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Started By
Message
re: TS Elsa - Heading off to the NE, Then Shut the Tropics Down for a Couple of Weeks
Posted on 7/3/21 at 8:46 am to tgrbaitn08
Posted on 7/3/21 at 8:46 am to tgrbaitn08
You tell me…. You act like a weather expert.
Posted on 7/3/21 at 8:49 am to dukke v
quote:
You act like a weather expert.
Wat? I’ve never claimed to be a weather expert
I’m a copy and paste expert but your accusations are way off base
Posted on 7/3/21 at 8:51 am to tgrbaitn08
Well everybody else does the same thing.
Posted on 7/3/21 at 8:59 am to dukke v
Yeah but you've studying these storms for the past 40 years..I figured you would be able to at least tell me if this storm is in the Caribbean yet
Posted on 7/3/21 at 9:30 am to rds dc
quote:
Systems with small cores are so erratic. Now to see if the burst of convection can rotate around fast enough to capture that LLC or will the LLC out run the MLC resulting in a naked swirl alert at sunrise?
Elsa maintained deep convection overnight but hasn't been able to overcome shear and a fast forward speed. This has kept the LLC out in front of the MLC but recent convection has pulsed up closer to the LLC.

This mornings recon found a weaker system than yesterday morning but it shows Elsa tracking just SW of the NHC forecast track, which could make a big difference as the system passes near Hispaniola.

And in an interesting plot twist, the 06z Euro shows Elsa taking a more westward track and actually ending up in the Eastern Gulf on Tuesday afternoon. This is also supported by a large number of Euro EPS members.

Posted on 7/3/21 at 9:32 am to tgrbaitn08
Haven’t been paying much attention to this one.
Posted on 7/3/21 at 9:53 am to rds dc
NHC finally downgrades to TS. Is this the longest thread ever yet?
Posted on 7/3/21 at 10:05 am to rds dc
Hopefully this and all other storms this year hit the US as weakly as Danny hit South Carolina.
Posted on 7/3/21 at 10:26 am to PsychTiger
Well this one has petered out, time to…


Posted on 7/3/21 at 10:48 am to rds dc
quote:
NHC finally downgrades to TS.
Yay!
Posted on 7/3/21 at 10:50 am to rds dc
quote:
NHC finally downgrades to TS. Is this the longest thread ever yet?
Flag on the play. Doesn't count, too forced. No squares awarded.
Posted on 7/3/21 at 10:56 am to dukke v
quote:
dukke v
You lied, Peej. I knew you couldn't do it. I'm so disappointed in you, and I'm not going to dismiss it just because you are a drunk and can't help yourself.
Posted on 7/3/21 at 11:00 am to dukke v
quote:
You have issues…..
I've heard.
You're still a liar and can't even stick to the terms of your own agreement.
Posted on 7/3/21 at 12:32 pm to peaster68
quote:
Well this one has petered out, time to…
Hope it stays that way. I want to be able to laugh at the E name again in 2027.
Posted on 7/3/21 at 12:35 pm to rds dc
Ill be the first to say it
Nothingburger for FL
Nothingburger for FL
Posted on 7/3/21 at 12:43 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Nothingburger for FL
Have the Gators cancelled a football game yet?
Posted on 7/3/21 at 12:44 pm to rds dc
quote:
NHC finally downgrades to TS.

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