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re: Will New Orleans become more affordable as Airbnb’s crash?
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:34 am to rocket31
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:34 am to rocket31
quote:
right. and it will get worse, no question. nola will be hurting for awhile
let me be clear. i'm assuming a major, worldwide recession (possibly depression). i'm not singling out Nola
quote:
but things also can get really good, really fast too.
what industry will be able to prop up Nola? especially their mega RE bubble? very few countries will be unaffected and will have money for tourism
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:35 am to rocket31
quote:
if you havent saved
FIRST MISTAKE
quote:
than you are just an idiot and deserve to go under
i agree but that's how bubbles pop. the ripple affects everyone
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:35 am to Boring
quote:
Detroit is the future of NOLA - go look at housing/rental prices there. That's your answer.
Detroit was dependent on the auto industry and that went away almost completely, hence what happened to them.
NOLA is dependent on tourism and that will come back, despite what everyone thinks right now.
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:37 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:
what industry will be able to prop up Nola? especially their mega RE bubble? very few countries will be unaffected and will have money for tourism
are there any numbers to compare domestic and international tourism for nola?
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:39 am to Fun Bunch
quote:
NOLA is dependent on tourism and that will come back
i'm not saying Nola will never see tourism again, but it's possibly going to take years. that's going to have a major effect on Airbnb, which is an economic bubble but also part of a much larger RE bubble that will ultimately pop if the Airbnb ripples are large enough
you combine a RE crash with no tourism in a major city of an oil economy, and you're not going to have a good time
yes, it can come back, but it could be a long, hard 5+ years
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:40 am to rocket31
quote:
are there any numbers to compare domestic and international tourism for nola?
Americans won't have money either. we are still part of the world
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:40 am to Fun Bunch
quote:
NOLA is dependent on tourism and that will come back, despite what everyone thinks right now.
It will be interesting to see the long term effects of this on the convention circuit.
It may bounce back, but I wouldn't be surpirsed to see a rather large scale contraction of it either. That would be a pretty big blow to N.O.
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:41 am to rocket31
(no message)
This post was edited on 2/3/21 at 12:48 am
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:43 am to Lakeboy7
oh yeah if you have one, or hell, even a couple, you should be able to withstand it. but the problem is, like with Wall Street, the leverage. people who are WAY over-invested (and likely invested at a premium cost b/c they invested on the incline) can only make money if the bull market keeps on
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:43 am to Jim Rockford
Ehh, i dont know how easy it will be to walk away from the leases. specifically if there was clauses in said leases that prevented him from renting property that was already rented.
I'd imagine he's going to lose his arse on this one.
Either way, not a good outlook for airbnb in the foreseeable future.
I'd imagine he's going to lose his arse on this one.
Either way, not a good outlook for airbnb in the foreseeable future.
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:43 am to Boring
quote:
Detroit is the future of NOLA
Nope. Does Detroit have one of the largest ports in the world?
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:44 am to SlowFlowPro
geez man, idk think we are going to dip into a long-arse recession/depression bc of this - you could be correct, but i think the recovery can potentially be very quick. guess we will see.
i do believe by august is important towards timing as october is scheduled to be a very huge month for the city
i do believe by august is important towards timing as october is scheduled to be a very huge month for the city
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:44 am to Lakeboy7
quote:
Well, paid mine off in 2014 and its paid for itself about 100x over since then.
So a 100K house would make $10 million in 6 years or 1.6 million a year
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:45 am to rocket31
dude i'm pretty sure football isn't going to happen next year. i just don't see how we can make that work while we (1) still try to flatten the curve and (2) have the 2nd wave threat looming in the winter
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:47 am to SlowFlowPro
I can’t see football happening. We’re so fricked.
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:48 am to SlowFlowPro
yea, we need football as a society to keep the sanity, without it, it will get ugly
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:50 am to rocket31
I won’t even pretend to be above the fray. I need football, even if it’s just on tv.
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:52 am to GreatLakesTiger24
i didn't follow football much at all in 2017-18 b/c i had other interests to focus on, but even that's not available to me now so yeah
but football was a non-Nola example (since so many people think i am just targeting Nola). it's the "nuclear" example
but that means, no festivals, conventions, or hell, even family get togethers for Thanksgiving/Christmas are in danger
but football was a non-Nola example (since so many people think i am just targeting Nola). it's the "nuclear" example
but that means, no festivals, conventions, or hell, even family get togethers for Thanksgiving/Christmas are in danger
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:56 am to SlowFlowPro
(no message)
This post was edited on 2/3/21 at 12:46 am
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:57 am to Lakeboy7
quote:
70% of the people we deal with are legacy types and they come once a year. Germany, Spain, Italy, Australia, the Northeast of the US and the West coast.
think about what you just said
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