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re: When did shut down and flatten the curve to reduce pressure on hospitals shift to

Posted on 4/21/20 at 11:14 pm to
Posted by L5UT1ger
Member since Feb 2004
3098 posts
Posted on 4/21/20 at 11:14 pm to
Posted in big thread:
—————
My parish’s updated numbers:

April 21,2020.

Total cases: 43

Number of new cases: 0 (0 since April 16, 2020)

Total Number of deaths: 0

Number of new deaths: 0

Number of current hospitalizations: 1

Number currently on vents: 0

Number currently in ICU: 0

I’ve obtained sources in the two hospitals to get some of the parish stats. The sources corroborate one another.
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So, we gonna be judged statewide or by parish?
Posted by BrohemAlem11
Ratchet City, LA
Member since Oct 2014
13924 posts
Posted on 4/21/20 at 11:46 pm to
We've flattened the curve so much that my brother who is a doctor at a hospital just took a 25% pay cut cause there's little to no work for him..... he's still got 75% of his livelihood and a daughter on the way...LETS KEEP FLATTENING
Posted by L5UT1ger
Member since Feb 2004
3098 posts
Posted on 4/22/20 at 12:08 am to
What parish?
Posted by 632627
LA
Member since Dec 2011
15406 posts
Posted on 4/22/20 at 6:25 am to
quote:

“we’re killing people” when they don’t realize that statistically they were always going to die. Red and blue infection size wasn’t ever going to or supposed to change.


In an unflattened curve, more people would die due to an overwhelmed healthcare system that can’t treat everyone at the say time; thus certain people may have survived with adequate care attained in the “flattened” model. Of course there are plenty that die regardless.

Also, in the unflattened model there is zero herd immunity, and pretty much everyone is susceptible. In the flattened model, with mass testing done in conjunction with phased reopening, herd immunity is established to some degree so the likelihood of spread/total number of cases is lower.

Whether it’s worth destroying our economy over is a different debate. But the medical reasoning is sound.
This post was edited on 4/22/20 at 6:26 am
Posted by CharlesLSU
Member since Jan 2007
33653 posts
Posted on 4/22/20 at 7:02 am to
I do fear this.

I honestly would like to see opening up state by state in May sometime. With people following safe protocol, it’ll be ok. That means graduated openings of restaurants and such, not 50+ people at a crawfish boil boozed up and getting careless.

The 18-22 month time frame posed was always ridiculous because the herd does need to get stronger, and civil unrest from a crashed economy will result in far worse.

The whole point, in my mind, is just work smart. The virus is real, it can get out of control, but it has been sensationalized. Again, just be prudent, but how many “baws” here really are.....
Posted by TigerFanInSouthland
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2012
28065 posts
Posted on 4/22/20 at 7:12 am to
This whole thing is a prime example of why women shouldn’t be in politics.
Posted by Ronaldo Burgundiaz
NWA
Member since Jan 2012
6795 posts
Posted on 4/22/20 at 9:40 am to
quote:

Politicians who got a taste of power will keep this up for as long as they can.
A very wise man once said:

There is nothing so permanent as a temporary government program.
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