re: The Great Flood of 2016: Fill Out Disaster Forms NOW. Link Inside!

Where is the center of this mess? Are any of the models spitting out images of future rain shields through tomorrow?

Haven't even gotten a 1/2 inch yet

How is Hammond right now?

quote:

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rds dc

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My God I hope that map isn't correct

yall be careful out there today!

My damn power is out. Worst storm evarrr!

Actually, it's barely raining so I think someone ran into a telephone pole or something

This is bad...




MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0550
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
730 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN MS...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN LA

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING LIKELY

VALID 121130Z - 121730Z

SUMMARY...EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL ONGOING ACROSS FAR SOUTHWEST MS
AND SOUTHEAST LA WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF AND/OR FLASH
FLOODING THROUGH THIS MORNING.

DISCUSSION...DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP AND CONCENTRATE
ITSELF THIS MORNING AROUND THE SOUTHERN FLANK OF A LOW TO MID
LEVEL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SITUATED OVER FAR SOUTHWEST MS. CLOUD
TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN APPROACHING -80C NEAR THE MS/LA BORDER
AREA TO THE NORTHEAST OF BATON ROUGE...AND IN THIS AREA....VERY
INTENSE RAINFALL IS ONGOING WITH RAINFALL RATES OF 3 TO 3.5
INCHES/HR. OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS...SOME AREAS HAVE LOCALLY SEEN
OVER 10 INCHES OF RAIN BASED ON DUAL-POL RADAR ESTIMATES.

VERY INTENSE RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING OVER PORTIONS OF
ESPECIALLY SOUTHWEST MS CLOSE INTO THE LOW CENTER ITSELF...AND
ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST LA AS CONFLUENT LOW LEVEL FLOW
AND GREATER INSTABILITY AROUND THE SOUTHERN FLANK OF THE LOW
CIRCULATION PERSISTS.

THE GLOBAL MODELS FROM 00Z INCLUDING THE UKMET/GFS AND ECMWF ONCE
AGAIN SUGGEST SOME STRENGTHENING OF THIS LOW CENTER...ESPECIALLY
IN THE 850/700 MB LAYER THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.
CONSEQUENTLY...STRONGER LOW TO MID LEVEL FORCING IS EXPECTED TO
ENSUE WHICH WILL ALLOW ONGOING CONVECTION TO REMAIN SUSTAINABLE
AND POSSIBLE INTENSIFY A BIT FURTHER WITH STRONGER CONVECTIVE
BANDS IN PARTICULAR SETTING UP AROUNS THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THE
CIRCULATION CENTER.

HIRES GUIDANCE LED BY THE 00Z ARW/NMMB SOLUTIONS SUGGEST
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 12Z AND 18Z APPROACHING 10
INCHES OVER PARTS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL LA WHICH SEEMS REASONABLE AT
THIS TIME. THESE MODELS THOUGH ARE LIKELY UNDERDONE OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHWEST MS AND SOUTHEAST LA WHERE CONVECTIVE BANDS ONGOING ARE
ALREADY PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

LIFE-THREATENING RUNOFF AND/OR FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED WITH
SUCH INTENSE RAINFALL RATES AND STORM TOTALS GOING THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS.

ORRISON

We're getting a ton of rain in Hammond right now

WWL-TV traffic? Verified account ?
?@wwltvtraffic
I-55 is now closed to traffic in both directions between Mile Marker 52 and Mile Marker 56 (north of Amite City) due to flooding.

Is 20" of rainfall today possible? Also, what's it look like for tomorrow?