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Started By
Message
re: U.S. added just 73,000 jobs in July and numbers for prior months were revised much lower
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:17 am to Mid Iowa Tiger
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:17 am to Mid Iowa Tiger
quote:
Why don’t you tell me? But first, share how far up the mgt tree you are and what the AUA your firm manages is.
Hey guy. I've been part of a group that has bought and sold multiple banks. I've been in tune with fed policy my entire adult life. GFY
1
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:27 am to bad93ex
quote:
Rate cut imminent
BLS has proven to be incredibly untrustworthy so their first couple of estimates have to be taken with a grain of salt.
PCE is up. We will have August numbers in by the September meeting. If inflation continues upward, rates do not change unless Powell is scared shitless of the upcoming debt refinancing.
If that's the case but he still cuts rates AND the BLS numbers are expressing at least the reality of the trending, expect stagflation (rising unemployment along with rising inflation).
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:27 am to The Goat
quote:
do you have any idea how ignorant this statement is?
Hardcore Trumpers truly do want a dictatorship.
This post was edited on 8/1/25 at 10:28 am
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:27 am to RLDSC FAN
Supposedly going to see a huge downward revision for 2024.
Basically since 2022 we have had a positive bias in jobs reports. Reporting jobs that don't actually exist.
Basically since 2022 we have had a positive bias in jobs reports. Reporting jobs that don't actually exist.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:29 am to The Goat
quote:
I do not recall Joe Biden ever calling out the Fed.
Too busy calling half the country a threat to democracy.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:30 am to dgnx6
quote:
Supposedly going to see a huge downward revision for 2024.
Basically since 2022 we have had a positive bias in jobs reports. Reporting jobs that don't actually exist.
What an absurd system
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:30 am to The Goat
quote:
Lowering them 2 months before the election had ZERO immediate impact as there is a 12 month lag before you truly see the effects of rate cuts/hikes.
Sorry, but this isn’t true when it comes to the financial markets. It’s hard to escape the conclusion that they rushed those cuts to juice the markets and thereby help Kamala’s clown campaign.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:31 am to dgnx6
quote:
Too busy calling half the country a threat to democracy.
well, we are no longer living in a Democracy. So, apparently the senile old fricker got that one right
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:35 am to SloaneRanger
quote:
Sorry, but this isn’t true when it comes to the financial markets. It’s hard to escape the conclusion that they rushed those cuts to juice the markets and thereby help Kamala’s clown campaign.
was speaking to cost of goods sold
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:40 am to RLDSC FAN
Trumponomics baby!
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:51 am to RLDSC FAN
Tariff “strategy” impacts.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 11:00 am to RLDSC FAN
Slow job growth
High prices
Is this really the golden age?
High prices
Is this really the golden age?
Posted on 8/1/25 at 11:18 am to RLDSC FAN
Thanks horse hair
Posted on 8/1/25 at 11:26 am to RLDSC FAN
30k people lost their fast food jobs in California from the new minimum wage hike
Interesting
Interesting
Posted on 8/1/25 at 11:43 am to SloaneRanger
quote:
someone please square what the Fed did in the run up to the 2024 election (rushing to cut, including a half pointer) with what it is doing now. I’ll wait around for a detailed explanation.
The rate cut you are talking about was two months before the election so that they wouldn’t cut rates immediately before the election. And it was based on the data. They then cut rates twice after the election! Why does no one ever mention that?
quote:
I think we'll see a boost in a few months:
Illegals who were working under the radar and not filing tax returns.
Those jobs get filled with documented taxpayers.
I don’t think that’s how it works. I think those people were here buying groceries and eating at restaurants and buying toys for their kids. They aren’t here doing those things so restaurants and grocery stores and toy stores are cutting back.
Not commenting on the political stance to deport or not deport, simply one of the economic impacts of those decisions.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 12:05 pm to The Goat
quote:
bought and sold multiple banks
Buying and selling banks is to deal making what paint by numbers is to a Rafeal or Rembrandt.
Try doing real deals. You being in banking explains a lot of your view point though. What’s good for the DS is typically good for banking.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 12:13 pm to Mid Iowa Tiger
quote:
Try doing real deals. You being in banking explains a lot of your view point though. What’s good for the DS is typically good for banking.
I will put my experiences as well as my PFS up against yours ANY DAY, Little Baw.
Quite Trumpian of you to belittle the accomplishments of others while referencing the DS.
You're a half-witted cliche. Don't forget to GFY
Posted on 8/1/25 at 12:16 pm to The Goat
You are extra melty today. Everything ok at home?
Posted on 8/1/25 at 12:30 pm to Mid Iowa Tiger
quote:
Such a complete and utter bullshite way to run the Fed.
But you're perfectly fine with how the employment numbers were complete bullshite
who knew supplying bad data could have adverse reactions. 
Posted on 8/1/25 at 12:34 pm to RLDSC FAN
Just wait till all the government employees come of the payroll Oct 1. Pretty sure that's almost quarter million
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