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re: TS Elsa - Heading off to the NE, Then Shut the Tropics Down for a Couple of Weeks

Posted on 7/3/21 at 8:46 am to
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
214069 posts
Posted on 7/3/21 at 8:46 am to
You tell me…. You act like a weather expert.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 7/3/21 at 8:49 am to
quote:

You act like a weather expert.



Wat? I’ve never claimed to be a weather expert

I’m a copy and paste expert but your accusations are way off base
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
214069 posts
Posted on 7/3/21 at 8:51 am to
Well everybody else does the same thing.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 7/3/21 at 8:59 am to
Yeah but you've studying these storms for the past 40 years..I figured you would be able to at least tell me if this storm is in the Caribbean yet
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20622 posts
Posted on 7/3/21 at 9:30 am to
quote:

Systems with small cores are so erratic. Now to see if the burst of convection can rotate around fast enough to capture that LLC or will the LLC out run the MLC resulting in a naked swirl alert at sunrise?


Elsa maintained deep convection overnight but hasn't been able to overcome shear and a fast forward speed. This has kept the LLC out in front of the MLC but recent convection has pulsed up closer to the LLC.



This mornings recon found a weaker system than yesterday morning but it shows Elsa tracking just SW of the NHC forecast track, which could make a big difference as the system passes near Hispaniola.



And in an interesting plot twist, the 06z Euro shows Elsa taking a more westward track and actually ending up in the Eastern Gulf on Tuesday afternoon. This is also supported by a large number of Euro EPS members.



Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
214069 posts
Posted on 7/3/21 at 9:32 am to
Haven’t been paying much attention to this one.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20622 posts
Posted on 7/3/21 at 9:53 am to
NHC finally downgrades to TS. Is this the longest thread ever yet?
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
104784 posts
Posted on 7/3/21 at 10:05 am to
Hopefully this and all other storms this year hit the US as weakly as Danny hit South Carolina.
Posted by peaster68
Mississippi
Member since Dec 2011
6168 posts
Posted on 7/3/21 at 10:26 am to
Well this one has petered out, time to…
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 7/3/21 at 10:48 am to
quote:

NHC finally downgrades to TS.


Yay!
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
67135 posts
Posted on 7/3/21 at 10:50 am to
quote:

NHC finally downgrades to TS. Is this the longest thread ever yet?

Flag on the play. Doesn't count, too forced. No squares awarded.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
214069 posts
Posted on 7/3/21 at 10:54 am to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
67135 posts
Posted on 7/3/21 at 10:56 am to
quote:

dukke v

You lied, Peej. I knew you couldn't do it. I'm so disappointed in you, and I'm not going to dismiss it just because you are a drunk and can't help yourself.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
214069 posts
Posted on 7/3/21 at 10:56 am to
You have issues…..
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
67135 posts
Posted on 7/3/21 at 11:00 am to
quote:

You have issues…..

I've heard.



You're still a liar and can't even stick to the terms of your own agreement.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
75869 posts
Posted on 7/3/21 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

Well this one has petered out, time to…


Hope it stays that way. I want to be able to laugh at the E name again in 2027.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
126089 posts
Posted on 7/3/21 at 12:35 pm to
Ill be the first to say it

Nothingburger for FL

Posted by JudgeHolden
Gila River
Member since Jan 2008
18566 posts
Posted on 7/3/21 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

Nothingburger for FL


Have the Gators cancelled a football game yet?
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
172758 posts
Posted on 7/3/21 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

NHC finally downgrades to TS.

Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
67135 posts
Posted on 7/3/21 at 12:57 pm to
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