote:

2. Make stuff, i.e. extract value from natural resources.

Not necessary.

Our most profitable production is also non-tactile, Removing the money that fuels this industry to subsidize less profitable tactile production will devolve our economy and reduce our SOL. Again, why do you want to make our economy less viable and our people more poor?

quote:

3. Then, people can service the people/industry that make stuff.

The economy is global.
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
26885 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 8:31 am to
quote:

Focus on keeping those industries here in the US


quote:

Outsource that stupid shite out to some foreign shithole.


And you want the federal government picking the winners and losers?
Posted by jb4
Member since Apr 2013
13656 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 8:35 am to
Elon needs to buy yahoo and cnn
Posted by El Segundo Guy
1-866-DHS-2-ICE
Member since Aug 2014
11353 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 8:37 am to
If skilled labor industry that produces American jobs at a middle class wage had to have a tariff in place to keep those industries here and employing real Americans, I'd be for it. The middle class is getting hammered.

Protecting industries that just import refugees or visas, no.

I dislike tariffs but like most things in life, there's a middle, gray area.

ETA--there are quite a few factories in the area I live that pay good wages and hire Americans all day long. Many people raise their families, pay taxes and live life just fine working at Cardinal Glass, CMC Steel, GAMCO, Dayton Parts, etc.
This post was edited on 9/18/24 at 8:41 am
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
295342 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 8:37 am to
tariffs are inflationary.

I dont understand why thats so hard for some here.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
295342 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 8:39 am to
quote:


If skilled labor industry that produces American jobs at a middle class wage had to have a tariff in place to keep those industries here and employing real Americans, I'd be for i


Native born Americans arent taking these jobs which means these tariffs are producing a need for immigration if they actually grow jobs.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
465465 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 8:39 am to
quote:

We need to be training people to be able to fill skilled manual labor jobs.

The market already provides this opportunity. They're begging for apprentices to get trained.

quote:

Focus on keeping those industries here in the US, if through the assistance of tariffs, so be it.

Those jobs aren't really subject to the tariff discussion.

The tariff discussion is for the lowest level, most unskilled labor jobs.

quote:

But we don't need to tariff the shite out of menial, no-skill industry. Keep the costs down for consumers and those low pay, low IQ jobs where they belong--on someone else's soil.

Then we agree.

quote:

You're never going to be able to find a US company that can pay American workers to make cheap flip flops and make it be financially viable.

Correct. The jobs are worthless. These companies cannot be profitable if they have to pay min wage (with all the other regulatory and labor/union issues). The only way the massive increase in cost of goods would make this profitable is via tariffs significantly increases the cost of the goods for consumers (aka, the inflationary effects of tariffs, which is the point of tariffs).

This is basically a wealth redistribution program via government, which takes money from consumers that would otherwise flow to more profitable, advanced economic sectors and force it into the lowest-level sectors on earth above subsistence agriculture). Nobody has yet to explain how this is a good thing for America.

Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
465465 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 8:41 am to
quote:

Are they worth breaking the minimum wage laws?

You'd have to eliminate minimum wage and most labor regs, and even then, you'd have to find huge populations of people willing to work for $2-5/hour.
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
26885 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 8:41 am to
quote:

If skilled labor industry that produces American jobs at a middle class wage had to have a tariff in place to keep those industries here and employing real Americans, I'd be for it. The middle class is getting hammered.


Short term they'll still get hammered. Long term you're just talking about transferring wealth from one American to another, because no wealth is actually created from tariffs. And that's IF, and that's a big IF, the most optimistic outcome of tariffs is the "Conservative" Treehouse version of reality.

I'm not a big fan of wealth transfer or giving the federal government the power to pick which industries they happen to favor.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
465465 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 8:42 am to
quote:

Only if you have a linear thought process and can't think past one step.

Step one: tariff imports of specific goods.
Step two: most impacted country which is almost completely out of trade war tools implements one of the last tools, debases their currency in response.
Step three: the reaction to the debasement causes their currency to weaken relative to the dollar, i.e., the dollar gets stronger.
Step four: relatively stronger dollars buys more imported goods that are not tariffed.


So your response to tariffs being inflationary is to describe a multi-step process that is only tangentially related to tariffs, but also shows that tariffs are, in fact, inflationary.
Posted by TenWheelsForJesus
Member since Jan 2018
10275 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 8:47 am to
quote:

Its pretty amazing to find someone who argues that tariffs are anything other than inflationary. ITS THEIR ENTIRE PURPOSE


We funded the government with tariffs for most of our existence. From 1635 to 1943, $100 in America was worth virtually the same amount. There was a slight spike around 1915, and then it has increased exponentially since then. If tariffs cause inflation like you claim, why was our currency relatively stable for 300 years under tariffs?

Under tariffs, inflation has risen and fallen. Inflation has never fallen since around 1940 after we moved away from tariffs. The buying power of money has gone up and down, until around 1931, when it has done nothing but drop.

The data suggests that tariffs are not the cause of inflation unless we really increased tariffs around 1913 and 1941. It seems like there might be something else that is causing the inflation. I wonder what happened in 1913 to start causing this unending inflation? I wonder what the government has done since 1931 that it didn't really do before? Debt spending has gone crazy since then, but I'm sure it's the tariffs that just suddenly started being the problem.

officialdata.org
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
465465 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 8:56 am to
quote:

We funded the government with tariffs for most of our existence.

Irrelevant to a discussion on whether or not they're inflationary.

Also irrelevant given how our society operates today.

quote:

If tariffs cause inflation like you claim, why was our currency relatively stable for 300 years under tariffs?

Tariffs being inflationary doesn't mean they are the only variable in national inflation.

Are tariffs meant to increase the cost of goods upon which the tariff is placed? Yes or no.

Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
138911 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 9:07 am to
quote:

So your response to tariffs being inflationary is to describe a multi-step process that is only tangentially related to tariffs, but also shows that tariffs are, in fact, inflationary.


There is room for tariffs to be beneficial. Can they be bad? Yes.

I wish you would fight against income taxes as hard as you fight against tariffs. Income taxes are WAY more inflationary than tariffs. By magnitudes.
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