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Posted on 11/3/26 at 2:45 pm to SlowFlowPro
Up to 7.8 advantage total an hour later 
There is remarkably little slowdown, and that was especially true when he posted it. 3-5 will definitely finish lower for both, but that always happens
There is remarkably little slowdown, and that was especially true when he posted it. 3-5 will definitely finish lower for both, but that always happens
Posted on 11/3/26 at 2:49 pm to TakingStock
R's should have about a 5% lead in FL with a 55-45 Dim split with Independents
The question will be how big of a split do we get with wishy washy Indy's over gas prices
The question will be how big of a split do we get with wishy washy Indy's over gas prices
Posted on 11/3/26 at 2:49 pm to Bama Bird
SFPs punishment is he must post van jones on CNNs crying meltdown. If Van Jones is happy I wont be here.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 2:49 pm to TakingStock
quote:
Baris is not to be taken seriously by anyone. He’s the King of bad takes.
Someone really needs to study this phenomenon. These types will latch on to the dumbest things and their entire personality becomes defending their obviously wrong position. He wasn't even bad at it, but he really just wants to be right more than being sane or good at what he does
Posted on 11/3/26 at 2:50 pm to Bama Bird
Posted on 11/3/26 at 2:51 pm to RLDSC FAN
Will he be found at the motel 6 in Miami with his crack ho and pipe?
Posted on 11/3/26 at 2:52 pm to RLDSC FAN
Are we allowed to say it was racism if Byron doesn't win? Or is that only for when the candidate is a Dem?
Posted on 11/3/26 at 2:52 pm to RLDSC FAN
Someone give me some good news for the good guys in Texas- yall seeing any of these small nuggets pointing in our direction?
Posted on 11/3/26 at 2:54 pm to DeBoar
Posted on 11/3/26 at 2:55 pm to RLDSC FAN
I find that the prediction markets tend to have a lot of Gen Z/progressive influence throwing “hopeful” money around rather than realistic money if that makes sense. Just read any of the comment threads for any of the election outcomes and you’ll see what I mean. The same phenomenon was true in 2016 and even 2024 on earlier sites like InTrade and Predictit and the markets didn’t really reflect better or more knowledge than the man on the street until returns actually came in.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 2:55 pm to Spocks Brain
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. Christian spent the last week screeching in his basement and even he's coming around today
Posted on 11/3/26 at 2:55 pm to tigafan4life
quote:
Overall, Florida is currently at a D+4 shift relative to 2024.
quote:
Well that is shitty
Trump and DeSantis arent on the ballot and the candidates that were chosen (by Trump) are typical GOPe types.
As a result the margins wont be what they were in previous races but outside of the marginal districts in S FL for the house the focus should really be elsewhere.
Donalds and Moody are going to win comfortably.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 2:57 pm to tigafan4life
If Byron can't win Florida I'm not sure Republicans will win anything competitive at all tonight.
I can't fathom why the market is like that. Florida still seems extremely Republican electorate and even at the supposed reduced amount they still have a huge lead.
I can't fathom why the market is like that. Florida still seems extremely Republican electorate and even at the supposed reduced amount they still have a huge lead.
This post was edited on 11/3/26 at 3:31 pm
Posted on 11/3/26 at 2:57 pm to Spocks Brain
Posted on 11/3/26 at 2:58 pm to tide06
quote:
Donalds and Moody are going to win comfortably.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 2:58 pm to TakingStock
quote:
I find that the prediction markets tend to have a lot of Gen Z/progressive influence throwing “hopeful” money around rather than realistic money if that makes sense. Just read any of the comment threads for any of the election outcomes and you’ll see what I mean. The same phenomenon was true in 2016 and even 2024 on earlier sites like InTrade and Predictit and the markets didn’t really reflect better or more knowledge than the man on the street until returns actually came in.
Oh definitely. Lots of foreigners too who trust the polls way too much (because they are actually pretty accurate in other countries)
My guess on the Florida Gov moving is someone trying to bank before the post-work comes in. Many have convinced themselves Dems are going to overperform drastically, but I'll believe it when I see it.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 2:59 pm to StansberryRules
Florida and Donalds is a potential panhandle issue. They didn't support him in the primary, and the concern is that they won't support him like a normal Republican in the general. You can't extrapolate that to anywhere else.
This post was edited on 11/3/26 at 3:00 pm
Posted on 11/3/26 at 3:01 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:
Florida and Donalds is a potential panhandle issue.
bullshite. Muh racism.
Donalds wins the panhandle by 10+ points ...
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