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re: The two controversial Bakersfield urgent care doctors (0.03%) have to be baws, right?

Posted on 4/29/20 at 7:56 am to
Posted by hubreb
Member since Nov 2008
2165 posts
Posted on 4/29/20 at 7:56 am to
quote:


Did they list any math or stats classes they had taken? That’s where they seemed to be lacking a bit


True
Posted by McLemore
Member since Dec 2003
35543 posts
Posted on 4/29/20 at 9:14 am to
quote:

When their opinion is based off of objectively incorrect application of basic fricking math, their opinions can be completely dismissed, IMO.



This is a 100% honest request. Will you show us exactly why they are objectively wrong and the objectively correct math.

Again, I have no reason to believe these guys if they're totally wrong.

Is there a good rebuttal article or video? I saw these guys once and moved on.
Posted by MojoGuyPan
Intercession City, Florida
Member since Jun 2018
2797 posts
Posted on 4/29/20 at 9:37 am to
The real question is why a couple of urgent care doctors like Drs. Troy and McNamara decided to have a press conference about Covid.

Who is paying these guys?

I mean we haven't seen the OT experts Stout or CAD703X holding a press conference about opening up America again. How are those Bakersfield douches getting the national attention? Something doesn't add up.
Posted by FutureMikeVIII
Houston
Member since Sep 2011
1845 posts
Posted on 4/29/20 at 9:58 am to
quote:

Will you show us exactly why they are objectively wrong and the objectively correct math.



They are using non-random sampling to infer information about a population. That violates very basic statistical assumptions; therefore, any conclusions they make based on that are unfounded.

Also, ~0.1% of the population of the state of New York has been killed by COVID, so if they really came to the conclusion that the actual COVID fatality rate is 0.03% (admittedly, I didn’t make it that far into their stupidity to hear this), they could’ve done some basic arithmetic and checked their work.
Posted by Hurricane Mike
Member since Jun 2008
20059 posts
Posted on 4/29/20 at 10:08 am to
quote:

Rattling off classes taken is kinda douchey and weird.


Well, he’s responding to retards, so no better way to put them in their place
Posted by Hurricane Mike
Member since Jun 2008
20059 posts
Posted on 4/29/20 at 10:12 am to
quote:

haven't followed up since the FB/Google campaign to silence them.


When Facebook and google are silencing you, you’re doing the right thing. It’s pathetic it’s come to censorship of doctors.
Posted by mmmmmbeeer
ATL
Member since Nov 2014
10189 posts
Posted on 4/29/20 at 10:16 am to
quote:

My primary has been testing all the patients who come through his doors, for any reason, to see how far the virus has spread, and to get a better sense of how deadly it is.

He's come to the same conclusion as the Bakersfield doctors.

I should add, primary care physicians are in a good place to make these observations. They see a lot of patients, and patients of all ages and backgrounds. That gives them a better overall picture vs a specialist.


None of this happened.

First, a PCP does not have test kits to give to all patients, much less lab access to get them all processed.

Second, most PCPs are now doing online visits through Zoom, Skype, etc. Ain't no PCP doctor opening his office up to everyone and their brother to come trouncing through to get everyone else sick.

Try harder.
Posted by Lima Whiskey
Member since Apr 2013
22594 posts
Posted on 4/29/20 at 10:37 am to
Wishing it isn’t true, doesn’t change anything.

And no he’s doing exactly what every other office is doing. Individuals who believe they have the Corona Virus are being tested in the parking lot.

What makes his office unique, is that he’s testing all the other patients. The ones who are coming in as normal.
This post was edited on 4/29/20 at 10:45 am
Posted by Koach K
Member since Nov 2016
4818 posts
Posted on 4/29/20 at 10:57 am to
Kind of like the janitor giving his opinion on the bleach manufacturing process. Just get back to your W2 mopping station there fellas.
Posted by dbeck
Member since Nov 2014
29454 posts
Posted on 4/29/20 at 11:03 am to
31.6% of voters in California voted for Trump in 2016. Idk why everyone acts like it's 100% democrat there.

By comparison, in Louisiana 38% voted for Hillary in 2016.
Posted by rickgrimes
Member since Jan 2011
4344 posts
Posted on 4/29/20 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

This is a 100% honest request. Will you show us exactly why they are objectively wrong and the objectively correct math.

Again, I have no reason to believe these guys if they're totally wrong.

Is there a good rebuttal article or video? I saw these guys once and moved on.










Link to Twitter thread

It's really basic math and how you can/can't extrapolate data like these guys did man.
Posted by Rep520
Member since Mar 2018
10476 posts
Posted on 4/29/20 at 12:39 pm to
quote:

It's really basic math and how you can/can't extrapolate data like these guys did man.


Honest question, is this the same video as the one the guy was referring to the other day?

That had the exact same flaw. It extrapolated the % of positives among sick people showing symptoms to the entire, healthy US population.

The post Bergstrom has about how Urgent Care patients are not a random sample of the population shows exactly what the problem is.

If you use the USC antibody study, the population of infected people if 4x lower than these guys estimate, and that explains the massive difference between their estimates and those from other experts.
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
46755 posts
Posted on 4/29/20 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

It's really basic math and how you can/can't extrapolate data like these guys did man.


Kind of like how people extrapolate what's happening in NYC (or New Orleans) and think the same measures should be applied to the entire country?

This post was edited on 4/29/20 at 12:57 pm
Posted by Lawyered
The Sip
Member since Oct 2016
38806 posts
Posted on 4/29/20 at 1:03 pm to
quote:

Not sure what the big deal is with this, those where just to MDs giving their opinion. Agree or not, it’s just two opinions.


YouTube sure had a problem with... so crazy
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