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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 6/1/23 at 8:59 am to BigPerm30
El Niño is strong. That shite is pushing from Panama City to Cuba. I don’t think I’ve seen one go the opposite way.
Posted on 6/1/23 at 9:02 am to TheFonz
quote:
Where’s my El Niño?
It's getting rolling into a pretty strong one right now.
El Nino should reduce hurricane numbers, and it makes that run up from the West Caribbean into the Gulf way more sheary than normal. Those shear anomolies don't hold for the rest of the basin, at least not nearly as aggressively.
So, yeah, still happy to see an El Nino this year. Unfortunately, the Atlantic is warm AF. Probably enough to counter the El Nino and yield a normal year. Though, I'd expect it to be more front-loaded.
Posted on 6/1/23 at 9:14 am to Duke
Will it affect "Jeeping The Coast"? Lot's of frickers just sitting around, drinking and watching folks ride around in Jeeps. Long Beach and The Pass have been inundated. Damnedest thing.
Posted on 6/1/23 at 11:35 am to The Goat
quote:
Will it affect "Jeeping The Coast"? Lot's of frickers just sitting around, drinking and watching folks ride around in Jeeps. Long Beach and The Pass have been inundated. Damnedest thing.
Sounds 1000x better than black spring break
Count your blessings
Posted on 6/1/23 at 11:45 am to Mr. Hangover
quote:Don't be an idiot - evacuate now, at minimum to Omaha.
Crawfish prices
Blue shed
Hurricane bingo
Will this change my flight plans?
Is this the longest thread in TD history?
Posted on 6/1/23 at 11:48 am to Hangover Haven
quote:"going south" is code for right up NOLA's pooper.
quote:
Isn’t this thing supposed to be moving south anyway?
Yes, but the wish casters won't tell you that...
Posted on 6/1/23 at 11:49 am to Cosmo
quote:
count your blessings
Indeed. I just need to resist the urge to go down there and drink with those frickers. If I drink, I will end up at the blackjack table, and there goes the kids' college tuition and their nice rides.
Posted on 6/1/23 at 11:51 am to The Goat
Cue the Lootie meme.
Posted on 6/1/23 at 12:04 pm to rds dc
Posted on 6/1/23 at 12:18 pm to rds dc
I'm not sure if I've said this enough, but Frick TDSgumbo for wishcasting Ida on us because he wanted a tree down on his yard.
Also frick peej. Not sure why yet this year though.
Also frick peej. Not sure why yet this year though.
Posted on 6/1/23 at 12:20 pm to maisweh
My buddy just texted me that he saw a shark swimming down I-75. That's real, right?
Posted on 6/1/23 at 12:21 pm to Chrome
quote:
So soon. And right at the beginning of gay month.
It's hurrigayne season.
Posted on 6/1/23 at 12:21 pm to rds dc
It's already well north of us so Godspeed to those of you up north.
Posted on 6/1/23 at 12:22 pm to CaptainsWafer
quote:
Isn’t this thing supposed to be moving south anyway?
Oh frick. Disregard my previous post.
Posted on 6/1/23 at 12:35 pm to rds dc
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jun 1 2023
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Northeastern Gulf of Mexico (AL91):
Recent satellite wind data, along with buoy and ship observations
indicate the area of low pressure over the northeastern Gulf of
Mexico has a broad but well-defined circulation with maximum
sustained winds of about 35 mph. Shower and thunderstorm activity
associated with the low is also showing signs of organization.
Environmental conditions remain marginally favorable for additional
development, and if these trends continue, a short-lived tropical
depression or storm is likely to form as soon as this afternoon. The
system is likely to meander over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico
through tonight but begin a slow southward motion on Friday. By
this weekend, environmental conditions are forecast to become
unfavorable for additional development as the system continues
moving southward, likely remaining offshore over the Gulf of Mexico.
An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the system later this afternoon.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall could occur over
portions of the Florida Peninsula through this weekend. Additional
information on the rainfall and flooding potential can be found in
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office and Excessive Rainfall Outlooks issued by the Weather
Prediction Center.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jun 1 2023
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Northeastern Gulf of Mexico (AL91):
Recent satellite wind data, along with buoy and ship observations
indicate the area of low pressure over the northeastern Gulf of
Mexico has a broad but well-defined circulation with maximum
sustained winds of about 35 mph. Shower and thunderstorm activity
associated with the low is also showing signs of organization.
Environmental conditions remain marginally favorable for additional
development, and if these trends continue, a short-lived tropical
depression or storm is likely to form as soon as this afternoon. The
system is likely to meander over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico
through tonight but begin a slow southward motion on Friday. By
this weekend, environmental conditions are forecast to become
unfavorable for additional development as the system continues
moving southward, likely remaining offshore over the Gulf of Mexico.
An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the system later this afternoon.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall could occur over
portions of the Florida Peninsula through this weekend. Additional
information on the rainfall and flooding potential can be found in
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office and Excessive Rainfall Outlooks issued by the Weather
Prediction Center.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Posted on 6/1/23 at 12:42 pm to rds dc
She's progressing at a rapid pace, captain!
50% when I looked this AM. Bumped to 70% already. It is officially Hurricane Season.
50% when I looked this AM. Bumped to 70% already. It is officially Hurricane Season.
Posted on 6/1/23 at 1:11 pm to maisweh
quote:
I'm not sure if I've said this enough, but Frick TDSgumbo for wishcasting Ida on us because he wanted a tree down on his yard. Also frick peej. Not sure why yet this year though.
Remember GEAUXMedic saying there was 0% chance that storm would go west of Lafayette?
Posted on 6/1/23 at 1:18 pm to rds dc
Look at the bright possibilities... it could ramp up to a 5 and directly hit New Orleans. Like a rinse...
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