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re: 16 states and D.C. still have Covid Rt above 1.0

Posted on 9/17/21 at 2:48 pm to
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
125550 posts
Posted on 9/17/21 at 2:48 pm to
Amplified a little:

3,919 breakthrough cases
61 hospitalizations
32 deaths

Chance of breakthrough case turning into hospitalization for the week: 1.56%
Chance of breakthrough case turning into a death for the week: 0.81%

Total cases: 11,767
Unvaccinated cases: 7,848

1/3 of all Covid hospitalizations are vaccinated

Hospitalizations for the week: ~600
Unvaccinated hospitalizations: 540

Deaths for the week: ~70 deaths for the week
Deaths for the week unvaccinated: 38

This is just a week of data, so very imperfect.
But it does kind of support the idea that the benefit of the vaccine is in lower number of cases. The benefit in hospitalizations and certainly mortality doesn’t seem to be nearly as strong as the marketing would have us believe.

My data above isn’t perfect as their numbers weren’t easy to grab on mobile. But it’s in the ballpark.
LINK
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
125550 posts
Posted on 9/17/21 at 2:49 pm to
Thank them/their for them/their service. I do not want to assume your 2 year old’s gender.
Posted by DaBeerz
Member since Sep 2004
18304 posts
Posted on 9/17/21 at 2:53 pm to
As it gets colder up north cases will rise, summer down south is our winter because nobody wants to be outside when it’s 90-100 degrees
Posted by McLemore
Member since Dec 2003
34807 posts
Posted on 9/17/21 at 2:54 pm to
True story, he really did cough all over a tranny. The fake part was: he doesn't actually have covid, as confirmed by a pcr test. Family funkadelic cold.

OT: my brother's 11yo BOY came home w a form to fill out his preferred pronouns (MN gov school).

There are enough of these knuckles on the planet.



Posted by ShoeBang
Member since May 2012
21855 posts
Posted on 9/17/21 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

This seems to be happening on a daily basis now.


That number will change more dramatically as cases go down, if I understand it correctly.

Fewer cases means each + or - makes the average swing harder either way.

That's at first glance I'm probably missing something though
Posted by ZOMGlsutigers
Slidell
Member since Dec 2007
426 posts
Posted on 9/17/21 at 3:18 pm to
Louisiana is doing fine, the hospitals haven't even been crowded that's all bunk. I asked my cousin who has a friend that works for hospitals.
Posted by Mfdtiger
Deatsville, Alabama
Member since Oct 2010
814 posts
Posted on 9/17/21 at 3:23 pm to
quote:

Weird. It’s like Covid is migratory


Exactly, respiratory viruses always follow this trend. Summer flu in the south when people go inside to hide from the heat, and moves north when they go inside because it’s getting chilly.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 9/17/21 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

"Rt"?

Basically a ratio of infected people infecting other people. If the ratio is below 1.0 essentially cases should be dropping, above 1.0 cases are increasing
Posted by skeeter531
Member since Jun 2014
2486 posts
Posted on 9/17/21 at 3:28 pm to
New Jersey is 1.05 and should be on that list
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
125550 posts
Posted on 9/17/21 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

Exactly, respiratory viruses always follow this trend. Summer flu in the south when people go inside to hide from the heat, and moves north when they go inside because it’s getting chilly.


I thought it was because the South voted for Trump.
Posted by AlwysATgr
Member since Apr 2008
20187 posts
Posted on 9/17/21 at 3:55 pm to
The vax pushers can't lose.

If the rates go up, more vax, more boosters, more lockdowns.

If the rates go down, our vax, boosters, and lockdowns are working, so more of them.
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
24998 posts
Posted on 9/17/21 at 4:07 pm to
quote:

LOL, lick my beanbag homie.

Posted by ItNeverRains
Offugeaux
Member since Oct 2007
28166 posts
Posted on 9/17/21 at 4:56 pm to
Those poor vaccinated folks can’t stop catching the coof. If the unvaxxed keep this up, it’s like eventually everybody will get the coof.

Georgia fricking guidestones coming to fruition with that 99.8% survival rate
Posted by Dawg7730
Member since Mar 2021
2908 posts
Posted on 9/17/21 at 5:27 pm to
I’m all for that. I would like to come to this board for just one day without a c19 thread
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
38521 posts
Posted on 9/17/21 at 5:30 pm to
quote:

~4,000 breakthrough cases in a week in Massachusetts.
Infections or cases? And what do you think is interesting about this?
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
38521 posts
Posted on 9/17/21 at 5:31 pm to
quote:

Way down.
I'm not sure that's right. The level of infections is higher, but I think the death rate is about the same, no?
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
38521 posts
Posted on 9/17/21 at 5:33 pm to
quote:

Chance of breakthrough case turning into hospitalization for the week: 1.56%
Chance of breakthrough case turning into a death for the week: 0.81%
What are the same numbers for non-vax?
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora
Member since Sep 2012
73309 posts
Posted on 9/17/21 at 5:38 pm to
I need sharable links/memes and whatnot.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
125550 posts
Posted on 9/17/21 at 5:45 pm to
Hospitalizations: 7.3% (this might be based on an incorrect assumption on the data, whether hospitalizations being reported was census or new admission hospitalizations)

Death for unvaccinated: 0.48%
This post was edited on 9/17/21 at 5:47 pm
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
125550 posts
Posted on 9/17/21 at 5:48 pm to
quote:

Infections or cases? And what do you think is interesting about this?


You don’t think 4,000 breakthrough infections in one week in one state is interesting? gtfo
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