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Harry Caray
Houston Astros Fan
Denial
Member since Aug 2009
16353 posts
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re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
Well shit, I hope Pluckers is still open tonight to watch the Saints game


tke857
UTEP Fan
From Where They Make Gumbo At
Member since Jan 2012
12076 posts
 Online 

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
quote:

The HRRR is typically pretty damn good short range. Read the LIX discussion from this afternoon and they mention it as one of the competing solutions. I believe the moisture it's producing with a slowly strengthening low down in the gulf, it's really a question of how well it handles our "warm nose".

I do think if we do start getting frozen stuff overnight, the highs for tomorrow are probably overdone as the ice will push the surface temps down to or below freezing.

Makes for an interesting night tonight.



snow pants [ON] OFF
This post was edited on 12/7 at 5:29 pm


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70
bayoubengals88
Wisconsin Fan
LA
Member since Sep 2007
9546 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
Good. I'm stocked up on beer and cigars.
I agree about high temps dropping. WBRZ can eat shite.


PsychTiger
USA Fan
Charleston
Member since Jul 2004
55562 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
Best of luck to everyone during Snowpocalypse 2017.

Just rain and temps in the 40s here.


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10
3HourTour
New Orleans Saints Fan
A whiskey barrel
Member since Mar 2006
19173 posts
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re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
When will the hail start?


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PsychTiger
USA Fan
Charleston
Member since Jul 2004
55562 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
quote:

Well shit, I hope Pluckers is still open tonight to watch the Saints game


Sorry, but current conditions favor Matty Ice.


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011
nateslu1
New Orleans Saints Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2012
3840 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
quote:

Well shit, I hope Pluckers is still open tonight to watch the Saints game


So you don't have a TV?


GeorgeTheGreek
Michigan State Fan
Sparta, Greece
Member since Mar 2008
50392 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
LSU won’t cancel shite.


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61
Teddy Ruxpin
LSU Fan
Austin, TX
Member since Oct 2006
31757 posts
 Online 

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
Snow flurries coming down in Austin now.

Y'all are fricked.


tigerp
Member since Dec 2017
1 post

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
What is your source?


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GEAUXmedic
LSU Fan
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
33817 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
quote:

Snow flurries coming down in Austin now.

Y'all are fricked.


Accurate. Models didn't show this happening this early.
This post was edited on 12/7 at 5:57 pm


Duke
USA Fan
Gonzales, La
Member since Jan 2008
25619 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
quote:

Good. I'm stocked up on beer and cigars.
I agree about high temps dropping. WBRZ can eat shite.



All a matter of waiting for the precip to really get going. That'll signal the cold punch is rolling on in and squeezing a little heat out of the atmosphere. It doesn't look like we'll get much wet bulb help from model soundings, going to be all a game of getting that mid-level part of the column cooled off enough from cold air blowing in. (ETA: Flurries in Austin right now a good sign)

Wish I had a couple weather balloons of my own to send up.

And in terms of our local TV mets, I really only listen to Steve Caparotta on WAFB.
This post was edited on 12/7 at 5:58 pm


lsuman25
LSU Fan
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
20710 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
Steve is the best in the baton Rouge area, although Jay is not far behind. I just like how Steve breaks it down for you with regards to the weather.


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110
LSUJuice
LSU Fan
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
15347 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
College station reporting light snow. Temp dropped from 41 at 4:53 to 38 at 5:33.


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51
rds dc
Colorado Fan
Member since Jun 2008
12774 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
quote:

The HRRR is typically pretty damn good short range. Read the LIX discussion from this afternoon and they mention it as one of the competing solutions. I believe the moisture it's producing with a slowly strengthening low down in the gulf, it's really a question of how well it handles our "warm nose".

I do think if we do start getting frozen stuff overnight, the highs for tomorrow are probably overdone as the ice will push the surface temps down to or below freezing.

Makes for an interesting night tonight.


The HRRR has a bit of a cold bias and can be too fast with change over from rain to snow. It also trends to linger precipitation too long in these setups.

If I lived down there these would be my concerns:

-elevated warm layer, models always struggle with this and someone between BR and New Orleans will probably get screwed

- surface temps, HRRR and NAM 3k are plenty cold for accumulation but the Euro and GFS are warmer (GFS is warmest), accumulations will be limited if surface temps bust warm

- timing of precipitation, if precipitation ends sooner than expected then some areas that the models show getting snow could be shut out and amounts reduced elsewhere

Overall, areas north of I12 look good with Kentwood being the spot I would setup for a chase. BR is tricky based on above and 3" wouldn't surprise me anymore than a bust.


MrSmith
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2009
7752 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
Why is wbrz so damn bitter?
Image: https://i.imgur.com/Meab28n.png


rocket31
Toledo Fan
Member since Jan 2008
33478 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
Damn. That baw is right though


Impotent Waffle
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
6764 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
My kids are bouncing off the walls with the thought of snow going to fall.. Please snow...


rocket31
Toledo Fan
Member since Jan 2008
33478 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
If you have Instagram you can search Austin Texas under places and watch it fall from the feed

It's coming down pretty good fwiw. Not sticking though


rocket31
Toledo Fan
Member since Jan 2008
33478 posts

re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
It actually is sticking on the grass in some areas now. Not on the roads though

Not sure what that means for BR


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