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re: Anybody Believe the Predictions About Ammo Shortages After November Election?

Posted on 4/7/16 at 2:26 pm to
Posted by dawg23
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Jul 2011
5065 posts
Posted on 4/7/16 at 2:26 pm to
I found the "letter" that I mentioned in my previous post. It gives the appearance of being a little self-serving --- unless it's all true.


LINK
quote:

If you need to restock on ammunition or other firearm supplies, there’s no better time to buy than right now. That’s according to a firearm industry insider who says political uncertainty driven by the election year could cause ammunition and firearm shortages.

Jason Hornady, vice president of Hornady Manufacturing, told the National Shooting Sports Foundation that 2016 is already showing signs of being a “surge year” for firearm industry sales. And a similar surge in 2013 caused a nationwide ammo shortage.

He said: "If I was running a firearms retail store, I’d make sure I had strong relationships with multiple vendors and distributors. You’ve got to “feel the love” from as many as you can, and you’ve got to talk to those partners frequently. We judge much of what we do by the purchase orders we see, so if you haven’t got it on paper, we can’t project accurately. And again, remember that 60-day, 90-day or even longer restocking period I talked about that some can expect to encounter later this year if they don’t stock up now? The reason for that is that the process of taking metal to finished product is long—our average is 90 to 120 days. So if I’m out, you’re out, and there isn’t a quick solution for that. As I often say, it’s easier to handle a cancellation than to handle a panic I’m-out-of order."


Hornady’s advice works just as well for the end purchaser: Too much ammunition on hand during a shortage is always better than not enough.

According to the firearm industry expert, the likelihood of anything in the nation’s near political future driving down ammunition demand is “about as likely as I am of getting a pet unicorn for Christmas.”



I have no idea if any of this is a valid issue for folks like us. Maybe it's all exaggerated. Personally I don't have any immediate needs. But a shortage that's severe enough, or protracted enough, can cut into just about anybody's ability to train/practice.

Maybe Carson, or some of the others here who work in, or own, LGS can give some insight into the Hornady "advice."
Posted by DownshiftAndFloorIt
Here
Member since Jan 2011
66946 posts
Posted on 4/7/16 at 2:32 pm to
Imagine that. An ammunition manufacturer telling people to buy more ammunition.

I think there will be a Diesel engine shortage next year. There's some indications that Bernie will push for much stricter emissions standards that will all but kill the US diesel market. Better stock up now just incase.
Posted by TigerOnThe Hill
Springhill, LA
Member since Sep 2008
6915 posts
Posted on 4/7/16 at 5:07 pm to
quote:

Don't hate the player hate the game so to speak

Or hate both. The "player" is PART of the "game."
Posted by ihuntsum1
Member since Jul 2013
155 posts
Posted on 4/7/16 at 5:25 pm to
As said before, only if demo's win.
Posted by dawg23
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Jul 2011
5065 posts
Posted on 4/7/16 at 6:59 pm to
quote:

As said before, only if demo's win.
In that case we all need to start buying.
Posted by VetteGuy
Member since Feb 2008
30187 posts
Posted on 4/7/16 at 7:02 pm to
Per my Wall Street sources, Hillary is a lock.
Posted by DownshiftAndFloorIt
Here
Member since Jan 2011
66946 posts
Posted on 4/7/16 at 7:15 pm to
I don't have Wall Street sources but the people I trust for that kind of stuff are saying the same thing. Such a shame.

Buy more engines people. It's only going to get worse. Inventory is already down due to speculation by the big players in the market. It seems like they already know something and are trying to stock up while prices are still reasonable. They've made their play already and you're already late to the party, but the doors still open.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
90906 posts
Posted on 4/7/16 at 7:41 pm to
quote:

can give some insight into the Hornady "advice."




Fair enough to be somewhat skeptical about "warnings" from an ammunition maker to "buy ammo" now, but, for the record:

quote:

the likelihood of anything in the nation’s near political future driving down ammunition demand is “about as likely as I am of getting a pet unicorn for Christmas.”


--- truer words have never been spoken.
Posted by bulldog95
North Louisiana
Member since Jan 2011
20843 posts
Posted on 4/7/16 at 10:23 pm to
Hell even when it Wasnt on the shelves and people were limited to 1 box of .22 me and And few other OBer's were able to get it from cabelas for .04-.05 cents a round by using a back door loophole. I was able to get anywhere from 2-10 bricks a week for the longest time. You could even get the green ammo cans of .22.

So even if there is a run or shortage there will be ways to get what you want.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
81092 posts
Posted on 4/8/16 at 12:17 am to
It's SELL, not SALE. You sell something. You make a sale.

I hate when people aren't educated enough to know the difference.
Posted by King of the Sabine
Member since Jan 2016
149 posts
Posted on 4/8/16 at 8:07 am to
Its people like you I'd like to SAIL my foot across the left side of your head
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
81092 posts
Posted on 4/8/16 at 2:23 pm to
It is unbelievable how many people don't understand the difference. After reading some of those buy/sell facebook groups, I thought it was a running joke. I refused to believe so many would say Sale instead of Sell.
Posted by Clames
Member since Oct 2010
17127 posts
Posted on 4/8/16 at 2:35 pm to
You have to say it with a gump accent. Sell and sale.
Posted by ctiger69
Member since May 2005
30619 posts
Posted on 4/8/16 at 5:01 pm to
quote:

Anybody Believe the Predictions About Ammo Shortages After November Election?



I hope there will be a shortage. I have ammo to sell for $$$$.
Posted by LongueCarabine
Pointe Aux Pins, LA
Member since Jan 2011
8205 posts
Posted on 4/8/16 at 7:09 pm to
quote:

Its people like you I'd like to SAIL my foot across the left side of your head


Except fear and common sense are stopping you, right?
Posted by ctiger69
Member since May 2005
30619 posts
Posted on 4/8/16 at 7:14 pm to
I'm going to buy all of the 22lr I can find.






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