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Started By
Message
2
Posted on 4/1/17 at 10:00 am to GEAUXmedic
Why do these systems keep hitting same areas over and over?
Posted on 4/1/17 at 10:33 am to GEAUXmedic
The 12z 3k NAM seems to be favoring discrete/clusters over a single big MCS for storm mode tomorrow. That would be concerning given the STP map GeauxM posted above. STP is just one guidance tool and there are plenty of examples of high STP environments not producing tornadoes. One thing to note, soundings show a smooth veering of winds with height tomorrow and that could be very problematic. We have seen a lot of setups lately with parameter spaces that seemed to favor strong tornadoes but the winds didn't veer smoothly with height.
Posted on 4/1/17 at 12:52 pm to Scoop
quote:
I wouldn't be surprised if we end up getting a PDS out of this.
Tornado threat and possibly 5+ inches of rain. I can't wait.
Posted on 4/1/17 at 12:53 pm to Chatagnier
Baton Rouge upgraded to enhanced
Posted on 4/1/17 at 12:58 pm to tigercraig
Link?
Posted on 4/1/17 at 1:07 pm to rds dc
What's the official forecast for tommorrow?
I'm supposed to drive from Tyler td to Baton Rouge and everything Ive seen thus far doesn't show it this severe?
I'm supposed to drive from Tyler td to Baton Rouge and everything Ive seen thus far doesn't show it this severe?
This post was edited on 4/1/17 at 1:08 pm
Posted on 4/1/17 at 1:10 pm to Paul Allen
Posted on 4/1/17 at 1:21 pm to tigercraig
Thank you
Posted on 4/1/17 at 1:25 pm to Paul Allen
Posted on 4/1/17 at 1:33 pm to rds dc
Although I do not like the SPC's terminology of "slight", "moderate", etc. they seem to be getting the zones picked out in advance fairly good this year.
Posted on 4/1/17 at 1:34 pm to rds dc
Almost 9,000,000 people in the moderate area.
It was 7,000,000 this morning.
14,000,000 in moderate/enhanced.
It was 7,000,000 this morning.
14,000,000 in moderate/enhanced.
This post was edited on 4/1/17 at 1:37 pm
Posted on 4/1/17 at 1:42 pm to Scoop
Pretty serious wording in this new update
Posted on 4/1/17 at 1:46 pm to rds dc
Get your yard work in today.
Posted on 4/1/17 at 1:49 pm to lsuman25
Yep. They are inching towards a PDS.
Posted on 4/1/17 at 1:50 pm to DrewTheEngineer
Of note: there may also be a significant severe weather event for parts of the SE around the Wednesday-Thursday period from the next system. This would be more for AL, MS, and GA. But we kind of have to get passed this first system before we can really understand the next one.
Just something to keep in mind for people in those areas.
Just something to keep in mind for people in those areas.
This post was edited on 4/1/17 at 1:51 pm
Posted on 4/1/17 at 1:53 pm to lsuman25
Moisture rapidly flowing north from the Gulf
Posted on 4/1/17 at 1:57 pm to rds dc
I love this new satellite. 
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