re: The Great Flood of 2016: Fill Out Disaster Forms NOW. Link Inside!

Well, I plan on going out and doing some work at the barn in prairieville. A little nervous there will now be water flowing down when I try to come back.

Fest which street are you on?

I didn't think anyone actually had cable right now still. Been out for me since 3pm

I am getting very worried about Bayou Fountain and Ward Creek. Let me show you.



First, the X, all the way on the right... it will keep rising until the crest finally reaches that point. That will be the point of highest backflow. Here is what it currently looks like:



It is almost the point of the 1983 flood. My guess is that NOTHING can flow into it because it is simply too high. It is expected to get much higher.

This is causing a backup at point 1, little prairie. When a point is about to stop increasing, it makes a curve shape... this is not making that shape. It keeps shooting up.



Which brings me to point 2, the bluff swamp gauge. There has been no new water flowing in, but the river is not going down at all. It is clear that this is because of a logjam at point 1. As that logjam backs up, point 2 should start shooting up due to the backing up of water.



Which brings me to point 3, which is Bayou Fountain all the way at Bluebonnet. Look, the water was actually making a transition to draining out, but it stopped, and increased a little bit. Water cannot flow out because of the logjam at point 1 and 2. Point 1 logjam will eventually make point 2 rise which will eventually make point 3 rise. Point 1 is still shooting up.

And this is at the current, 16 foot level... this is expected to crest upstream at 21.5 feet. Insane.

Festus, Shenandoah is going to be okay. People are just really worried right now.

My sisters dog got bit by a cottonmouth. So yes to the snakes.

It's also important to note that there are two reasons for point 1 to increase flow:

- The rivers upstream from it are emptying through it, thus increasing flow.

- The river downstream from it is backing up into it.

We know that the first is not happening because we can look at the gauges upstream from it - these rivers are NOT emptying, they are stagnant/backing up.

So we can conclude the second is likely the process occurring.

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supernovasky

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I feel like I should get college credit for reading your posts.

Great work in here, extremely informative and helpful.

Neither. Gas 8000 watt portable