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Posted on 1/20/23 at 3:56 pm to
Posted by jmorr34
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2004
2897 posts
Posted on 1/20/23 at 3:56 pm to
quote:

Massively high interest rates


Que? We just got through a period of record low interest rates. Getting back to more of a normal level.

Younger people are hesitant to buy now because they think the rates are too high. But at the same time home prices are still somewhat inflated, so understandable. I wouldn't wait around for the rates to fall back down though.
This post was edited on 1/20/23 at 4:01 pm
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
261333 posts
Posted on 1/20/23 at 4:05 pm to
quote:

Prices are still inflated quite a bit though.


1200 sq ft 3/2 ranch used to be around 300k here, still almost 500k.

eta: 465k

This post was edited on 1/20/23 at 4:49 pm
Posted by TejasHorn
High Plains Driftin'
Member since Mar 2007
10979 posts
Posted on 1/20/23 at 4:42 pm to
Definitely some sticker shock when the mortgage guy runs out the payments at 30 years and 6%+ interest vs half that rate 2 years ago.

Add in property tax and insurance etc. and renting out in the exurbs looks really good to a lot of people.
Posted by armsdealer
Member since Feb 2016
11522 posts
Posted on 1/20/23 at 4:43 pm to
Where are all the people that told me it was dumb to move from an owned house to a rent house for a year or two... I am sure the house prices will stay high.

I would have bought another house if I was SURE I was staying in this area but I am not sure I will be here more than 3 years and the thought of losing tens of thousands of dollars buying another house at the top was too risky for me with all the writing on the wall.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75259 posts
Posted on 1/20/23 at 4:50 pm to
We’re still several years away from adequate inventory.

Home prices will more than likely stabilize in hotter markets, or at worst, slightly decline.
Posted by SG_Geaux
Beautiful St George
Member since Aug 2004
78051 posts
Posted on 1/20/23 at 4:53 pm to
All part of the plan.

Wreck the economy so everyone has to depend on big government
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
96325 posts
Posted on 1/20/23 at 4:56 pm to
No shite.

The market bubbled up during Covid when supply tightened and then crashed when the economy collapsed combined with interest rates going up.

Housing is going to be stagnant for a few years IMHO because people who don’t have one will have trouble affording one and people who have one are unlikely to sell because getting a different one would cost more for what they get compared to the current one.
Posted by Tantal
Member since Sep 2012
14101 posts
Posted on 1/20/23 at 4:56 pm to
quote:

Current mortgage rates are pretty average historically. We've just had 14 years of artificially low rates.

Yeah. My first mortgage in 1998 was 7% and it stayed that way for a while.
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
119411 posts
Posted on 1/20/23 at 4:58 pm to
Fully expected, thanks to your govt ineptitude
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
48740 posts
Posted on 1/20/23 at 4:59 pm to
quote:

Yeah. My first mortgage in 1998 was 7% and it stayed that way for a while.

I think ours was 6.8% in 2006
Posted by idontyield
Tunnel Trash
Member since Jun 2022
340 posts
Posted on 1/20/23 at 5:00 pm to
Anyone who has a rate below 3% is not moving any time soon or perhaps for the life of their mortgage.
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
48740 posts
Posted on 1/20/23 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

Anyone who has a rate below 3% is not moving any time soon or perhaps for the life of their mortgage.

That's what's unique about our current situation. Rates went up so fast that most people who already owned their homes don't want to give up their low rate.
Posted by Hurricane Mike
Member since Jun 2008
20059 posts
Posted on 1/20/23 at 5:04 pm to
quote:

You're getting ready to have a whole group of working-class people that can't obtain a mortgage but will also not be able to afford rent in an apartment.


We should import 10 million more illegals to make things even more expensive
Posted by waiting4saturday
Covington, LA
Member since Sep 2005
9742 posts
Posted on 1/20/23 at 5:12 pm to
But remember it’s not a recession…. Because a certain party is in power.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
90818 posts
Posted on 1/20/23 at 5:18 pm to
You will own nothing and be happy
Posted by genuineLSUtiger
Nashville
Member since Sep 2005
72996 posts
Posted on 1/20/23 at 5:22 pm to
Beginning of the end. The bottom will fall out in2023.
Posted by JKLazurus
Member since Jun 2016
261 posts
Posted on 1/20/23 at 5:40 pm to
quote:

Anyone who has a rate below 3% is not moving any time soon or perhaps for the life of their mortgage. That's what's unique about our current situation. Rates went up so fast that most people who already owned their homes don't want to give up their low rate.


This is what makes these recent threads intriguing.

There’s always the glib guy posting about hoping for a crash so he can get his first home at generational low.

But even if home prices crash, inflation, the appreciation from the past few years, and rising interest rates negate any possible discount to the buyer.

It will be years before people adapt to the idea of buying new homes with a 7% rate when every house they’ve ever owned was below 4%.

Then there’s the old people who want to downsize. When their mortgage rate doubles or triples, it becomes more expensive to downsize than to just keep what they have.

The only homes trading in the foreseeable future are the high end ones where people pay cash and the low end DR Horton starter homes
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
13371 posts
Posted on 1/20/23 at 5:43 pm to
quote:

Rates went up so fast that most people who already owned their homes don't want to give up their low rate.


yup. I locked in at 3.99% in April 2021.

not moving for a good long while

Posted by Brood211
Member since Jun 2012
1415 posts
Posted on 1/20/23 at 5:46 pm to
Omg… the economy is crashing ??
Posted by Kitonja
Member since Dec 2022
174 posts
Posted on 1/20/23 at 5:46 pm to
They were covid inflated anyway.
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