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Posted on 8/26/15 at 11:25 am to N2cars
quote:
Is it gonna eff up the first game or what?
The only information out on this so far is a statement by Miles saying Erika had 250 yards passing in its scrimmage with the Leeward Islands.
Posted on 8/26/15 at 11:28 am to baytiger
Is my vacation in Punta Cana starting on Friday going to be affected?
Posted on 8/26/15 at 11:33 am to OleWarSkuleAlum
Punta Cana is in total devestation from Danny.
Posted on 8/26/15 at 11:36 am to musick
so who went to punta cana again?
Posted on 8/26/15 at 11:38 am to musick
quote:
Punta Cana is in total devestation from Danny.
FUUCK
Posted on 8/26/15 at 11:54 am to Methuselah
quote:
Erika had 250 yards passing
I'll take that against the leghumpers, but that's a BS # against McNeese.
Posted on 8/26/15 at 12:31 pm to baytiger
All these scenarios are going to have a real hard time playing out if Erika can't sustain convection for more than 8 hours at a time
Posted on 8/26/15 at 12:45 pm to baytiger
It always seems with these models that once they star pushing towards a certain direction they continue to do so. Not sure if this misses Florida but I believe some form of it will enter the gulf.
Posted on 8/26/15 at 1:06 pm to Franktowntiger7
quote:
It always seems with these models that once they star pushing towards a certain direction they continue to do so. Not sure if this misses Florida but I believe some form of it will enter the gulf.
I agree 100% with you HOWEVER the last few model runs available this afternoon indicate a possible shift back east again. A couple of the intensity guidance models are even indicating that Erika will completely go apeshit around the Bahamas and really do some damage wherever she goes. This is the second day in a row now that intensity guidance has HINTED at a large amount of intensification.
Seems the further east Erika goes, the stronger she may be. If she stays west, she'll likely be much weaker.
Posted on 8/26/15 at 1:08 pm to TDsngumbo
I just don't see Erika blowing up like the HWRF or the GFDL show. They are the ones so far East and they show her bombing out way too early, IMO. I think the Euro or even the GFS (which is probably too conservative) are much closer to reality and therefore further West.
I don't see it making it much further past Florida unless the High really builds in stronger than forecast and the GFS actually hinted at that during its last run but it was only one run, I need to see it more and preferably from the Euro to buy it.
So for now I am going with a SFL hit and riding up either coast or the spine of Florida. Not sure on intensity, anywhere from a TS to a Cat 2, perhaps.
I don't see it making it much further past Florida unless the High really builds in stronger than forecast and the GFS actually hinted at that during its last run but it was only one run, I need to see it more and preferably from the Euro to buy it.
So for now I am going with a SFL hit and riding up either coast or the spine of Florida. Not sure on intensity, anywhere from a TS to a Cat 2, perhaps.
This post was edited on 8/26/15 at 1:09 pm
Posted on 8/26/15 at 1:45 pm to baytiger
quote:
All these scenarios are going to have a real hard time playing out if Erika can't sustain convection for more than 8 hours at a time
Naked swirl now but that might just be a vortex in an elongated disorganized LLC based on recon.
Posted on 8/26/15 at 2:06 pm to rds dc
quote:yeah recon can't even find 35 knots.. once again
Naked swirl now but that might just be a vortex in an elongated disorganized LLC based on recon.
it's a tropical depression folks (though NHC may still continue to call it a TS)
This post was edited on 8/26/15 at 2:07 pm
Posted on 8/26/15 at 2:07 pm to rds dc
quote:
Naked swirl
(Yes, I am that juvenile IRL).
Posted on 8/26/15 at 2:16 pm to baytiger
quote:
it's a tropical depression folks (though NHC may still continue to call it a TS)
It ain't official until the TD thread title changes.
Posted on 8/26/15 at 2:31 pm to fightin tigers
Posted on 8/26/15 at 2:42 pm to Jim Rockford
Wait until you get 2-4 runs in a row to be consistent then we can
Posted on 8/26/15 at 2:54 pm to GEAUXmedic
GEAUXmedic, I'm going to reference your Farmer's Almanac post here.
Link to Post
This is from the Danny Thread. Still ominous.
Link to Post
quote:
Farmer's Almanac:
LINK
SEPTEMBER 2015
1st-3rd. Hurricane threat Gulf Coast; fair elsewhere.
This is from the Danny Thread. Still ominous.
Posted on 8/26/15 at 3:42 pm to rds dc
quote:
I spot some issues here...
That half are predicting a category 2-3 storm at best and half are predicting a giant increase in strength to cat 4? Yea, the models are complete shite with this storm.
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