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Started By
Message
re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
Posted on 9/12/21 at 1:33 pm to lsugolfredman
Posted on 9/12/21 at 1:33 pm to lsugolfredman
hard pass
0
Posted on 9/12/21 at 1:35 pm to Impotent Waffle
quote:
has trended East for several runs now
Came for update, not happy or surprised to hear this...
Actually today heaviest rain trending west from LC yesterday back towards texas
This post was edited on 9/12/21 at 1:36 pm
Posted on 9/12/21 at 1:39 pm to Jimmy2shoes
Yea Rayne and Church Point appear to be home free. This is primarily a Texas menace.
Posted on 9/12/21 at 1:40 pm to tarzana
quote:
Yea Rayne and Church Point appear to be home free.
They are never home free
Posted on 9/12/21 at 1:42 pm to BillyGibbons
quote:
any chance my connection in Houston isn’t cancelled?
Yes
Posted on 9/12/21 at 1:44 pm to tarzana
quote:
Yea Rayne and Church Point appear to be home free.
God hates them, as long as Bawpaw is in the area.
Posted on 9/12/21 at 1:45 pm to Cosmo
Looks like only 5 inches for me at the moment
Posted on 9/12/21 at 1:46 pm to sledgehammer
quote:
Looks like only 5 inches for me at the moment
6-7” for me
Posted on 9/12/21 at 1:47 pm to lsugolfredman
quote:
Disastrous is right. 61 inches on this run.
While this individual run is unlikely to verify, an extreme rain event has been the concern since last week. The steering pattern breaks down as this approaches the coast and the background pattern works to just pump moisture in over the same areas. Look how far the NHC moves it from Tuesday - Friday. Hopefully, it is close enough to the coast to keep the heaviest rainfall totals offshore.
Posted on 9/12/21 at 1:48 pm to rds dc
I'll take this little storm all day long compared to Laura last year!
Posted on 9/12/21 at 1:51 pm to rds dc
Rds what's causing the euro to just completely stall it on this run? Previous runs were slow, but at least had it moving NE.
Posted on 9/12/21 at 1:54 pm to LSUJuice
I hope this thing doesn’t drop a little bit of rain but I don’t need any rain where I’m at. Finally got tree out and waiting for adjuster….
Posted on 9/12/21 at 1:56 pm to LSUJuice
quote:
what's causing the euro to just completely stall it on this run? Previous runs were slow, but at least had it moving NE.
It has to do with a lot of moving parts. Little areas of low pressure moving through Canada influence the edge of the high pressure over the Eastern US. Also, storms in the Atlantic will play a role. Hopefully, one of the low pressure systems moving through Canada can dip down far enough at the right time to kick this system eastward. I'll post a more technical review later after the next round of model runs.
Posted on 9/12/21 at 2:00 pm to sledgehammer
quote:
Looks like only 5 inches for me at the moment
#thatswhatshesaid
Posted on 9/12/21 at 2:17 pm to LSUfanNkaty
Posted on 9/12/21 at 2:21 pm to Cosmo
quote:
cosmo
I see that westernly shift you were talking about, now
Posted on 9/12/21 at 2:58 pm to Impotent Waffle
Posted on 9/12/21 at 3:09 pm to Cosmo
looks like ‘It Gon’ Rain’ in our neck of the woods.
Posted on 9/12/21 at 4:08 pm to Klark Kent
4 or 5 inches of rain and a little breeze over 3 days is an improvement over some of the pop up storms we have had in the last few weeks.
Posted on 9/12/21 at 4:29 pm to Cosmo
Looks like I'm gonna get rain.
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