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Started By
Message
re: TS Elsa - Heading off to the NE, Then Shut the Tropics Down for a Couple of Weeks
Posted on 7/1/21 at 4:32 pm to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 7/1/21 at 4:32 pm to LegendInMyMind
It's easy to forget the Gulf Stream runs up near there and you have warm water clashing with the cold being pushed in aloft. It's also helping set the edge on the subtropical ridge too.
2
Posted on 7/1/21 at 4:36 pm to Duke
NWS Mount Holly, NJ office has a severe thunderstorm warning up that runs 112 miles. Wind is the biggest concern, and they aren't letting it sneak up on them with the warning being an hour and a half long.
Posted on 7/1/21 at 5:00 pm to rds dc
Can we get this pinned TTT?
Posted on 7/1/21 at 5:17 pm to Dlab2013
Can we get this pinned and stop the infighting?
Posted on 7/1/21 at 5:24 pm to BayouENGR
quote:
Can we get this pinned
Probably
quote:
stop the infighting?
Posted on 7/1/21 at 5:32 pm to lsugolfredman
I quote NHC so you are telling me that their discussion was nonsensical? That's exactly what you are doing.
Posted on 7/1/21 at 5:34 pm to LegendInMyMind
I would go with GFS as well. I was only stating that there is debate on the issue.
The vast majority of Chicken Littles never look at the discussion aspect.
The vast majority of Chicken Littles never look at the discussion aspect.
Posted on 7/1/21 at 5:34 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
I am stating what NHC actually stated. Sorry that they didn't teach you how to read at Bama.
Posted on 7/1/21 at 6:15 pm to Duke
18z GFS comes in with a FL landfall a bit farther South and still at 980mb. The Cuban landfall is also a bit more East this run. It is still shooting the gap between Haiti/DR and Jamaica with minimal weakening due to land interaction, which I'm just not buying, though it has been consistent. This run takes it up the Peninsula and up the East coast toward the Carolinas keeping it almost entirely on land. Pressure throughout is more or less the same as previous runs.
All told, it is still running consistent to what it has for a while now. Let's see if the shift East over Cuba and more South over FL is it feeling the steering that the Euro has been big on.
All told, it is still running consistent to what it has for a while now. Let's see if the shift East over Cuba and more South over FL is it feeling the steering that the Euro has been big on.
Posted on 7/1/21 at 6:36 pm to LegendInMyMind
Two more waves following behind this one according to grimes
Posted on 7/1/21 at 6:36 pm to nicholastiger
Hope this storm doesn’t crap on our trip to Miramar beach next week.
Posted on 7/1/21 at 6:38 pm to BayouENGR
quote:Peej got banned?
stop the infighting
Posted on 7/1/21 at 6:44 pm to jkylejohnson
quote:
to Miramar beach next week.
We are at Shipwatch in Miramar next week. Where you staying, baw?
Posted on 7/1/21 at 6:45 pm to TigerBait1971
quote:
Where you staying baw
Ariel Dunes 1 . Booked pretty early and got a 24th story penthouse for 200/night. Hope we can get a few good days in at the beach.
Posted on 7/1/21 at 6:47 pm to jkylejohnson
Hope so. Even if it rains, still better than being in the office.
Posted on 7/1/21 at 6:47 pm to nicholastiger
quote:
Two more waves following behind this one according to grimes
Lots of rising air over Africa this year, and it only gets worse in that regard. There are signs that Africa will be a tropical wave producing factory this year. I said a week or so ago that wave after wave was already lining up, let's hope that trend doesn't hold into August and September.
Posted on 7/1/21 at 6:48 pm to TigerBait1971
True. Any day not spent in Alexandria, LA is a good day.
Posted on 7/1/21 at 6:48 pm to rds dc
I could use some time off work
Posted on 7/1/21 at 6:57 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
There are signs that Africa will be a tropical wave producing factory this year.
Like the last two weeks for example?
Yeah the trend on that isn't looking great. We need the MDR to get nice and hot by August and keep the TUTT suffering way north.
Posted on 7/1/21 at 8:12 pm to LegendInMyMind
They never go where the initial track forecasts them to go. Ever!!!
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