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Message
re: The math for buying a home no longer works, per WSJ
Posted on 12/20/23 at 1:12 pm to Jack Ruby
Posted on 12/20/23 at 1:12 pm to Jack Ruby
quote:
Nobody wants to live or raise a family in the neighborhoods that currently have $90K homes for sale.
There are plenty of homes in good neighborhoods in the $200k's, easily within the budget of someone earning $75k/year.
Posted on 12/20/23 at 1:12 pm to dewster
quote:
It's perfectly reasonable
It’s perfectly reasonable for the average person to travel 10-15 hours per week for work?
Yall can’t even provide examples of what the previous poster suggested.
Check out how far away you need to go from houston before finding 5 acre lots for ~150k. It’s like 1.5 hours one way.
Oh and you will need another 40-50k for the trailer and utilities.
Where are your kids going to school?
Posted on 12/20/23 at 1:12 pm to GreatLakesTiger24
quote:
poor with few career opportunities
average household income is significantly less than the US average
A lot of big companies with a presence there. And lots of people work remotely.
quote:
TOP EMPLOYERS
Top Private, Non-Chain, Employers in Sheboygan County
Kohler Co., enameled iron and metal sanitary ware manufacturing, 5000+
Bemis Mfg. Co., plastics product manufacturing, 1000+
Aurora Medical Group Inc., physician offices, 1000+
Nemak, aluminum die-casting foundries, 1000+
Sargento Foods Inc., cheese manufacturing, 1000+
ACUITY. direct property and casualty insurers, 1000+
Johnsonville Sausage, meat processing, 500-999
Rockline Industries Inc., converted paper product manufacturing, 500-999
Fresh Brands Distributing Inc. (Piggly Wiggly - Midwest), managing offices, 500-999
HSHS St. Nicholas Hospital, general medical and surgical hospital, 500-999
Masters Gallery Foods Inc., dairy-product merchant wholesalers, 500-999
MilliporeSigma (Merck KGaA), chemical manufacturing, 500-999
The Vollrath Co., kitchen utensil, pot and pan manufacturing, 500-999
American Orthodontics Corp., dental equipment and supplies manufacturing, 500-999
Carl Buddig & Co. (Old Wisconsin Sausage), meat markets, 250-499
Not to mention, the argument was, simply, "there are not enough affordable homes"...I just showed there are a lot of them in really nice, safe cities. So you're kind of making the point that others have made, which is that there's not enough affordable homes in the popular cities/places where a ton of people want to live. That's not surprising, but then maybe those who cannot afford it should not live there or live in an area of that community with lower demand and lower prices.
This post was edited on 12/20/23 at 1:14 pm
Posted on 12/20/23 at 1:15 pm to Chucktown_Badger
Some are stuck in the mud.
You show an alternative and they will complain.
There are great townhomes in Sandy Springs and Marietta for $175k to $240k.
But someone will complain about association dues.
Or square footage for a family of 6.
As if these are the barriers to home ownership that the typical first time homebuyer is facing.
You show an alternative and they will complain.
There are great townhomes in Sandy Springs and Marietta for $175k to $240k.
But someone will complain about association dues.
Or square footage for a family of 6.
As if these are the barriers to home ownership that the typical first time homebuyer is facing.
Posted on 12/20/23 at 1:17 pm to dewster
Like I said, works for a few.
"Move to Haiti. You can be happy there if you try hard enough!" Obviously an extreme example, but it's just a ridiculous concept.
I'm not advocating to be house poor if you can find a better option. I don't know what the solution is. We lucked out with our current 2 bed 1 bath situation, but we as a society can also acknowledge that homeownership is no longer something that many Americans can reasonably afford.
But even then I'd still rather be house poor in a good neighborhood and be able to enjoy our close friends, parks, organizations, celebrations, infrastructure, nearby grocery stores, etc. that the city offers, all-the-while knowing that my property is only going to increase in value and career opportunities to increase pay are immediately nearby.
quote:
Life is what you make of it. If you want to be boring, you can be boring. If you want to enjoy yourself...you will.
"Move to Haiti. You can be happy there if you try hard enough!" Obviously an extreme example, but it's just a ridiculous concept.
quote:
I imagine having zero discretionary income after dumping everything into an house you can't afford is also isolating.
I'm not advocating to be house poor if you can find a better option. I don't know what the solution is. We lucked out with our current 2 bed 1 bath situation, but we as a society can also acknowledge that homeownership is no longer something that many Americans can reasonably afford.
But even then I'd still rather be house poor in a good neighborhood and be able to enjoy our close friends, parks, organizations, celebrations, infrastructure, nearby grocery stores, etc. that the city offers, all-the-while knowing that my property is only going to increase in value and career opportunities to increase pay are immediately nearby.
Posted on 12/20/23 at 1:19 pm to Chucktown_Badger
quote:and significantly lower wages.
That's not surprising, but then maybe those who cannot afford it should not live there or live in an area of that community with lower demand and lower prices.
you're probably not going to gain ground by moving from a houston metro or atlanta metro to a town of 50k in the midwest. especially for people who are closer to the beginning of their career.
these cities aren't "popular" because they are cool (who the frick actually wants to live in houston or atlanta if they have their choice?). it's because that's where "real" jobs are increasingly concentrated.
Posted on 12/20/23 at 1:22 pm to 904
quote:
I don't know what the solution is.
Wait for the market to work?
The rate hikes will start to have an effect, home prices are starting to come down, eventually interest rates will also come down, and new inventory will continue to come online in these new places where so many people want to be.
