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538 Nate changed the formula mid election night!

Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:43 pm
Posted by macatak911
Metairie, LA
Member since Sep 2007
11072 posts
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:43 pm

Nate Silver

@NateSilver538
Well, I'm trying to do 6 things at once -- we think our live election day forecast is definitely being too aggressive and are going to put it on a more conservative setting where it waits more for projections/calls instead of making inferences from partial vote counts.


L O L
Posted by TakingStock
Member since Jun 2009
6091 posts
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:44 pm to
LOL, Nate moving the goalposts again. Red Wave incoming!
Posted by LSUTIGER in TEXAS
Member since Jan 2008
13610 posts
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:44 pm to
Posted by OldManRiver
Prairieville, LA
Member since Jan 2005
6925 posts
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:44 pm to
If the predictions were flipping by 60% every few minutes, that's probably a pretty good indication they were far too sensitive
Posted by timdonaghyswhistle
Member since Jul 2018
16303 posts
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:44 pm to
Doing 6 things at once should be no problem for a mathematical genius.
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:44 pm to
Good he's such a fricking piece of shite.

Stole his advisors method and now just shills.
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:45 pm to


and there were assholes here saying he was spot on with whatever he was saying months ago

Something will ALWAYS have changed to explain why what he says at any given time isn't how it ends up.
Posted by Strannix
District 11
Member since Dec 2012
48927 posts
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:45 pm to
Nate is a bitch
Posted by notbilly
alter
Member since Sep 2015
4527 posts
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:45 pm to
It really is fluacting 10% probability every few minutes.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73739 posts
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:45 pm to
quote:

LSUTIGER in TEXAS


Posted by stelly1025
Lafayette
Member since May 2012
8514 posts
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:46 pm to
Posted by KingOrange
Mayfair
Member since Aug 2018
8686 posts
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:46 pm to
Nate Bronze takin it down a notch.
Posted by IAmNERD
Member since May 2017
19237 posts
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:46 pm to
quote:

where it waits more for projections/calls instead of making inferences from partial vote counts. 

Something about counting and eggs hatching...
Posted by saints5021
Louisiana
Member since Jul 2010
17480 posts
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:47 pm to
Skynet has become self aware
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
95633 posts
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:47 pm to
Told you he would have his final projections tomorrow.
Posted by SCLibertarian
Conway, South Carolina
Member since Aug 2013
36050 posts
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:48 pm to
Nate Bronze is gonna be Nate Copper here soon.
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