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Started By
Message
Tropical thread: Northern Gulf of Mexico threat - 20% chance of development
Posted on 7/23/19 at 12:23 pm
Posted on 7/23/19 at 12:23 pm
1. A non-tropical low pressure area could form over the northern Gulf
of Mexico by late Wednesday or Thursday. Thereafter, conditions
could become marginally conducive for some subtropical or tropical
development as it moves slowly northeastward through the end of the
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
12
Posted on 7/23/19 at 12:24 pm to GEAUXmedic
Wtf!?
Posted on 7/23/19 at 12:26 pm to ForeverLSU02
This is potentially a low pressure system from the trough I was speaking of in the other threat that will stall over the northern gulf of Mexico, which is pulling tropical Depression 3 out to sea.
This post was edited on 7/23/19 at 2:04 pm
Posted on 7/23/19 at 12:27 pm to GEAUXmedic
Only rds and slackster can start these. Gonna need to see your resume baw
Posted on 7/23/19 at 12:28 pm to Cosmo
That potential path looks familiar.
Posted on 7/23/19 at 12:28 pm to GEAUXmedic
Well I’m off to go buy bread
Posted on 7/23/19 at 12:28 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
pulling tropical Depression 3 out to see.
out to see what?
Posted on 7/23/19 at 12:30 pm to shawnlsu
20%?
Here is your attention OP
Here is your attention OP
Posted on 7/23/19 at 12:33 pm to GEAUXmedic
Why start this?? The cold front is literally here to push it away from the gulf coast.... 
Posted on 7/23/19 at 12:36 pm to GEAUXmedic
Looks like it'll get pushed out to the NE if it does manage to spin up, which doesn't look super likely at this time.
Posted on 7/23/19 at 12:36 pm to GEAUXmedic
Posted on 7/23/19 at 12:37 pm to LSUfanNkaty
quote:
Why start this?? The cold front is literally here to push it away from the gulf coast....
To be fair, the panhandle of Florida is still the northern Gulf coast.
Posted on 7/23/19 at 12:38 pm to slackster
quote:
To be fair, the panhandle of Florida is still the northern Gulf coast.
By the time it mixes with whatever moisture is left from the front, they wouldn't know the difference between the two
Posted on 7/23/19 at 12:38 pm to slackster
Big bend of Florida gonna feel the wrath of 45 mph sustained winds
Posted on 7/23/19 at 12:39 pm to LSUfanNkaty
It'd probably be more subtropical anyway with the dry cooler air coming in on it's NW.
Posted on 7/23/19 at 12:41 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Gonna need to see your resume baw
admin on dat other forum
Posted on 7/23/19 at 12:45 pm to t00f
Wut
Posted on 7/23/19 at 12:46 pm to GEAUXmedic
I don’t have a good feeling about this season
Posted on 7/23/19 at 12:47 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Wut
one with the big hurricane pic on the front page.
Posted on 7/23/19 at 1:19 pm to PhillyTiger90
quote:
don’t have a good feeling about this season
El Niño conditions are expected to weaken and become neutral by peak hurricane season which will cause lower shear and more potential for Atlantic and Caribbean storms to develop
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