The simple fact is that the market has shown itself to be way more efficient and way less costly than government when it comes to "fixing" things. And by the time the government does anything the problem has already largely corrected itself.
This post was edited on 12/20/23 at 1:23 pm
Posted on 12/20/23 at 1:26 pm to Chucktown_Badger
quote:
home prices are starting to come down, eventually interest rates will also come down
Home prices are about to start going up again once interest rates start easing down.
As of today, my house is actually valued at its all-time-high on Zillow, Redfin, and Realtor. Not always accurate, but still.
Posted on 12/20/23 at 1:26 pm to Chucktown_Badger
quote:
The rate hikes will start to have an effect, home prices are starting to come down,
Why would home prices come down?
Home prices only come down with unemployment.
Job insecurity and lack of income (i.e. one working spouse) are the only proven factors to reliably affect the housing market in a significant downward trend.
This post was edited on 12/20/23 at 1:27 pm
Posted on 12/20/23 at 1:28 pm to GreatLakesTiger24
quote:
and significantly lower wages.
you're probably not going to gain ground by moving from a houston metro or atlanta metro to a town of 50k in the midwest. especially for people who are closer to the beginning of their career.
these cities aren't "popular" because they are cool (who the frick actually wants to live in houston or atlanta if they have their choice?). it's because that's where "real" jobs are increasingly concentrated.
I just randomly picked plumber and looked up the average salaries on Indeed.
Houston: $28.38/hour
Sheboygan: $39.21/hour
So if the issue we're focusing on is affordable housing, these types of cities absolutely are options for people. They can build equity/wealth in these places and then move to a more desirable spot when they're able.
Since when did everyone starting their adult life have a "right" to everything? Simple fact is you don't have a right to a six-figure job, you don't have a right to a cheap house in a highly desirable city or area. You earn the right to those things.
Posted on 12/20/23 at 1:28 pm to JohnnyKilroy
quote:
I just looked on zillow and and there’s a 2.25 acre lot for 110k in Colyell, Livingston Parish.
That’s a 2.5-3 hour roundtrip commute to BR during the week.
If that's all you can afford....better invest in a fuel efficient used car and download a lot of podcasts.
Baton Rouge is very limited in real estate because there are parts of it that are high crime, and there isn't anywhere near as much infrastructure around highways and flood protection to support the modest growth that it has. It just keeps sprawling farther down I-10 and I-12 for the most part.
Posted on 12/20/23 at 1:30 pm to meansonny
quote:
Why would home prices come down?
Home prices only come down with unemployment.
Job insecurity and lack of income (i.e. one working spouse) are the only proven factors to reliably affect the housing market in a significant downward trend
Given that we're in an election year it's going to be interesting to see how things go with this administration. I agree that they're going to have to choose to fix inflation, which will require unemployment to rise, or try putting off a recession, which will fuel inflation.
This post was edited on 12/20/23 at 1:31 pm
Posted on 12/20/23 at 1:30 pm to Chucktown_Badger
quote:
eventually interest rates will also come down
Mortgage rates are nudging down slightly as of the past couple of weeks.
Posted on 12/20/23 at 1:33 pm to GreatLakesTiger24
17% of my take home goes toward my house
7% goes toward my deer camp/lease
coonass math there. priorities.
7% goes toward my deer camp/lease
coonass math there. priorities.
Posted on 12/20/23 at 1:34 pm to Chucktown_Badger
quote:
Since when did everyone starting their adult life have a "right" to everything? Simple fact is you don't have a right to a six-figure job, you don't have a right to a cheap house in a highly desirable city or area. You earn the right to those things.
I don't think anyone is saying that everyone should have the right to a nice house in a prime location right out of college.
I think it's just responding to boomers' expectations who think anyone born in the 80s or later is lazy if they don't have a house and a family by their late 20's, and that it's possible for everyone if they just "save more". That's what this article is about. The math doesn't work out anymore.
Posted on 12/20/23 at 1:36 pm to 904
It's a choice. If young people value owning a home and having a family, there's plenty of places to do that. If they value living in a popular area and renting a shitty apartment until they're 30, they can do that. I was actually one of the latter, lived very frugally for a long time, and was able to eventually buy a nice condo.
Back to renting now in my new city, waiting on those prices to drop
Back to renting now in my new city, waiting on those prices to drop
Posted on 12/20/23 at 1:37 pm to Clames
quote:
There are plenty of homes in good neighborhoods in the $200k's, easily within the budget of someone earning $75k/year.
But not in the neighborhoods with a NOBU, an Indie coffee shop, good sushi, Soul Cycle, a world class park, excellent night life full of singles, and an organic grocery store within walking distance.
That's the real tragedy here.
Posted on 12/20/23 at 1:46 pm to Chucktown_Badger
quote:
Back to renting now in my new city, waiting on those prices to drop
Good luck.
You might be waiting for a long time. And when prices do drop, they very well may be (significantly) higher than they are today.
People talk about Austin housing dropping 20% in the last year. You might say “Great! This is the price drop I’ve been waiting for!”
Meanwhile prices are still 40% (!!!) higher than they were a few years ago and rates are triple what they were.
Posted on 12/20/23 at 1:51 pm to Clames
quote:is an ~1800/month mtg payment (not including pmi) easily within budget of someone making about 6k/month?
There are plenty of homes in good neighborhoods in the $200k's, easily within the budget of someone earning $75k/year.
eta: and the word "good" is doing a lot of work here
This post was edited on 12/20/23 at 1:54 pm
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